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Nov 12, 2026
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SES AI Corporation (SES): Analyst Targets Signal $2.55 Amid +340% Upside Potential

SES AI Corporation (SES): Analyst Targets Signal $2.55 Amid +340% Upside Potential

Key Takeaways

  • The $2.55 central target is the arithmetic mean of the two verified, current analyst price targets on SES — Cantor Fitzgerald at $4.00 and Deutsche Bank at $1.10.
  • With the stock near $0.58 following its third-quarter 2026 revenue miss, reaching $2.55 would require roughly a 340% gain — a very large move by any standard.
  • The two targets span an unusually wide $1.10 to $4.00 range, signaling deep disagreement about whether SES AI Corporation can commercialize its battery business.
  • Supportive factors include the pivot to drones and energy storage, a newly ramped NDAA-compliant battery plant in South Korea, and an AI-driven materials discovery platform.
  • Key risks include an NYSE delisting notice, a proposed reverse stock split, persistent losses, cash burn, and ongoing securities litigation.
  • Explore more on these pages: Major News, Today's Price Move, Forecast, and Earnings.
  • For automated, AI-driven trading ideas across the market, explore Trending AI Robots.

Diving Into the Analyst Targets for SES

SES AI Corporation (SES), a Woburn, Massachusetts developer of AI-enhanced lithium-metal and lithium-ion batteries, carries very thin Wall Street coverage — only two credible, current, named price targets are available. Cantor Fitzgerald's Derek Soderberg maintains an Overweight rating with a $4.00 target, raised from $2.00 in November 2025. Deutsche Bank's Winnie Dong holds a Hold rating with a $1.10 target, cut from $1.40 in August 2026 as listing and execution risks mounted.

The arithmetic mean of these two targets is $2.55, and the low-to-high range is $1.10 to $4.00 — a nearly four-to-one spread. That dispersion reflects a genuine divide: the bullish case assumes the company's drone and energy-storage pivot succeeds at scale, while the cautious view prices in dilution, delisting risk, and continued losses. No independent source reports this figure as an official consensus, and with only two inputs the average should be read as a midpoint between divergent views rather than a tightly held Street expectation. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.

Current Market Position and Path Toward the Target

The stock traded near $0.58 in November 2026 after reporting a third-quarter revenue miss, well below its 52-week high of $2.62 and near its 52-week low of roughly $0.49. A move to $2.55 therefore implies upside of about 340%, which is very large and far beyond a typical short-term swing for a small-cap, pre-profit company.

That path would require SES to demonstrate that its Flywheel strategy — energy storage (the revenue base today), drone cells (the growth priority), and the Molecular Universe materials-discovery platform — can convert a $30 million to $35 million 2026 revenue guide into sustained, profitable growth. It would also require resolving the NYSE listing issue and convincing investors to re-rate the stock from deeply distressed levels. I'm watching this closely as the numbers suggest a steep climb.

What Could Support a Move Toward the Target

Management has shifted away from electric vehicles toward drones and battery energy storage systems, where NDAA compliance and supply-chain de-risking favor U.S. and allied manufacturers. SES has completed the ramp of its Chungju, South Korea plant to one million NDAA-compliant drone cells per year, with plans to reach three million by mid-2027, and has secured ISO 9001 certification. Its Molecular Universe platform, now in evaluation with battery makers, offers a software-and-materials recurring-revenue angle. The company also narrowed its quarterly net loss and holds a meaningful cash position relative to its market capitalization, which could fund near-term commercialization if revenue scales as guided.

What Could Prevent the Target From Being Reached

The obstacles are substantial. SES received an NYSE continued-listing notice because its share price fell below the minimum threshold, and it is seeking shareholder approval for a reverse stock split (ratios from 5:1 to 20:1) to regain compliance — a step that does not change intrinsic value and can pressure sentiment. The company remains unprofitable, with full-year losses in the tens of millions of dollars and negative margins. Competition in both batteries and energy storage is intense, revenue remains tiny relative to the market capitalization, and a securities class action adds legal overhang. Any reverse split, further dilution, or execution slip in drone or storage demand could keep the stock far from $2.55.

