GET DAILY SIGNALSTotalEnergies SE (TTE) Analyst Targets Point to +14% Upside
Key Takeaways
- The central stock price target used here is $100, calculated as the arithmetic mean of roughly 14 verified analyst price targets.
- At a recent price near $87.82, reaching $100 implies roughly a 14% upside, a modest move for a large-cap integrated energy company.
- Individual analyst targets range from approximately $90 to $112, with many clustered near $100; views span Buy, Hold, and a few more cautious ratings.
- The strongest supports include a recent earnings beat, a roughly 4.5% dividend yield, and broadly positive ratings following a roughly 40% year-to-date advance.
- The biggest risks are oil and natural gas price swings, macroeconomic softness, and the stock's recent pullback from its 52-week high.
- Investors can find additional detail on this ticker's Major News, Today's Price Move, Forecast, and Earnings on dedicated pages.
- Explore Trending AI Robots to see AI-driven trading strategies and market signals across thousands of stocks and ETFs.
Analyst Price Targets and Consensus View
TotalEnergies SE (TTE), the French integrated energy major trading on the NYSE as an American Depositary Receipt, is covered by a broad sell-side field. Reviewing recent, individually attributed targets produces a calculated mean of roughly $99.88, which rounds to a clean $100 central target. This figure is an arithmetic average of approximately 14 valid targets, not a single firm's call, and independent aggregators report similar averages in the high-$90s to low-$100s. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to see how the stock compares to others in the industry.
The range is wide. TTE targets span from about $90 (Morgan Stanley, which reduced the stock to equal weight in September) to about $112 (Barclays). Between those extremes, RBC Capital raised its target to $101 in early November, Bank of America reiterated $100, Piper Sandler sits near $93 with a Hold, and TD Cowen, Mizuho, and HSBC hold targets of roughly $103 to $108. Cautious voices argue commodity-price exposure caps upside, while bulls emphasize cash generation, share buybacks, and a premium dividend yield.
Current Market Position and Path Toward the Target
Shares recently traded near $87.82, down modestly in a pullback that trimmed roughly 8% over the prior week. From that level, reaching $100 requires an advance of about 14% — a modest move by historical equity-market standards, though meaningful for a company whose earnings remain tied to oil, gas, and LNG (liquefied natural gas) prices.
The path would require the stock to first reclaim and then clear its 52-week high near $95.78, which currently sits below the target. The company's latest quarterly report supports the case: EPS (earnings per share) of about $4.03 beat consensus estimates near $3.84, with revenue of roughly $61.9 billion above expectations of about $55.4 billion. A low trailing P/E (price-to-earnings) ratio near 8.8 and a forward multiple near 7.8 reflect a valuation that remains inexpensive relative to broad equity markets.
What Could Support a Move Toward the Target
- Earnings momentum: The recent top- and bottom-line beat gives analysts a reason to maintain or raise targets into 2027.
- Shareholder returns: A forward dividend yield near 4.5% plus ongoing buybacks provide fundamental support.
- Valuation: A single-digit P/E ratio means the stock need not "re-rate" aggressively to justify higher prices if earnings hold.
- Positive revisions: Recent actions include an RBC Capital target increase and a Zacks upgrade to strong-buy, alongside a prior J.P. Morgan upgrade to overweight.
- Sector demand: Integrated oil and gas exposure, LNG growth, and the company's renewables and power segment diversify its cash-flow base.
What Could Prevent the Target From Being Reached
- Commodity-price risk: A sustained drop in crude oil or natural gas prices would pressure earnings and dividend coverage.
- Macroeconomic weakness: Slower global demand or recession risk can reduce energy consumption and weigh on margins.
- Valuation compression: Sector-wide multiple contraction could offset fundamental gains even if earnings are stable.
- Technical resistance: The 52-week high near $95.78 and the round-number $100 level must be absorbed by sellers.
- Analyst caution: Hold ratings from Piper Sandler and Morgan Stanley's downgrade reflect genuine disagreement about upside.
Technical Levels and Market Structure
The most durable reference points are the 52-week low near $61.63 and the 52-week high near $95.78. Having rallied roughly 40% year to date, TTE is consolidating below that high after a recent pullback. The $95–$96 zone is the primary resistance level to clear before $100 comes into play, while the $100 mark itself represents both a psychological level and the central target. On the downside, the prior breakout area and the upper $80s act as near-term support levels.
Time Horizon and What Investors Should Monitor
Most analyst price targets reflect a research horizon of roughly 12 months, though the exact window varies by firm. Investors should track quarterly earnings and guidance, oil and LNG price trends, analyst target revisions, OPEC+ supply decisions, and interest-rate and inflation data that influence energy demand. For this ADR, currency moves between the euro and U.S. dollar also affect reported results. Any shift in the company's dividend or buyback program would be especially relevant to the total-return case. From what I see, monitoring these factors closely helps clarify the setup.
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Final Assessment
The $100 central target for TotalEnergies is an average of roughly 14 analyst price targets, representing about a 14% move from recent levels. The case rests on a strong earnings beat, inexpensive valuation, and generous shareholder returns, while the principal obstacles are commodity-price sensitivity and a wide $90-to-$112 range of analyst opinion that signals genuine uncertainty. Whether TTE reaches $100 depends on energy prices, execution, and whether the stock can reclaim and hold above its 52-week high. No outcome is guaranteed, and investors should monitor earnings, commodity markets, and analyst revisions before drawing conclusions.
Using Tickeron AI Tools in My Research
I often turn to Tickeron’s AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals when reviewing setups like this one. The platform helps me quickly scan for signals across energy names and compare technical trends without spending hours on manual charts. It fits naturally into my workflow for staying on top of momentum and risk levels in volatile sectors.
Disclaimer
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Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
TTE in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026
TTE moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 23 of 43 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for TTE moved out of overbought territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 40 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 16 of the 40 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 40%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TTE as a result. In 44 of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 47%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TTE turned negative on November 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 21 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 45%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TTE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 46%.
TTE broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The 10-day moving average for TTE crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
Following a +2.64% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TTE advanced for three days, in 205 of 375 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 199 of 351 cases where TTE Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 57%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 31, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TTE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 43 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.510) is normal, around the industry mean (1.516). P/E Ratio (10.882) is within average values for comparable stocks, (10.246). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.816) is also within normal values, averaging (1.088). Dividend Yield (0.046) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.013) is also within normal values, averaging (3.764).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly weaker than average sales and a marginally profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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a developer of oil and gas products
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