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Oct 22, 2020
Trucking Company Earnings Will Help Test Old Theory

Trucking Company Earnings Will Help Test Old Theory

I have been studying, trading, and writing about the market for over 30 years. When I first started studying the stock market, one of the first theories on investing that I remember learning about was the Dow Theory.

One of the main ideas in Dow Theory is that the transportation companies can be a leading indicator for the overall economy.If transportation companies are seeing a decline in revenue or a slowdown in the demand for their services, it’s a sign that the overall economy is slowing. Conversely, if the transportation companies are seeing an increase in the demand for their services, the economy is set to expand.

The Dow Theory will get a partial test on October 27 and 28 as three different trucking companies will report earnings. Old Dominion Freight Lines (ODFL) will report on October 27. CH Robinson Worldwide (CHRW) and Werner Enterprises (WERN) will both report on October 28. The trucking industry, along with railroads and shipping, are major parts of the Dow Transportation index.

With the companies set to report earnings, the sentiment toward these stocks isn’t very bullish overall. Analysts are pretty skeptical of CH Robinson and Old Dominion, and short sellers are pretty skeptical of CH Robinson. The table below shows the analysts ratings with the figures showing buys/holds/sells. The SIR column shows the short interest ratio for each stock.

That narrative from analysts doesn’t match the Tickeron scorecard for these three stocks. Tickeron has Old Dominion rated as a “strong buy” and CH Robinson and Werner both get “buy” ratings.


Contributor

Harry Richardson — Algorithmic Trader & Strategy Developer Harry is an algorithmic trader specializing in impulse and breakout trading strategies across cryptocurrency and equity markets. With more than 10 years of experience in developing automated trading systems, he focuses on building structured algorithms designed to capture momentum while maintaining strict risk control. His approach combines quantitative analysis, real-market execution, and continuous performance monitoring. Vitalii prioritizes risk management, drawdown control, and strategy stability over short-term optimization, ensuring algorithms are adaptable to changing market conditions. He has developed and tested hundreds of automated strategies, working extensively with live trading environments, forward testing, and portfolio-level algorithm management. His work centers on transforming trading ideas into fully operational, scalable automated systems.


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