GET DAILY SIGNALSStudio City International Holdings (MSC) Stock Slips -10% Over the Past Month
Key Takeaways
- MSC shares have declined roughly 10% over the last 30 days, falling from about $1.05 in early October 2026 to near $0.94 in the latest session.
- The slide extends a deeper downtrend: the stock is down approximately 81% over the trailing 52 weeks and nearly 50% over the past quarter.
- Persistent net losses, softer Macau gaming demand, and a highly leveraged balance sheet remain the central investor concerns.
- Second-quarter 2026 revenue fell about 13% year over year, and the company swung to a widened net loss of $15.6 million.
- Third-quarter 2026 results are scheduled for release on November 4, 2026, making earnings the next major near-term catalyst.
- For deeper context on valuation and expectations, explore MSC's Price Targets, Earnings, and Forecast pages.
- Traders can also follow top-performing automated strategies through Tickeron's Trending AI Robots.
Studio City International Holdings (MSC) Company Overview and Market Position
Studio City International Holdings Limited is a Macau-based integrated resort operator whose American Depositary Shares, each representing four Class A ordinary shares, trade on the New York Stock Exchange under the symbol MSC. The company operates the Studio City resort in Cotai, Macau, a subsidiary of MCO Cotai Investments Limited within the Melco Resorts & Entertainment (MLCO) group.
Studio City combines gaming, hospitality, dining, retail, and entertainment, with casino operations focused on mass-market and premium-mass table games and gaming machines conducted under a concession held by Melco Resorts. Its non-gaming attractions include a figure-eight Ferris wheel, a live performance arena, and an indoor and outdoor water park. Investors follow the stock primarily as a leveraged play on Macau's tourism and mass-market gaming recovery, along with the company's ongoing efforts to narrow losses and move toward profitability. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.
Studio City International Holdings (MSC) Stock Price Performance: Last 30 Days vs. Quarter
Over the last 30 days, MSC has fallen approximately 10.1%, from a closing price near $1.05 in early October 2026 to about $0.94 in the latest session. The decline was not a straight line: shares made new 52-week lows near $0.75 in late October before rebounding, reflecting elevated volatility and relatively thin liquidity in the name.
The broader quarterly trend is more severe. From roughly $1.80 in early-to-mid August 2026, the stock has dropped nearly 48% to current levels, extending a 52-week decline of approximately 81%. The pattern shows persistent selling pressure punctuated by short-lived bounces, consistent with a low-float, loss-making equity trading at a market capitalization near $151 million.
What Drove MSC Stock Price in the Last 30 Days
Several factors weighed on MSC shares during the period. Fundamentally, the company remains unprofitable, with trailing-twelve-month net losses near $51.8 million and negative earnings per share, leaving limited support for sustained rallies. The approach of third-quarter results, scheduled for November 4, 2026, prompted caution as investors positioned ahead of another potentially loss-making report.
Liquidity dynamics also amplified the move. With a relatively small public float and institutional ownership around 8%, order flow can produce outsized percentage swings, and the stock's decline to new lows in late October was accompanied by elevated volume. Broader sentiment toward Macau gaming has remained cautious following softer gross gaming revenue trends reported earlier in the year, which has kept risk appetite muted for smaller, highly levered resort operators. From what I see, this combination of fundamentals and market structure explains much of the recent pressure.
What Drove MSC Stock Performance Over the Last Quarter
The quarterly decline reflects a convergence of operational and financial pressures. Second-quarter 2026 results, reported in August, showed revenue of $164.6 million, down about 13% year over year, while the company swung to a wider net loss of $15.6 million. First-quarter 2026 had already revealed a disconnect between improved operating performance and a steep drop in net income tied to non-operating items.
Beyond earnings, the company's capital structure has been a persistent overhang. Studio City carries a debt-to-equity ratio above 3.7 times and interest coverage below one, and its subsidiary completed a tender offer and new senior secured notes issuance in May 2026 to address the 7.00% notes due 2027. Institutional positioning has also turned cautious, with disclosed filings showing several large holders reducing or exiting positions. Together, these factors have reinforced a risk-off stance on the stock. I’m watching this closely as the earnings date approaches.
MSC Stock Forecast Drivers: What Investors Should Watch Next
The most immediate catalyst is the company's third-quarter 2026 earnings release on November 4, 2026, where revenue trends, operating margins, and any update on the path toward profitability will be closely scrutinized. Macau gross gaming revenue and broader China travel demand remain key macro inputs, given the company's reliance on mass-market tourism.
Investors will also monitor balance-sheet developments, including refinancing progress and debt-servicing capacity, as well as any regulatory or concession-related developments in Macau. Competitive pressures from larger integrated resort operators in Cotai and the pace of loss reduction will help determine whether the stock can stabilize. These are observation points for assessing the company's trajectory, not signals for a specific investment outcome.
Exploring Tickeron AI Tools for Deeper Analysis
In my research on names like MSC, I often turn to Tickeron’s AI Trading Bots to review automated strategies that have performed well in similar market conditions. The platform offers hundreds of bots across different timeframes and risk levels, allowing me to compare approaches without relying on any single signal. This has helped me cross-check ideas from fundamental analysis with systematic perspectives. For those interested, the AI Trading Bots section provides a practical way to explore these options further.
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Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
MSC's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for MSC turned positive on October 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where MSC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 52 of 58 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where MSC's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 24 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 61 of 75 cases where MSC's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on MSC as a result. In 90 of 114 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Following a +5.32% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MSC advanced for three days, in 162 of 193 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
MSC may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MSC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
The Aroon Indicator for MSC entered a downward trend on October 05, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 9 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 18 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.285) is normal, around the industry mean (13.489). P/E Ratio (-2.926) is within average values for comparable stocks, (53.082). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is also within normal values, averaging (0.784). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.022) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.363) is also within normal values, averaging (1.049).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 75 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. MSC’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 93 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. MSC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 91, placing this stock worse than average.
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General Information
an operator of gaming, retail and entertainment resort
Industry HotelsResortsCruiselines
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