GET DAILY SIGNALSPLDT (PHI) Prepares for Q3 2026 Earnings Amid Telecom Competition
Key Takeaways
- PLDT Inc. (PHI) is scheduled to report third-quarter 2026 results, for the period ended September 30, 2026, ahead of the U.S. market open around November 11–12, 2026.
- Consensus estimates call for earnings per share (EPS) of $0.58, down from $0.67 in the same quarter a year earlier.
- Revenue is forecast at approximately $877.45 million, a decline of roughly 4.8% from $922.04 million in the prior-year period.
- Investors will closely watch service revenue trends, mobile and fixed broadband subscriber growth, and operating cost discipline.
- The company's dividend policy and capital expenditure (capex) plans remain central questions heading into the report.
- For more context on PHI's Major News, Today's Price Move, Price Targets, and Forecasts, explore the dedicated pages on Tickeron.
- Explore Trending AI Robots to see AI-driven trading ideas across the market.
Why This Quarter Matters for PLDT
PLDT Inc. stands as the Philippines' largest integrated telecommunications operator, delivering wireless services via Smart Communications along with fixed-line connectivity and digital platforms. Its American Depositary Receipts trade on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker PHI. This report carries weight because the company faces an intensely competitive environment where rivals are pushing hard on pricing and network upgrades. I am watching closely to see whether PLDT can hold its subscriber base and profitability while handling elevated capital spending. The stock has traded lower year-to-date, which reflects investor caution around slowing growth and rising cost pressures in the Philippine telecom sector.
Consensus Estimates Heading Into the Release
Analysts expect PLDT to report earnings of $0.58 per share for the third quarter of 2026, according to consensus estimates tracked by MarketBeat. That figure would mark a decline of roughly 13% from the $0.67 per share reported in the same period a year earlier. Revenue is projected near $877.45 million, down about 4.8% from $922.04 million in the prior-year quarter. Because PLDT reports in Philippine pesos, the U.S. dollar figures also reflect currency translation effects, which adds another layer of variability. Beyond the headline numbers, attention will likely turn to service revenue growth, average revenue per user, mobile and fiber subscriber counts, and the path of operating expenses. Prior quarters have occasionally shown the company beating earnings expectations, yet the year-over-year declines implied by current consensus make profitability momentum a key item to monitor.
Market Sentiment and Key Risks
Sentiment ahead of the third-quarter report looks cautious. The ADR has traded within a 52-week range of roughly $16.71 to $24.51 and has declined on a year-to-date basis, reflecting broader concerns about competitive intensity and margin pressure. A dividend yield above 6% has historically provided support, but any signals on payout sustainability could sway investor reaction. Key risks include weaker-than-expected subscriber additions, higher operating costs, unfavorable currency moves, and shifts in capital expenditure guidance. Currency fluctuations between the peso and dollar could also create a gap between underlying performance and the reported ADR figures.
What to Watch Beyond the Print
Looking ahead, several factors will shape how investors assess PLDT. Revenue and margin trends across wireless and fixed-line operations stand out first. Sustained competition may keep pressure on average revenue per user, making cost management and network efficiency important for protecting profitability. Capital expenditure and dividend decisions will also draw scrutiny, as PLDT has historically balanced heavy network investment in 5G and fiber with shareholder payouts. Updates on how management plans to fund growth while maintaining the dividend will matter for income-focused investors. Broader industry dynamics in the Philippines, including digital adoption and rival positioning, plus currency trends, will remain central themes.
Integrating AI Tools Into My Research Process
I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry. The platform helps surface technical patterns, fundamentals, and performance metrics that support a more structured comparison across the telecommunications sector.
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Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
Momentum Indicator for PHI turns positive, indicating new upward trend
PHI saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on November 10, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 79 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 50 of the 79 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 63%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 31 of 57 cases where PHI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
Following a +0.77% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where PHI advanced for three days, in 167 of 274 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
PHI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 84 of 204 cases where PHI Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 41%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for PHI moved out of overbought territory on October 21, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 29 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 22 of the 29 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for PHI turned negative on October 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 45 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 29 of the 45 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 64%.
PHI moved below its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for PHI crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on November 03, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PHI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 12 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.030) is normal, around the industry mean (2.292). P/E Ratio (0.143) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-7.252). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.700) is also within normal values, averaging (8.005). Dividend Yield (0.165) settles around the average of (0.133) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.103) is also within normal values, averaging (5.777).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 68 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. PHI’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. PHI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 82, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
a provider of local, long distance, international and cellular telephone services
Industry MajorTelecommunications
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