NuScale Power (SMR) Stock Falls -26.3% as Commercial Delays Weigh on Sentiment
Key Takeaways
- NuScale Power shares fell approximately 26.3% over the past 30 days, sliding from $11.74 on June 18 to roughly $8.65 by July 21, hitting fresh 52-week lows in the process.
- The selloff was fueled by a combination of analyst caution, including a Hold initiation from Truist and a $6 price target from Goldman Sachs, alongside persistent concerns about commercialization delays.
- First-quarter 2026 revenue collapsed 96% year-over-year to just $565,000, while the company posted a net loss of approximately $44 million, deepening investor skepticism.
- Despite holding the only U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission-approved small modular reactor design, NuScale has yet to secure a binding commercial reactor order, leaving revenue visibility extremely limited.
- Insider selling, including Fluor Corporation's disposal of 13.5 million shares in April, added further pressure to the stock's downward trajectory.
NuScale Power (SMR) Company Overview and Market Position
NuScale Power Corporation is a developer of proprietary small modular reactor (SMR) nuclear technology. Founded in 2007 and headquartered in Portland, Oregon, the company remains the first and only entity to receive standard design approval from the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission for its SMR design. Its flagship NuScale Power Module can generate 77 megawatts of electricity per unit, with configurations scalable up to 924 MWe across 12 modules. The company targets electrical generation, district heating, desalination, hydrogen production, and process heat applications, with a particular focus on supplying carbon-free baseload power to utilities, industrial users, and the rapidly expanding data center market. Investors follow SMR closely because it represents a pure-play bet on the commercialization of next-generation nuclear technology, a sector that has attracted significant attention amid rising electricity demand driven by artificial intelligence infrastructure.
NuScale Power (SMR) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 calendar days, SMR stock declined approximately 26.3%, falling from a closing price of $11.74 on June 18 to roughly $8.65 as of July 21. The drop was punctuated by multiple 52-week lows, including an intraday trough of $7.21 on July 17, before a modest bounce in the most recent sessions. The downward momentum was consistent, with only brief countertrend rallies interrupting the broader selloff.
Zooming out to the quarterly picture, SMR has shed roughly 25.9% over the past three months, declining from $11.67 on April 21 to current levels. The quarterly decline reflects a continuation of selling pressure that began after the company's disappointing first-quarter 2026 earnings report in early May. While nuclear energy stocks broadly enjoyed speculative enthusiasm through late 2025, that momentum has largely reversed, and NuScale has been among the hardest-hit names in the sector.
What Drove SMR Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
Several factors converged to accelerate SMR's decline during the past month. On the analyst front, Truist initiated coverage with a Hold rating and a $10 price target, while Goldman Sachs reiterated its Hold rating with a notably bearish $6 target on July 14. RBC Capital also maintained a Hold rating with a $14 target on July 17. These cautious calls reinforced the narrative that NuScale's extended timeline to commercial deployment—with first reactors not expected online until the early 2030s—leaves the stock vulnerable.
Additionally, the broader nuclear and clean-energy sector faced headwinds as enthusiasm for AI-driven power demand moderated. Competitors such as OKLO and BWXT continued making operational and regulatory progress, sharpening the contrast with NuScale's pre-revenue status. The company's Q1 2026 results, which showed revenue plunging 96% year-over-year to $565,000 and a net loss of $44 million, remained a fresh memory for investors. Insider sentiment also deteriorated, with Fluor Corporation completing a large-scale divestment of 13.5 million shares earlier in the year, signaling reduced conviction from NuScale's long-time strategic backer. These developments collectively undermined investor confidence and drove the stock toward multi-year lows. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.
What Drove SMR Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The quarterly decline reflects a deeper reassessment of NuScale's risk-reward profile. The May 7 earnings release served as a pivotal catalyst: revenue of just $565,000 missed consensus estimates by a wide margin, and management acknowledged that the completion of Fluor's FEED Phase 2 engineering work under the RoPower licensing agreement had eliminated the company's primary near-term revenue stream. Although NuScale ended the quarter with approximately $1 billion in liquidity, the quarterly cash burn rate of roughly $70 million raised questions about how long the company can operate without securing binding commercial agreements.
Meanwhile, the competitive landscape shifted. The Department of Energy's Reactor Pilot Program and Executive Order 14300 accelerated regulatory timelines for rival advanced reactor developers, narrowing NuScale's first-mover advantage. The stock's decline from its 52-week high of $57.42 to single-digit territory also reflected a broader rotation out of speculative growth names as investors recalibrated expectations around commercialization timelines, project financing, and the path to profitability.
SMR Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
Looking ahead, the single most consequential event for SMR is the company's second-quarter 2026 earnings call, scheduled for August 5. Investors will closely monitor any updates on the power purchase agreement negotiations with the Tennessee Valley Authority and ENTRA1 Energy, which CEO John Hopkins has indicated could be finalized by the end of 2026. A signed PPA would represent the first binding commercial commitment of significant scale and could serve as a powerful catalyst for sentiment recovery.
Beyond earnings, investors should track progress on the RoPower project in Romania, which received a Final Investment Decision earlier this year but remains years away from deployment. Macroeconomic factors—including interest rate policy, inflation trends, and broader risk appetite—will also influence SMR's trajectory given its status as a high-beta, pre-revenue growth stock. Finally, any regulatory developments, partnership announcements, or competitive moves from peers like Oklo and BWX Technologies could materially affect NuScale's perceived position in the emerging SMR market. The balance between the company's $1 billion liquidity cushion and its ongoing cash consumption rate remains a critical metric to monitor.
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SMR's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for SMR entered a downward trend on July 14, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 227 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In of the 227 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at .
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on July 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SMR as a result. In of 93 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SMR turned negative on June 25, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 41 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .
SMR moved below its 50-day moving average on June 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for SMR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on June 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SMR declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where SMR's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, of 32 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 14 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SMR advanced for three days, in of 250 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.361) is normal, around the industry mean (5.845). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (50.906). SMR's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (2.016). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.019) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (90.090) is also within normal values, averaging (136.106).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. SMR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SMR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 74, placing this stock worse than average.
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