AAOI stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on September 28, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AAOI as a result. In 69 of 86 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AAOI just turned positive on September 21, 2026. Looking at past instances where AAOI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 44 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for AAOI moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 35 of the 42 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 83%.

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 43 of 52 cases where AAOI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.

AAOI moved below its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AAOI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

AAOI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for AAOI entered a downward trend on October 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 5 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AAOI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 49 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.929) is normal, around the industry mean (5.894). P/E Ratio (25.020) is within average values for comparable stocks, (107.419). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.790) is also within normal values, averaging (0.778). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.006) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (11.834) is also within normal values, averaging (11.937).

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock slightly better than average.

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.