Texas Poses Threat to OPEC Nations
U.S. oil production is rising at its fastest rate in nearly 98 years.
The region perhaps most responsible for the production surge is Texas, where thousands of oil wells dot the Permian basin.
This has made Texas a favorite hunting ground for the biggest and smallest oil producers of the nation. With one of the largest oil reserves in the world, the Permian basin helped Texas emerge as the third-largest oil producing region in the world, only behind Russia and Saudi Arabia.
With nearly 114,000 companies drilling in the region and many turning profitable even with crude prices as low as $50 a barrel, OPEC is feeling an oncoming threat to its oil dominance
OPEC’s concern is likely to increase in the next year, when bottlenecks related to pipelines eases with the addition of three new pipelines, thus enabling combined production of nearly 2 million barrels of oil a day.
XOM's RSI Indicator peaks and leaves overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Oscillator for XOM moved out of overbought territory on August 24, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 28 of the 42 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 67%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 36 of 68 cases where XOM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on September 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on XOM as a result. In 43 of 91 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 47%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for XOM turned negative on September 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 21 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 42%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where XOM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 43%.
XOM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on August 18, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +1.07% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where XOM advanced for three days, in 234 of 374 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 187 of 308 cases where XOM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 61%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 27, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 29 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating outstanding price growth. XOM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 61 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: XOM's P/B Ratio (2.588) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.943). P/E Ratio (21.013) is within average values for comparable stocks, (17.132). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.399) is also within normal values, averaging (1.551). Dividend Yield (0.025) settles around the average of (0.039) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.911) is also within normal values, averaging (3.764).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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General Information
a distributer of crude oil, natural gas and petroleum products
Industry IntegratedOil
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