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published in Blogs
May 12, 2020

Peloton (PTON, $47.14) crosses 1 million in subscriber count

Peloton   shares jumped on Tuesday, following reports of the company having garnered more than 1 million subscribers.

In a regulatory filing  with the Securities and Exchange Commission,  the interactive bike-and-exercise-services company said it had crossed the 1 million mark in connected fitness subscribers.

At the end of its fiscal third quarter in March, Peloton reported 886,100 subscribers in the connected fitness category.

Peloton said it would not be updating its projection for the fourth quarter and for full-year 2020. The company previously boosted its outlook for fiscal 2020 to a total of 1.04 to 1.05 million subscribers.

Related Ticker: PTON

PTON in -3.17% downward trend, sliding for three consecutive days on April 01, 2024

Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where PTON declined for three days, in of 295 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on March 28, 2024. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on PTON as a result. In of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. of 57 cases where PTON's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PTON just turned positive on March 27, 2024. Looking at past instances where PTON's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in of 41 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Following a 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PTON advanced for three days, in of 267 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

Fear & Greed

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. PTON’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (86.957) is normal, around the industry mean (42.074). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (51.965). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (2.499). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.064) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.559) is also within normal values, averaging (6.718).

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PTON’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Harley-Davidson (NYSE:HOG), YETI Holdings (NYSE:YETI), Peloton Interactive (NASDAQ:PTON), MasterCraft Boat Holdings (NASDAQ:MCFT).

Industry description

The Leisure and Recreation Products industry includes companies offering recreational goods/services such as video games, swimming pools, golf courses, boats, outdoor spaces etc. Since these are mainly geared towards consumers, strong employment conditions and healthy incomes generally augur well for the recreational products industry. Some of the largest market caps in this space belong to video game developers (e.g. Activision Blizzard, Electronic Arts and Take-two Interactive), and toy /board game makers (like Hasbro).

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Recreational Products Industry is 4.73B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 5.94K to 63.42B. OLCLY holds the highest valuation in this group at 63.42B. The lowest valued company is CLUBQ at 5.94K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Recreational Products Industry was 1%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 3%, and the average quarterly price growth was -1%. GBBYF experienced the highest price growth at 80%, while PMTYF experienced the biggest fall at -44%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Recreational Products Industry was 7%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -9% and the average quarterly volume growth was 18%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 55
P/E Growth Rating: 60
Price Growth Rating: 55
SMR Rating: 69
Profit Risk Rating: 84
Seasonality Score: 6 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

an interactive fitness platform, which engages in the operation of in-studio fitness classes, fitness clubs, at-home fitness equipment & content and health & wellness apps

Industry RecreationalProducts

Profile
Fundamentals
Details
Industry
N/A
Address
441 Ninth Avenue
Phone
+1 917 671-9198
Employees
2765
Web
https://www.onepeloton.com
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