Technical Levels and Market Structure

The 52-week range of roughly $0.49 to $2.62 frames the current structure. The $1.00 level is especially significant because it represents the NYSE listing threshold and a psychological barrier; a sustained reclaim of $1.00 would be a meaningful first step. The $0.49 low serves as the nearest major support, while the $2.62 prior high sits just above the $2.55 target and marks a key overhead resistance zone from the stock's earlier 2026 rally.

Time Horizon and What Investors Should Monitor

Analyst price targets typically reflect a roughly 12-month research horizon, though the two covering firms have not published identical time frames. Investors should watch the shareholder vote on the reverse split, the resolution of the NYSE listing notice, quarterly revenue against the $30 million to $35 million guide, drone-cell order flow and capacity expansion, Molecular Universe adoption, cash position, and any updates to the class-action litigation. Deutsche Bank's August 2026 target cut shows how quickly the thesis can shift on listing and funding concerns. From what I see, these milestones will determine the trajectory.

Using AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals for SES

In my experience, Tickeron's AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals provide a practical way to track momentum in volatile names like this. The tool applies AI to monitor market conditions and technical signals across thousands of stocks, helping identify potential shifts without constant manual review. I find it useful for spotting trends in low-priced securities and managing positions more systematically.

Final Assessment

The $2.55 target is the midpoint of two widely divergent analyst views — Cantor Fitzgerald's $4.00 and Deutsche Bank's $1.10 — rather than a consensus around which Wall Street is clustered. From roughly $0.58, reaching it would require a gain of about 340%, a very large move that hinges on the drone and energy-storage strategy succeeding while the company resolves its delisting risk, avoids heavy dilution, and narrows losses toward profitability. The supportive drivers are real but unproven at scale, while the listing, funding, and litigation risks are immediate. Whether SES can reach $2.55 will depend on execution over the coming quarters, not on the target itself. One thing that stands out is how execution will ultimately decide the outcome.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

Related Ticker: SES

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Aroon Indicator for SES shows an upward move is likely

SES's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 22, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 103 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 90 of the 103 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 87%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

Following a +34.20% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SES advanced for three days, in 187 of 235 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

SES may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for SES moved out of overbought territory on October 14, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 19 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 19 of the 19 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 90%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 48 of 51 cases where SES's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 12, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SES as a result. In 78 of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SES turned negative on November 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 38 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 38 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 89%.

SES moved below its 50-day moving average on November 12, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SES declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 26 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.653) is normal, around the industry mean (0.781). P/E Ratio (-4.164) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.881). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (1.494). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.043) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (8.237) is also within normal values, averaging (49.456).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 30 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 47 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SES’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 88 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SES’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are AutoZone (NYSE:AZO), Advance Auto Parts (NYSE:AAP), Goodyear Tire & Rubber Company (The) (NASDAQ:GT).

Industry description

OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturer of auto parts refers to the original producer of a vehicles components, and so OEM car parts are usually identical to the parts used in producing the vehicle in the first place. OEM parts tend to fit the specifications of a particular model, and their compatibility is often guaranteed by the automaker itself. OEM parts could be more expensive to buy (compared to other vendors’ products) when a consumer goes for replacement. However, increased competition from aftermarket parts/third-party vendors could, in some cases, keep EOM prices in check. The industry might progress further in adopting newer technologies like 3D printing to boost supply chain performance and quality. Aptiv PLC, Magna International Inc. and BorgWarner Inc. are major OEMs for autos.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Auto Parts: OEM Industry is 4.82B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.93K to 72.72B. ORLY holds the highest valuation in this group at 72.72B. The lowest valued company is CREVF at 1.93K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Auto Parts: OEM Industry was 0%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -10%, and the average quarterly price growth was -21%. WKSP experienced the highest price growth at 31%, while MVST experienced the biggest fall at -59%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Auto Parts: OEM Industry was -8%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 29% and the average quarterly volume growth was -32%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 41
P/E Growth Rating: 47
Price Growth Rating: 65
SMR Rating: 78
Profit Risk Rating: 90
Seasonality Score: 4 (-100 ... +100)
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General Information

a provider of gasification technology systems and solutions to the energy and chemical industries

Industry AutoPartsOEM

Industry
Chemicals Specialty
Address
35 Cabot Road
Phone
+1 339 298-8750
Employees
215
Web
https://www.ses.ai
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