GET DAILY SIGNALSViasat (VSAT): Can the Stock Reach the $100 Target After Its 2026 Surge?
Key Takeaways
- The central stock price target of $100 represents the arithmetic mean of nine verified analyst price targets (approximately $102), rounded for clarity.
- With the latest verified close at $63.95, hitting $100 would require roughly a 56% advance from current levels.
- Analyst targets span a wide range, from a low of $49 (Barclays) to a high of $140 (Oppenheimer), with an overall Buy-leaning consensus.
- Key potential supports include spectrum value, possible defense-unit separation, Viasat-3 satellite progress, and emerging direct-to-device opportunities.
- Major risks center on Starlink competition, ongoing net losses, elevated debt, and valuation following the rally.
- Readers can track the company’s Major News and Today’s Price Move, review the Forecast, and study upcoming Earnings on dedicated pages.
- For a data-driven view of shifting market conditions, explore Trending AI Robots.
Analyst Price Targets and Consensus
The $100 central target draws from nine current analyst price targets ranging from roughly $49 to $140. These include $95 (Raymond James, Nov. 2026), $95 (Morgan Stanley, Sept. 2026), $130 (J.P. Morgan, Aug. 2026), $105 (Needham, Aug. 2026), $97 (Deutsche Bank, June 2026), $106 (B. Riley, May 2026), $100 (New Street, May 2026), $140 (Oppenheimer, June 2026), and $49 (Barclays, May 2026). The arithmetic mean comes in near $102, which rounds neatly to the $100 level referenced here.
The broad spread highlights real differences in how analysts value VSAT’s assets. Bullish views often focus on a sum-of-the-parts approach centered on global mobile-satellite spectrum, the defense and advanced technologies segment, and the possibility of separating that unit. More cautious voices, including Barclays at $49, note that the post-rally valuation may already price in much of the upside amid slower core growth and rising competition.
Current Market Position and Path to the Target
VSAT shares closed at $63.95 on Nov. 6, 2026, for a market capitalization near $8.8 billion. Reaching $100 would imply upside of about 56%, a substantial move. The stock trades above its 200-day moving average yet remains below the 52-week high of $93.03 after more than doubling from the 52-week low.
The company is still in transition. Trailing 12-month revenue stood near $4.66 billion, though net losses persist and the most recent quarter showed revenue slightly below expectations with a wider loss. A path to the target would likely need sustained revenue growth, movement toward profitability, and clear progress on the strategic initiatives analysts are tracking. I also checked this using Tickeron’s AI Screener to compare the stock against peers in the sector.
Factors That Could Support a Move Higher
- Spectrum valuation: Several analysts have lifted targets based on the perceived worth of VSAT’s mobile-satellite spectrum holdings and global licensing.
- Defense optionality: Activist pressure from Carronade Capital and board review of options for the defense business have encouraged sum-of-the-parts thinking.
- Satellite milestones: Progress on the Viasat-3 constellation and expanded multi-orbit, Ka-band government connectivity deals bolster the growth story.
- Direct-to-device potential: Emerging D2D opportunities are viewed by some as an underappreciated source of future value.
- Analyst revisions: Upgrades and target increases through 2026, including Deutsche Bank moving to Buy and fresh coverage from Oppenheimer and New Street, point to improving sentiment.
Risks That Could Keep the Target Out of Reach
- Starlink competition: SpaceX’s Starlink continues to pose a structural threat to residential and mobility broadband markets.
- Persistent losses: The company has not yet achieved consistent profitability, with trailing 12-month net income remaining negative.
- Leverage: VSAT carries roughly $6.9 billion in total debt against about $1.8 billion in cash, which constrains flexibility.
- Valuation and execution risk: After the rally, shares trade at elevated multiples of sales and EBITDA, leaving little margin for shortfalls.
- Wide analyst disagreement: The $49–$140 range reflects meaningful skepticism about whether current prices already capture the bull case.
Technical Levels and Market Structure
Key technical markers include the 52-week high near $93, which acts as near-term resistance, and the 52-week low near $29 on the downside. Shares have consolidated below the $93 high, and the $100 level sits as a psychological round-number target just above that prior peak. A decisive break through $93 would likely be required before $100 becomes realistic, while support has formed in the $57–$60 zone on recent pullbacks.
Time Horizon and Items to Monitor
Most analyst targets reflect a roughly 12-month horizon, though exact timeframes vary. Investors considering the path to $100 should watch upcoming earnings and guidance, any formal update on the defense business or potential spin-off, Viasat-3 deployment news, spectrum- or D2D-related developments, and shifts in analyst ratings. Broader interest-rate and risk-appetite changes can also influence valuation-sensitive growth stocks like this one.
Final Assessment
The $100 central target, based on nine analyst estimates averaging roughly $102, sits about 56% above the latest close of $63.95—a substantial advance that would require breaking decisively above the 52-week high. The bull case rests on spectrum value, defense-business optionality, and satellite and D2D milestones, while the bear case highlights Starlink competition, ongoing losses, heavy leverage, and a valuation that already prices in much of the positive news. The wide $49-to-$140 analyst range underscores real uncertainty, and reaching $100 is far from assured. Investors should focus on earnings, strategic announcements, and analyst revisions rather than viewing the average target as a certainty.
AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals
In my own analysis, I frequently rely on Tickeron’s AI Daily Buy/Sell Signals to monitor stocks like VSAT. The platform applies artificial intelligence to scan thousands of equities and ETFs, delivering Buy, Sell, or Hold signals grounded in technical behavior and market shifts. For a name as volatile as this one, the signals offer an efficient way to spot trend changes and manage positions alongside traditional research.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Contributor
Sergey Savastiouk, Ph.D. has a degree in Applied Mathematics from Moscow University and has extensive experience as an entrepreneur, investor, manager, and mathematician. His professional expertise is in applied mathematics, mathematical modeling, system and pattern analysis, and software and hardware system integration. He has served as the CEO of several hi-tech start-up companies and nonprofit organizations, which has given him proven capabilities in business strategy for high-tech start-up companies, market assessment, company formation, team building, product development, marketing, and sales. He has published numerous articles in journals and magazines on related fields. As a retail investor, he spent 15 years developing his proprietary trading and quantitative algorithms (now Tickeron’s A.I.), which brought him significant returns in trading the stock market. His current work and goal in founding Tickeron is to bring professional, sophisticated stock market analysis capabilities to retail investors via an easy-to-use interface.
VSAT's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for VSAT entered a downward trend on October 27, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 191 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 164 of the 191 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VSAT turned negative on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 44 of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 85%.
VSAT moved below its 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VSAT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
VSAT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where VSAT's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 27, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on VSAT as a result. In 76 of 91 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
The 10-day moving average for VSAT crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 15 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
Following a +17.88% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VSAT advanced for three days, in 221 of 286 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 3 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.899) is normal, around the industry mean (5.526). VSAT's P/E Ratio (-319.750) is considerably lower than the industry average of (4.359). VSAT's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.030) is slightly lower than the industry average of (0.778). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.127) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.091) is also within normal values, averaging (11.937).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. VSAT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. VSAT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 81, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
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a producer of digital satellite communications, other wireless networking and signal processing equipment and products
Industry TelecommunicationsEquipment
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