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ABG vs GPI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Asbury Automotive Group (ABG) vs. Group 1 Automotive (GPI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ABG (Asbury Automotive Group) is a Fortune 500 U.S. auto retailer that recently reported softer year-over-year earnings, with higher leverage and a sharp year-to-date share-price decline.
- GPI (Group 1 Automotive) is a U.S. and U.K. dealership operator with stronger recent relative performance, a growing aftersales business, and an active acquisition strategy.
- Both stocks operate in the cyclical automotive retail industry, but GPI has shown more consistent price momentum and broader geographic diversification in recent months.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Based on observable trend consistency, relative momentum, and market positioning, Tickeron's AI currently favors GPI over ABG.
- For deeper context on each name, explore the ABG Major News and ABG Today's Price Move pages, as well as the GPI Major News and GPI Today's Price Move pages.
- To see how automated strategies are positioning across the market, explore the Trending AI Robots collection.
Introduction
Investors evaluating the automotive retail sector often weigh scale, geography, and margin quality when comparing major dealership groups. Asbury Automotive Group (ABG) and Group 1 Automotive (GPI) are two of the largest publicly traded dealership operators in the United States, making them a natural pairing for a stock comparison. Both companies sell new and used vehicles, provide parts and service, and generate finance and insurance (F&I) income, yet their recent market positioning has diverged. This comparison is relevant for investors focused on consumer discretionary stocks, relative performance, and companies sensitive to interest rates, vehicle affordability, and consumer spending.
ABG Overview and Recent Performance
Asbury Automotive Group, headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, is one of the largest U.S. automotive retailers, operating roughly 171 new-vehicle dealerships representing more than 220 franchises across numerous domestic and foreign brands. The company also runs collision centers and its Total Care Auto (TCA) vehicle-protection business.
In recent weeks, ABG has faced a mixed fundamental picture. Its latest quarterly results showed revenue and adjusted earnings below consensus expectations, with year-over-year declines driven by softer new-vehicle profitability and elevated selling, general, and administrative (SG&A) costs. A large technology rollout (the Tekion dealer-management system) is a key strategic focus but has contributed to near-term cost and disruption pressures. Net leverage remains elevated at roughly 3.5x. On the sentiment side, shares have underperformed the broader market materially over the course of the year, though some analysts have reiterated buy ratings and price targets above recent trading levels, reflecting a longer-term view on efficiency gains and portfolio reshaping.
GPI Overview and Recent Performance
Group 1 Automotive, based in Houston, Texas, operates more than 250 dealerships across the United States and the United Kingdom, spanning dozens of automotive brands, alongside collision centers. Its U.K. footprint adds a layer of geographic diversification that its U.S.-focused peers do not all share.
Recent market activity for GPI has been comparatively steadier. The company's latest quarterly report showed a modest revenue decline and adjusted earnings slightly below consensus, but its aftersales segment posted record customer-pay revenue and repair-order counts, and its U.K. operations delivered improving same-store gross profit. The completion of the Hennessy acquisition added a portfolio of dealerships and expanded its luxury mix. GPI has paused share repurchases while it works to reduce post-acquisition leverage, a sign of disciplined capital allocation. On a total-return basis, GPI has outperformed its peer and the broader market over the trailing year, supported by consistent execution and a modest dividend.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron maintains a large library of AI-driven trading bots that collectively monitor thousands of different tickers across varied strategies, timeframes, and risk profiles. Because not every automated system suits every market regime, Tickeron curates only the strongest performers into its Trending AI Robots section, highlighting strategies that align with current conditions. These bots differ in trading style, holding period, statistical track record, and the set of tickers they trade, giving users a range of approaches to review rather than a single one-size-fits-all signal. For traders and investors interested in how algorithmic models are navigating names like ABG and GPI, the Trending AI Robots page offers a practical starting point for further research.
Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies share a core business model but diverge in structure and recent momentum. GPI brings meaningful international exposure through its U.K. operations, while ABG is primarily U.S.-focused, weighted toward the Sun Belt and luxury segments. Growth drivers also differ: GPI has emphasized acquisitions, aftersales expansion, and cost discipline, whereas ABG is investing heavily in technology transformation and portfolio optimization.
