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published in Blogs
Feb 08, 2019
TickeronGET DAILY SIGNALS
Tyson Foods (TSN, $60.90) beats earnings estimate, but misses revenue expectation

Tyson Foods (TSN, $60.90) beats earnings estimate, but misses revenue expectation

Tyson Foods managed to beat earnings estimate, while substantially falling short of revenue expectations.

The meat processing company’s adjusted earnings for fiscal first quarter was $1.58 a share, compared to analysts’ estimate of $1.57 a share. The adjusted earnings-per-share for the quarter was -12% lower from the year-ago period. Tyson’s beef sales grew to $3.93 billion, and its chicken sales increased to $3.12 billion.

However, The firm’s revenue declined -0.3% from a year earlier to $10.19 billion – lower than analysts’ expectations of $10.37 billion.

The company experienced strong adjusted operating margin at 12.5% for the quarter.

Tyson completed its acquisition of packaged foods firm Keystone Foods in the fiscal first quarter, and expects the merger to boost growth and global market expansion. The company forecasts adjusted earnings for full-year 2019 to range between $5.75 and $6.10 a share.

Related Ticker: TSN

Contributor

Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.


Aroon Indicator for TSN shows an upward move is likely

TSN's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on November 03, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 163 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 100 of the 163 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 61%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on TSN as a result. In 42 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 46%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for TSN just turned positive on October 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where TSN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 22 of 40 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.

TSN moved above its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for TSN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 44%.

Following a +1.48% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TSN advanced for three days, in 165 of 283 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for TSN moved out of overbought territory on October 26, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 41 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 27 of the 41 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 66%.

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TSN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.

TSN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TSN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 66 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.108) is normal, around the industry mean (2.295). P/E Ratio (34.108) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.505). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.044) is also within normal values, averaging (2.441). Dividend Yield (0.036) settles around the average of (0.038) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.332) is also within normal values, averaging (2.353).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. TSN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Archer Daniels Midland Company (NYSE:ADM), Tyson Foods (NYSE:TSN), Cal-Maine Foods (NASDAQ:CALM).

Industry description

The Agricultural Commodities/Milling industry includes companies that are involved in farming activities, such as crop production, livestock management and animal feed, for commercial purposes. The industry includes a wide range of operations from growing corn, to grain and oilseed processing to the operation of flour mills. Changes in consumer tastes is one of the critical factors influencing what products are grown and raised in this industry. Potential risks to the business include climate change and fluctuations in global prices of agricultural products. Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Elanco Animal Health, Inc., Bunge Limited and Canopy Growth Corporation are some of the biggest U.S. companies operating in this industry.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Agricultural Commodities/Milling Industry is 4.19B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 700 to 34.75B. HPTYD holds the highest valuation in this group at 34.75B. The lowest valued company is VCEX at 700.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Agricultural Commodities/Milling Industry was -2%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was -5%, and the average quarterly price growth was -15%. AQB experienced the highest price growth at 19%, while AGRZ experienced the biggest fall at -31%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Agricultural Commodities/Milling Industry was 104%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was 61% and the average quarterly volume growth was -35%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 43
P/E Growth Rating: 59
Price Growth Rating: 64
SMR Rating: 92
Profit Risk Rating: 91
Seasonality Score: 7 (-100 ... +100)
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published General Information

General Information

a distributer of chicken, beef, pork, prepared foods and related allied products

Industry AgriculturalCommoditiesMilling

Industry
Food Meat Or Fish Or Dairy
Address
2200 West Don Tyson Parkway
Phone
+1 479 290-4000
Employees
133000
Web
https://www.tysonfoods.com
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Tyson Foods (TSN, $60.90) beats earnings estimate, but misses revenue expectation