Investors looking for amplified exposure to large-cap U.S. equities often find themselves comparing SPXL and UPRO. Both are daily 3x leveraged ETFs tied to the S&P 500 Index and pursue essentially the same goal through comparable derivative-based portfolios. Because their strategies align so closely, the choice between them usually comes down to finer details such as costs, liquidity, and how each fund is managed. This comparison reviews their exposures, risks, and positioning to clarify which might better match different investor needs.
Launched in November 2008, SPXL is a passively managed, non-diversified leveraged ETF that targets 300% of the S&P 500 Index's daily price return. Issued by Direxion and listed on NYSE Arca, the fund maintains around 515 holdings and builds its leverage mainly through S&P 500 index swaps, backed by cash in money market funds and some direct index positions. Top equity holdings track the benchmark closely and include NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL, AVGO, and META, with Information Technology as the heaviest sector. The net expense ratio stands at 0.84%, and AUM is approximately $7 billion. Its scale supports tight spreads and reliable trading volume.
UPRO, launched in June 2009 by ProShares, aims for the same 300% daily S&P 500 exposure. It is also non-diversified with roughly 520 positions and uses S&P 500 index swaps with several bank counterparties, along with holdings in the ProShares GENIUS Money Market ETF, Treasury bills, and direct benchmark stocks. Equity weights again mirror the index, led by the same names such as NVDA, AAPL, MSFT, AMZN, GOOGL, AVGO, and META, with Information Technology dominant. The net expense ratio is 0.89% and AUM is about $5.4 billion. Its diversified swap counterparties help spread derivative risk, though the higher fee and smaller size represent minor distinctions.
Since both ETFs track the S&P 500, their sector weights and thematic drivers are the same. Information Technology leads, followed by Financials, Healthcare, Consumer Discretionary, and Communication Services. Market moves in recent cycles have been driven by interest-rate expectations, AI-related spending, and megacap technology earnings. These factors affect both funds equally, so any performance differences arise from structural elements like fees rather than sector allocations. It is worth noting that leveraged products magnify losses, and volatility can reduce returns even if the underlying index stays flat or only modestly positive over multiple days.
Over recent periods, SPXL and UPRO have moved in close alignment given their shared 3x daily objective. Both amplify S&P 500 gains in favorable markets and deepen declines during volatility spikes. The clearest difference has been cost, with SPXL's 0.84% net expense ratio providing a modest ongoing advantage over UPRO's 0.89%. On positioning, SPXL's larger asset base and stronger average volume offer a liquidity edge, while UPRO's multiple swap counterparties provide broader diversification of derivative exposure. For short-term tactical use the two funds are largely interchangeable, with the edge often depending on fees and execution quality. When comparing similar leveraged products, I sometimes cross-check details with Tickeron’s AI tools to confirm relative metrics.
From a probabilistic standpoint, Tickeron's AI would likely show a slight preference for SPXL over UPRO. The case rests on consistent structural factors rather than short-term price moves: SPXL's lower net expense ratio, larger asset base, and stronger liquidity support modestly better cost efficiency and trading execution. The two funds share the same exposure and risk profile, so the advantage is narrow. UPRO's wider swap counterparty network is a valid strength, yet it does not offset SPXL's fee and scale benefits for most tactical traders. Neither product suits long-term passive investors because of the daily leverage reset and volatility effects.
In my research process I frequently rely on Tickeron’s AI Screener to filter leveraged ETFs and compare them against peers based on technical patterns, fundamentals, and volatility metrics. The tool helps surface relevant ideas more efficiently than manual reviews and supports ongoing monitoring of relative positioning across sectors.
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On October 27, 2026, the Stochastic Oscillator for UPRO moved out of oversold territory and this could be a bullish sign for the stock. Traders may want to buy the stock or buy call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 instances where the indicator left the oversold zone. In 48 of the 52 cases the stock moved higher in the following days. This puts the odds of a move higher at over 90%.
Following a +3.82% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where UPRO advanced for three days, in 318 of 348 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 343 of 368 cases where UPRO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on UPRO as a result. In 70 of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for UPRO turned negative on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 56 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 50 of the 56 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 89%.
UPRO moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for UPRO crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 16 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where UPRO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.
The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows
Category Trading