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MCHP vs NVTS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Microchip Technology (MCHP) vs. Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- MCHP delivered Q4 revenue of $1.19 billion, up 15.6% year-over-year, signaling recovery in end markets like automotive and industrial, though shares have declined amid broader sector pressures.
- NVTS reported Q4 revenue of $7.3 million with a strategic pivot to high-power AI data centers and SiC/GaN tech, driving explosive 1-year gains over 300% but high volatility.
- MCHP offers stability with diversified microcontroller portfolio and analyst targets around $86, while NVTS targets high-growth niches with average $8 targets but recent surges on AI catalysts.
- Recent 30-day performance shows MCHP down ~10-13%, NVTS up ~17% amid AI hype, highlighting trade-offs in risk versus momentum.
- Both in semiconductors, MCHP emphasizes embedded control, NVTS focuses on next-gen power efficiency for electrification and data centers.
Introduction
This stock comparison between MCHP and NVTS examines two semiconductor players amid evolving market dynamics in analog and power technologies. Investors seeking exposure to automotive, industrial, and AI-driven power solutions may find value in analyzing their relative performance, growth drivers, and risk profiles. With semiconductors powering everything from embedded systems to high-efficiency data centers, this head-to-head review highlights contrasts in scale, momentum, and positioning in the current environment, aiding decisions on stock comparison and market positioning.
MCHP Overview and Recent Performance
Microchip Technology (MCHP) designs and manufactures smart, connected embedded control solutions, including microcontrollers, analog devices, and connectivity products for automotive, industrial, and consumer applications. Headquartered in Arizona, the company operates in semiconductor products and technology licensing segments.
In recent market activity, MCHP reported strong Q4 fiscal 2026 results with $1.19 billion in revenue, a 15.6% year-over-year increase that beat expectations, driven by broad recovery across end markets and margin expansion from its nine-point recovery plan. Non-GAAP gross margins reached 60.5%, with momentum in connectivity for automotive Ethernet and expansions into power modules and cybersecurity Trust Platform. Despite this, shares have faced downward pressure in recent weeks, declining around 10-13% over the past month from highs near $77, trading around $65-66 amid inventory normalization and sector-wide pressures. Sentiment reflects operational strength but caution on broader chip cycles, with analyst targets averaging $86 signaling potential upside.
NVTS Overview and Recent Performance
Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) develops next-generation power semiconductors using gallium nitride (GaN) and silicon carbide (SiC) technologies for efficient power conversion in mobile, consumer, and high-power applications like AI data centers and EV charging. Based in California, it targets electrification and high-growth power markets.
Recent performance underscores NVTS's pivot to high-power segments, with Q4 2025 revenue at $7.3 million—high end of guidance—as these markets claimed majority share for the first time. Key developments include new 5th-gen GeneSiC SiC MOSFETs, 10kW GaN platforms with 98.5% efficiency for AI data centers, and partnerships like GlobalFoundries for U.S. GaN production plus NVIDIA GTC unveilings. Shares have shown volatility, surging 24%+ on AI announcements but pulling back, with ~17% monthly gains to around $9 amid YTD +33% and 1-year +329% returns. Sentiment boosts from AI catalysts contrast ongoing revenue scale challenges and losses, with targets averaging $8 but highs to $13.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
MCHP and NVTS both operate in semiconductors but diverge in business models: MCHP's mature, diversified microcontroller and analog focus yields scale ($1.2B quarterly revenue) versus NVTS's niche GaN/SiC power tech emphasizing efficiency for AI data centers and grid infrastructure ($7M quarterly). Growth drivers contrast MCHP's steady end-market recovery (automotive Ethernet, cybersecurity) with NVTS's high-upside AI catalysts like 800V platforms and NVIDIA ties, though NVTS grapples with smaller revenue base and profitability path.
Recent momentum favors NVTS's +17% 30-day surge on product launches versus MCHP's -10-13% dip, but MCHP shows superior stability (YTD +3% vs. NVTS +33%, 1Y +28% vs. +329%). Risk factors include MCHP's inventory overhang exposure and NVTS's execution risks in scaling high-power pivot amid losses. Sector exposure aligns on power/electrification, yet MCHP's broad industrial/auto base tempers volatility compared to NVTS's AI-speculative bet. Market sentiment leans optimistic for MCHP's recovery (targets $86) over NVTS's growth narrative ($8 avg), balancing trade-offs in relative performance.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI currently favors MCHP for its trend consistency in revenue recovery, margin gains, and diversified positioning amid semiconductor stabilization. NVTS offers compelling AI catalysts and momentum, but MCHP's scale, profitability trajectory, and lower volatility suggest higher probability of outperformance in the near term, based on observable end-market breadth and analyst alignment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is MCHP is a Hold and NVTS is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
MCHP’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileNVTS’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- MCHP’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NVTS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
MCHP’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVTS’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- MCHP’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NVTS’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
MCHP (@Semiconductors) experienced а -6.03% price change this week, while NVTS (@Semiconductors) price change was +26.92% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +9.99%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +43.69%, and the average quarterly price growth was +83.55%.
Reported Earning Dates
MCHP is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
NVTS is expected to report earnings on Aug 17, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+9.99% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| MCHP | NVTS | MCHP / NVTS | |
| Capitalization | 52.3B | 4.95B | 1,057% |
| EBITDA | 877M | -70.64M | -1,242% |
| Gain YTD | 52.667 | 196.499 | 27% |
| P/E Ratio | 439.59 | N/A | - |
| Revenue | 4.37B | 40.5M | 10,795% |
| Total Cash | 251M | 221M | 114% |
| Total Debt | 5.41B | 6.34M | 85,279% |
MCHP | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 71 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 73 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 91 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 6 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 52 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| MCHP | NVTS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 73% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 78% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 77% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 78% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 65% | 4 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 8 days ago 87% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 82% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 85% |
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MCHP and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MCHP has been closely correlated with MCHPP. These tickers have moved in lockstep 96% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if MCHP jumps, then MCHPP could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MCHP | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MCHP | 100% | -1.01% | ||
| MCHPP - MCHP | 96% Closely correlated | -1.11% | ||
| KLIC - MCHP | 75% Closely correlated | +6.40% | ||
| TXN - MCHP | 75% Closely correlated | +3.78% | ||
| ON - MCHP | 75% Closely correlated | +11.14% | ||
| ADI - MCHP | 74% Closely correlated | +3.04% | ||
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NVTS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVTS has been loosely correlated with IFNNY. These tickers have moved in lockstep 45% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if NVTS jumps, then IFNNY could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NVTS | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVTS | 100% | +9.97% | ||
| IFNNY - NVTS | 45% Loosely correlated | +10.33% | ||
| TOELY - NVTS | 44% Loosely correlated | +1.09% | ||
| PENG - NVTS | 43% Loosely correlated | +9.22% | ||
| AAOI - NVTS | 42% Loosely correlated | +18.45% | ||
| COHU - NVTS | 41% Loosely correlated | -0.34% | ||
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