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AAOI vs NVTS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) vs. Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AAOI has delivered stronger year-to-date returns exceeding 400%, outpacing NVTS's approximately 145% gains amid AI data center demand.
- Both stocks exhibit high volatility, with AAOI benefiting from optical transceiver ramps and NVTS from GaN/SiC power semiconductor pivots.
- AAOI reports higher revenue scale at $456 million TTM versus NVTS's $46 million, though both remain unprofitable.
- Tickeron's AI rates AAOI a Strong Buy on fundamentals and NVTS a Hold, favoring AAOI longer-term.
- Recent market activity shows elevated trading volumes for both, driven by AI infrastructure catalysts and upcoming earnings.
- Sector exposure ties both to semiconductors, but AAOI leads in market cap at $14 billion versus NVTS's $4 billion.
Introduction
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) and Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) represent key players in the AI data center supply chain, with AAOI focusing on fiber-optic transceivers and NVTS on next-generation power semiconductors. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, business models, and relative positioning amid surging demand for high-bandwidth networking and efficient power solutions. Traders seeking exposure to AI infrastructure growth, as well as long-term investors evaluating semiconductor momentum, will find insights into volatility, catalysts, and trade-offs between these high-beta names.
AAOI Overview and Recent Performance
Applied Optoelectronics, Inc. (AAOI) designs and manufactures fiber-optic networking products, including transceivers for AI datacenters, cable TV broadband (CATV), telecom, and fiber-to-the-home (FTTH) markets. Headquartered in Sugar Land, Texas, the company serves tier-one customers in cloud computing and broadband infrastructure.
In recent market activity, AAOI shares have surged over 400% year-to-date, with a market cap approaching $14 billion. This momentum stems from strong demand for 400G transceivers and anticipation around 800G product ramps, alongside U.S. manufacturing expansions backed by state incentives. Trading volumes have spiked, reflecting sentiment shifts toward AI-driven bandwidth needs, though volatility persists ahead of earnings. Revenue grew 34% year-over-year in the latest quarter, influencing positive analyst revisions despite ongoing losses.
NVTS Overview and Recent Performance
Navitas Semiconductor Corporation (NVTS) develops gallium nitride (GaN) and silicon carbide (SiC) power semiconductors for applications in AI datacenters, electric vehicles (EVs), and energy infrastructure. Based in Torrance, California, it emphasizes high-efficiency power ICs and modules.
Recent weeks have seen NVTS shares rise about 145% year-to-date, reaching a $4 billion market cap, fueled by a strategic pivot to high-power markets like AI datacenters. Key developments include launches of 5th-generation GeneSiC SiC MOSFETs, partnerships such as with GlobalFoundries for GaN production, and executive transitions. Despite revenue contraction to $46 million TTM amid this shift, sampling expansions and guidance for sequential growth have boosted sentiment. High short interest and beta amplify price swings tied to AI power efficiency trends.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AAOI and NVTS both capitalize on AI datacenter expansion but differ in focus: AAOI's optical transceivers enable high-speed connectivity, while NVTS's GaN/SiC devices target power efficiency. Growth drivers include AAOI's transceiver ramps versus NVTS's high-voltage module sampling.
Recent momentum favors AAOI's 400%+ YTD surge over NVTS's 145%, with AAOI showing superior revenue scale but similar profitability challenges. Risk factors: AAOI faces execution on capacity expansions, NVTS revenue volatility during pivots. Both expose to semiconductors, yet AAOI aligns more directly with networking bandwidth, trading off against NVTS's broader energy applications. Market sentiment leans bullish on AAOI for trend consistency amid hyperscaler builds.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI favors AAOI over NVTS based on stronger fundamental scores (2 green vs. 1), higher long-term buy rating (Strong Buy vs. Hold), larger revenue base, and superior YTD trend stability. While NVTS edges short-term technicals, AAOI's catalysts in AI optics and market positioning suggest a higher probability of sustained outperformance, absent major setbacks.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AAOI is a Hold and NVTS is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AAOI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileNVTS’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AAOI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- NVTS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AAOI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVTS’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AAOI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NVTS’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AAOI (@Telecommunications Equipment) experienced а +27.81% price change this week, while NVTS (@Semiconductors) price change was +17.14% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Telecommunications Equipment industry was +3.21%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +16.71%, and the average quarterly price growth was +69.33%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +4.47%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +39.39%, and the average quarterly price growth was +81.10%.
Reported Earning Dates
AAOI is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
NVTS is expected to report earnings on Aug 17, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Telecommunications Equipment (+3.21% weekly)The Telecommunications Equipment industry produces voice and data communications equipment, which includes fiber optic delivery products, digital signal processors, high-speed voice, data and video delivery. Additionally, satellite systems, global positioning systems, wireless data systems, personal communications equipment, telephone handsets and payload equipment for satellites also fall into this category. Apple Inc., QUALCOMM Incorporated and Nokia are major global players in this segment.
@Semiconductors (+4.47% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| AAOI | NVTS | AAOI / NVTS | |
| Capitalization | 15.3B | 4.98B | 307% |
| EBITDA | -16.14M | -70.64M | 23% |
| Gain YTD | 446.070 | 198.599 | 225% |
| P/E Ratio | N/A | N/A | - |
| Revenue | 507M | 40.5M | 1,252% |
| Total Cash | 440M | 221M | 199% |
| Total Debt | 280M | 6.34M | 4,418% |
AAOI | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 87 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 67 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 5 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 92 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 34 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 5 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| AAOI | NVTS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 88% | 3 days ago 76% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 88% | 3 days ago 88% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 81% | 3 days ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 86% | 3 days ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 84% | 3 days ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 88% | 3 days ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 86% | 4 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 87% | 11 days ago 87% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 84% | 3 days ago 85% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 89% | 3 days ago 85% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| MFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| JIGCX | 62.58 | N/A | N/A |
| Janus Henderson Overseas C | |||
| RCEEX | 80.61 | -0.95 | -1.16% |
| American Funds Capital Income Bldr R2E | |||
| GPGCX | 17.37 | -0.29 | -1.64% |
| Grandeur Peak Global Contrarian Instl | |||
| SLLAX | 14.16 | -0.29 | -2.01% |
| SEI Small Cap F (SIMT) | |||
| IYITX | 23.04 | -0.70 | -2.95% |
| Nomura International Core Equity R | |||
AAOI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AAOI has been loosely correlated with LITE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 56% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AAOI jumps, then LITE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AAOI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AAOI | 100% | -6.49% | ||
| LITE - AAOI | 56% Loosely correlated | -3.11% | ||
| CIEN - AAOI | 53% Loosely correlated | -6.27% | ||
| LASR - AAOI | 47% Loosely correlated | -7.03% | ||
| NVDA - AAOI | 45% Loosely correlated | -4.42% | ||
| MPWR - AAOI | 44% Loosely correlated | -3.96% | ||
More | ||||
NVTS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVTS has been loosely correlated with IFNNY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 45% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NVTS jumps, then IFNNY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NVTS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVTS | 100% | -4.48% | ||
| IFNNY - NVTS | 45% Loosely correlated | -3.57% | ||
| TOELY - NVTS | 44% Loosely correlated | -1.74% | ||
| PENG - NVTS | 43% Loosely correlated | -5.30% | ||
| AAOI - NVTS | 42% Loosely correlated | -6.49% | ||
| COHU - NVTS | 41% Loosely correlated | -3.72% | ||
More | ||||