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Aug 24, 2023

Navigating Financial Tides: Exploring $USB ($35.84) and the Realm of Regional Banks

Navigating Market Waves: A Close Look at USB and Regional Banks

In the ever-changing landscape of the financial market, understanding the dynamics of specific sectors is crucial for any savvy investor. In this blog, we'll delve into the recent movements of US Bancorp (USB, $35.84) and explore the broader realm of regional banks, shedding light on how these developments can influence your investment decisions.

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Reviving Trends: USB's RSI Indicator Signal

The journey starts with US Bancorp (USB), whose RSI Indicator recently exited the oversold zone on August 22, 2023. This intriguing signal often indicates a potential shift from a downtrend to an uptrend. For traders, this could translate into opportunities – be it purchasing the stock or exploring call options. A historical analysis by A.I.dvisor uncovered 26 similar instances where USB's RSI Indicator exhibited this behavior, and in 18 of these cases, it led to successful outcomes. With odds of success at 69%, this could be an enticing development for investors.

Fundamental Checkpoint: Earnings and Dividends

The earnings report on July 19 showed that USB exceeded expectations with earnings per share of $1.12, surpassing the estimated $1.06. This performance is a reflection of the company's resilience and strategic moves even in challenging times. With 8.22 million shares outstanding, USB's current market capitalization stands at a substantial $57.23 billion.

Moreover, USB recently paid dividends on July 17, 2023. With a dividend of $0.48 per share and a record date of July 17, investors were able to reap the benefits of their investment. It's important to note that the ex-dividend date, which falls before the record date, determines eligibility for dividend payment.

Navigating the Landscape: Regional Banks Industry

Zooming out to the bigger picture, let's explore the realm of regional banks, where USB resides alongside notable players such as Itau Unibanco Holding SA (ITUB), PNC Financial Services Group (PNC), Banco Bradesco SA (BBD), Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft (DB), and more. These institutions cater to specific regions or states, offering services ranging from deposits and loans to investment banking. The likes of SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., and M&T Bank Corp. exemplify U.S. regional banks.

Market Insights: Market Cap and Price Trends

The average market capitalization across the Regional Banks Industry is approximately $5.46 billion, showcasing the diversity within this sector. From the high valuation of HDB at $144.61 billion to the modestly valued ACBCQ at $10.73 thousand, the range of market caps underscores the various sizes and scopes of these institutions.

Recent price movements within the Regional Banks Industry show an average weekly price growth of -2%. The monthly and quarterly averages are -2% and -9% respectively. This highlights the market's dynamic nature, where prices are influenced by a myriad of factors, both internal and external.

Volumes and Analysis Ratings

When it comes to trading volumes, the average weekly volume growth for the Regional Banks Industry is 2%. However, the monthly and quarterly volume growth rates are -20% and 14% respectively, indicating fluctuations in market activity.

Analyzing fundamental indicators is crucial for informed decisions. The average fundamental analysis ratings, ranging from 1 (best) to 100 (worst), offer insights into various aspects. Valuation, P/E Growth, Price Growth, SMR, Profit Risk, and Seasonality Score collectively provide a comprehensive snapshot of the sector's health.

A Closer Look: USB's Recent Performance

Over the past five trading days, USB experienced a decline of -3.04% in stock value, with an average daily trading volume of 451,977 shares. This short-term fluctuation is a reminder of the market's inherent volatility. During this period, USB faced a drawdown of -5.96%, emphasizing the need for investors to assess risk and reward.

Adapting to Change

In the realm of finance, adaptability is key. USB's recent RSI Indicator movement hints at potential changes, but it's vital to approach investments with prudence and research. Understanding the broader sector of regional banks allows investors to contextualize USB's movements and anticipate trends.

As financial markets continue to evolve, staying informed and educated is a powerful tool. Embrace the ebb and flow, and remember that knowledge is your compass in this ever-shifting landscape.

Related Ticker: USB

Momentum Indicator for USB turns negative, indicating new downward trend

USB saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on September 13, 2023. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 103 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In of the 103 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

USB moved below its 50-day moving average on September 05, 2023 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

The 10-day moving average for USB crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on August 30, 2023. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where USB declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Aroon Indicator for USB entered a downward trend on September 20, 2023. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where USB's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, of 27 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where USB advanced for three days, in of 310 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

USB may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.159) is normal, around the industry mean (0.986). P/E Ratio (9.588) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.174). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.228) is also within normal values, averaging (2.881). Dividend Yield (0.056) settles around the average of (0.045) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.935) is also within normal values, averaging (2.480).

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. USB’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. USB’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 84, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are US Bancorp (NYSE:USB), Itau Unibanco Holding SA (NYSE:ITUB), PNC Financial Services Group (NYSE:PNC), Banco Bradesco SA (NYSE:BBD), Deutsche Bank Aktiengesellschaft (NYSE:DB), Regions Financial Corp (NYSE:RF), Huntington Bancshares (NASDAQ:HBAN), KeyCorp (NYSE:KEY), Veritex Holdings (NASDAQ:VBTX).

Industry description

Regional banks have a smaller reach than major banks, and cater mostly to one region of a country, such as a state or within a group of states. They offer services often similar – albeit with some limitations/smaller scale – compared to major banks. Taking deposits, making loans, mortgages, leases, credit cards , fund management, insurance and investment banking. SunTrust Banks, State Street Corp., M&T Bank Corp. are some examples of U.S. regional banks.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Regional Banks Industry is 5.47B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 10.73K to 142.45B. HDB holds the highest valuation in this group at 142.45B. The lowest valued company is ACBCQ at 10.73K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Regional Banks Industry was -1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 0%, and the average quarterly price growth was 1%. SIVBQ experienced the highest price growth at 100%, while FSTF experienced the biggest fall at -52%.


The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Regional Banks Industry was -11%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 6% and the average quarterly volume growth was -68%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 69
Price Growth Rating: 53
SMR Rating: 37
Profit Risk Rating: 83
Seasonality Score: 2 (-100 ... +100)
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Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, USB has been closely correlated with FITB. These tickers have moved in lockstep 84% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if USB jumps, then FITB could also see price increases.

Ticker /
1D Price
Change %
Closely correlated
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Closely correlated
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