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ADI vs NVMI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) vs. Nova Ltd. (NVMI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ADI boasts a massive market cap of approximately $203 billion, dwarfing NVMI's $16.5 billion, reflecting greater scale in analog semiconductors.
- Both stocks have surged in recent market activity, with ADI up over 20% in the past month to a 52-week high near $418, while NVMI gained about 10-13% amid semiconductor strength.
- NVMI shows explosive growth with 31% revenue increase to $881 million in 2025, compared to ADI's steadier industrial and automotive exposure.
- P/E ratios stand high at around 76 for ADI and 65 for NVMI, indicating premium valuations tied to AI and chip demand.
- Recent insider selling at ADI totaling $16 million tempers enthusiasm, while NVMI eyes Q1 earnings on May 14.
- NVMI's higher beta of 1.78 signals greater volatility versus ADI's 1.20, suiting aggressive traders.
Introduction
In the booming semiconductor sector, Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) and Nova Ltd. (NVMI) represent distinct plays on chip demand driven by AI, automotive electrification, and advanced manufacturing. ADI, a leader in analog and mixed-signal chips, caters to broad industrial and communications markets, while Israel-based NVMI specializes in metrology solutions for semiconductor process control. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, growth trajectories, and market positioning, aiding traders seeking momentum in semis and investors eyeing relative value amid sector rallies.
ADI Overview and Recent Performance
Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs), software, and subsystems leveraging high-performance analog, mixed-signal, and digital signal processing technologies. Serving automotive, communications, industrial, and consumer sectors, the company excels in data converters, power management, and RF (radio frequency) ICs that bridge real-world signals to digital systems.
Recent market activity has propelled ADI shares up over 20% in the past month, touching 52-week highs around $418, with year-to-date gains exceeding 50% and one-year returns surpassing 100%. This momentum stems from broader semiconductor strength, positive analyst notes like Citi's upside catalyst watch ahead of Q1 earnings, and robust demand for analog chips in AI edge computing and EVs (electric vehicles). However, significant insider selling—totaling $16 million over recent months, including CEO Vincent Roche's transactions—has introduced caution, potentially signaling executive caution on near-term valuations.
NVMI Overview and Recent Performance
Nova Ltd. (NVMI), formerly Nova Measuring Instruments, develops and sells process control metrology systems essential for semiconductor fabrication. Its platforms enable dimensional, film, material, and chemical measurements across lithography, etch, deposition, and advanced packaging steps, supporting logic, foundry, memory, and equipment makers in Taiwan, the US, China, and Korea.
In recent weeks, NVMI shares have climbed around 10-13%, trading near $521 after full-year 2025 revenue hit a record $881 million (up 31% YoY) and Q4 reached $223 million (up 14%), with non-GAAP EPS of $2.14 beating estimates. Strength in memory (DRAM, HBM—high-bandwidth memory) and advanced logic like Gate-All-Around transistors has fueled sentiment, alongside Q1 guidance of $222-232 million. The stock's one-year return nears 180%, though higher volatility reflects niche exposure to wafer fab equipment trends.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ADI and NVMI both thrive in the semiconductor ecosystem but diverge in business models: ADI's broad analog IC portfolio targets end-markets like autos (EVs, ADAS—advanced driver-assistance systems) and industrials for stable, recurring demand, while NVMI's specialized metrology focuses on upstream fab processes, riding cyclical capex (capital expenditures) waves in advanced nodes.
Growth drivers contrast sharply: NVMI's 31% revenue surge outpaces ADI's steadier path, fueled by HBM and logic tech, yet ADI benefits from diversified exposure. Recent momentum favors ADI with sharper monthly gains, but NVMI leads one-year returns (~180% vs. ~106%).
Risk profiles differ: NVMI's beta of 1.78 implies higher volatility than ADI's 1.20, with greater sensitivity to fab spending cycles versus ADI's resilience. Market sentiment tilts positive for both amid AI tailwinds, though ADI faces insider selling headwinds and NVMI premium P/E trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward NVMI for its superior trend consistency in recent quarters, backed by explosive revenue growth (31% YoY), record earnings beats, and positioning in high-demand metrology for AI chip production. While ADI offers scale and stability, NVMI's catalysts like upcoming Q1 results and memory/logic exposure suggest stronger near-term upside probability, albeit with elevated volatility.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ADI is a Hold and NVMI is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileNVMI’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- ADI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- NVMI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVMI’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- NVMI’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ADI (@Semiconductors) experienced а -10.94% price change this week, while NVMI (@Electronic Production Equipment) price change was -15.19% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -10.58%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -10.31%, and the average quarterly price growth was +83.46%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was -9.96%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.31%, and the average quarterly price growth was +121.85%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADI is expected to report earnings on Aug 26, 2026.
NVMI is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (-10.58% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
@Electronic Production Equipment (-9.96% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
| ADI | NVMI | ADI / NVMI | |
| Capitalization | 188B | 15.5B | 1,213% |
| EBITDA | 6.23B | 284M | 2,193% |
| Gain YTD | 43.505 | 48.579 | 90% |
| P/E Ratio | 66.29 | 73.16 | 91% |
| Revenue | 12.7B | 903M | 1,406% |
| Total Cash | 3.44B | 1.1B | 313% |
| Total Debt | 8.69B | 800M | 1,086% |
ADI | NVMI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 20 | 15 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 58 Fair valued | 70 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 11 | 9 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 73 | 43 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 47 | 10 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ADI's Valuation (58) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NVMI (70) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry. This means that ADI’s stock grew similarly to NVMI’s over the last 12 months.
NVMI's Profit vs Risk Rating (9) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ADI (11) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that NVMI’s stock grew similarly to ADI’s over the last 12 months.
NVMI's SMR Rating (43) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ADI (73) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that NVMI’s stock grew similarly to ADI’s over the last 12 months.
NVMI's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is in the same range as ADI (39) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that NVMI’s stock grew similarly to ADI’s over the last 12 months.
NVMI's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the Electronic Production Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ADI (47) in the Semiconductors industry. This means that NVMI’s stock grew somewhat faster than ADI’s over the last 12 months.
| ADI | NVMI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 84% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 70% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 69% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 6 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 54% | 4 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 68% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 76% |
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ADI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ADI has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ADI jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ADI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADI | 100% | -7.42% | ||
| LRCX - ADI | 79% Closely correlated | -5.66% | ||
| KLAC - ADI | 79% Closely correlated | -3.93% | ||
| ENTG - ADI | 78% Closely correlated | -8.42% | ||
| MCHP - ADI | 77% Closely correlated | -6.58% | ||
| KLIC - ADI | 77% Closely correlated | -4.77% | ||
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