On relative performance, GPI has maintained stronger price momentum and positive total returns over the past year, while ABG has underperformed and carries a higher near-term earnings-miss track record. Risk factors are present on both sides: each holds meaningful leverage, and both face affordability headwinds, softer new-vehicle margins, and elevated SG&A. The key trade-off is between GPI's steadier trend and diversified footprint versus ABG's deeper technology-driven turnaround story, which remains unproven at the margin level.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Weighing observable factors such as trend consistency, relative momentum, geographic diversification, and the balance of catalysts and risks, Tickeron's AI would currently lean toward GPI over ABG. GPI's steadier price trend, stronger trailing total returns, and growing aftersales and U.K. contributions offer a more stable relative positioning, whereas ABG's technology transition and leverage present a less settled near-term profile. This reflects a probabilistic, trend-based assessment rather than a definitive forecast, and conditions can shift as new data emerges.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ABG is a Buy and GPI is a Buy.
ABG in upward trend: 10-day moving average broke above 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026
The 10-day moving average for ABG crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 20 of 24 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ABG as a result. In 73 of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ABG just turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where ABG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 45 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
ABG moved above its 50-day moving average on October 27, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +12.94% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ABG advanced for three days, in 218 of 313 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ABG moved out of overbought territory on November 05, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 30 of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 90%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 11 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ABG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
ABG broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for ABG entered a downward trend on October 23, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ABG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 50 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 52 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.927) is normal, around the industry mean (1.554). P/E Ratio (7.528) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.811). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.449) is also within normal values, averaging (0.695). Dividend Yield (0.004) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.207) is also within normal values, averaging (0.919).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ABG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock worse than average.
GPI's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GPI turned positive on October 15, 2026. Looking at past instances where GPI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on GPI as a result. In 79 of 100 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
GPI moved above its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for GPI crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 04, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
Following a +3.78% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GPI advanced for three days, in 225 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 42 of 65 cases where GPI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GPI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
GPI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for GPI entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 49 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.055) is normal, around the industry mean (1.554). P/E Ratio (10.751) is within average values for comparable stocks, (12.811). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.273) is also within normal values, averaging (0.695). Dividend Yield (0.008) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.144) is also within normal values, averaging (0.919).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. GPI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 73 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. GPI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 83, placing this stock better than average.
ABG | GPI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 25 | 31 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 52 Fair valued | 49 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 76 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 60 | 73 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 55 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 73 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GPI's Valuation (49) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as ABG (52). This means that GPI’s stock grew similarly to ABG’s over the last 12 months.
GPI's Profit vs Risk Rating (76) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as ABG (100). This means that GPI’s stock grew similarly to ABG’s over the last 12 months.
ABG's SMR Rating (60) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as GPI (73). This means that ABG’s stock grew similarly to GPI’s over the last 12 months.
ABG's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as GPI (55). This means that ABG’s stock grew similarly to GPI’s over the last 12 months.
ABG's P/E Growth Rating (50) in the Specialty Stores industry is in the same range as GPI (73). This means that ABG’s stock grew similarly to GPI’s over the last 12 months.
| ABG | GPI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 79% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 79% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 65% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 16 days ago 70% | 10 days ago 71% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 71% | 6 days ago 66% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 53% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ABG’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while GPI’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ABG’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- GPI’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ABG’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GPI’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ABG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- GPI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ABG (@Automotive Aftermarket) experienced а +4.35% price change this week, while GPI (@Automotive Aftermarket) price change was -0.31% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Automotive Aftermarket industry was -3.16%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.25%, and the average quarterly price growth was -14.21%.
Reported Earning Dates
ABG is expected to report earnings on Feb 04, 2027.
GPI is expected to report earnings on Feb 04, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Automotive Aftermarket (-3.16% weekly)The Automotive Aftermarket consists of the manufacturing, remanufacturing, distribution, retailing, and installation of vehicle parts and accessories, after the sale of the automobile by the original equipment manufacturer (OEM) to the consumer. The aftermarket parts many not be manufactured by the OEM. According to a Technavio study, the US automotive parts aftermarket size is estimated to grow by USD 24.33 billion during 2018-2022 (CAGR 3%). Like many other industries, the automotive aftermarket is also being intensely penetrated by the digital boom. The online auto parts sales market is predicted to exceed $13B by 2020 (according to a study by Mirakl).
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ABG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ABG has been closely correlated with GPI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ABG jumps, then GPI could also see price increases.
GPI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GPI has been closely correlated with ABG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GPI jumps, then ABG could also see price increases.
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