Robots for this industry :
Swing Trader, Long Only: Valuation Model for Energy Sector (TA&FA)
Swing Trader for Beginners: Exits from Low Volatility to Explosive Movements (TA&FA)
The compression industry has been making headlines recently with a notable increase in performance, as indicated by a substantial 10.02% surge over the past week. This article delves into the intricacies of this theme and explores the individual stocks within it, focusing on ticker symbols OKE, NGS, USAC, and SMLP.
Negative Outlook and RSI Indicator
To begin, it's important to note that stocks within the compression theme currently carry a negative outlook. This pessimism is supported by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicator, which suggests that these stocks may be experiencing a bearish trend. The RSI is a widely used momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. When the RSI dips below a certain threshold (typically 30), it's seen as oversold, which could indicate a potential buying opportunity. Conversely, if it rises above 70, it may be considered overbought, suggesting a potential time to sell.
Stock Fear & Greed Index
Furthermore, the Stock Fear & Greed Index, powered by Tickeron, echoes this negative sentiment. It predicts a potential further decline of more than 4.00% within the next month for these compression-related stocks, with a likelihood of 63%. Over the last month, the daily ratio of advancing to declining volumes for these stocks was 2.39 to 1, further emphasizing the downward pressure.
Bollinger Bands Indicator
The negative trend is also discernible through the Bollinger Bands indicator, which is showing a similar pattern in three out of the four tickers mentioned, with an average likelihood of 72%. The Bollinger Bands consist of a middle band being an N-period simple moving average (SMA), an upper band at K times an N-period standard deviation above the middle band, and a lower band at K times an N-period standard deviation below the middle band. When the price consistently touches or crosses the upper band, it can be an indicator of overbought conditions, while touching or crossing the lower band can signal oversold conditions.
Market Capitalization
Market capitalization is a crucial metric to consider when evaluating stocks within a theme. In the compression theme, the average market capitalization stands at an impressive $10 billion. However, it's important to note that there is a wide range within this theme. OKE boasts the highest valuation in this group at $37 billion, indicating its dominant position in the industry. On the other end of the spectrum, SXE is the smallest, with a market cap of $12.2 million.
High and Low Price Notable News
Understanding price trends is vital for investors. Over the past week, the average weekly price growth across all stocks in the compression theme was a significant 10.02%. This suggests a level of volatility and movement within the theme. Looking at the average monthly and quarterly price growth, we see more substantial numbers, with 21.77% and 20.12%, respectively.
SMLP stands out with the highest price growth at 40.7% over the past week. Conversely, NGS experienced a notable decline of -7.01% during the same period. Price movements like these can be indicators of potential opportunities or risks within a theme.
Individual Ticker Analysis
Let's briefly explore the individual analysis of the four tickers within the compression theme:
OKE (Oneok): OKE recently recovered from oversold territory, with its RSI indicator crossing back above 30. This suggests a potential shift from a downward trend to an upward one, with a 76% likelihood of a move higher. The current price of $63.49 is trading between $73.34 resistance and $60.59 support lines.
NGS: NGS's RSI Oscillator recently left the overbought zone, indicating a potential shift from an upward trend to a downward one. Traders may consider selling the stock or buying put options, given an 80% likelihood of a move down. The current price of $13.52 is trading between $14.17 resistance and $10.30 support lines.
USAC (USA Compression Partners): The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for USAC turned positive on September 28, 2023, suggesting a potential upward trend continuation with a 78% likelihood. The current price of $25.32 is above $21.29, the highest resistance line found by AI.
In summary, while the compression theme has recently shown a surge in performance, there are indications of a negative outlook, particularly based on technical indicators. Individual stock analysis reveals opportunities and risks, and investors should carefully consider their strategies in this evolving market.