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ADSK vs BSY
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Autodesk (ADSK) vs. Bentley Systems (BSY) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Autodesk (ADSK) is the larger and faster-growing name, with trailing-twelve-month revenue near $7.8 billion and roughly 16% year-over-year top-line growth in its latest quarter.
- Bentley Systems (BSY) is a smaller, infrastructure-focused software vendor with revenue of about $1.6 billion and solid double-digit, but slower, growth.
- Relative performance has diverged sharply: ADSK has delivered a positive year-to-date return, while BSY has lagged the broader market over the past year.
- Both companies operate mission-critical design-software franchises, but ADSK spans architecture, construction, manufacturing, and media, whereas BSY is concentrated in infrastructure engineering.
- Valuation and risk profiles differ: BSY trades at a higher earnings multiple and carries heavier short interest, while ADSK commands a premium based on scale and momentum.
Introduction
Autodesk, Inc. and Bentley Systems, Incorporated both sell software that helps professionals design, build, and operate physical assets, yet they target different corners of that market. This stock comparison is most relevant for investors and traders evaluating two software companies whose growth narratives, valuations, and recent price behavior have diverged despite operating in adjacent industries. Understanding the contrast in their business models, momentum, and risk factors can help clarify where each name sits in the current market landscape. This article examines recent performance, key developments, and relative positioning to support a balanced, fact-based assessment of the two stocks.
ADSK Overview and Recent Performance
Autodesk, Inc., best known for pioneering computer-aided design (CAD) with its AutoCAD product, provides design and engineering software across architecture, engineering, construction, manufacturing, and media and entertainment. In its most recent quarter, ADSK reported revenue of approximately $2.05 billion, up about 16% year over year, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS, or profit allocated to each share) coming in above analyst consensus. Annual recurring revenue (ARR, the annualized value of subscription contracts) grew to roughly $7.54 billion.
Recent market activity has been characterized by a rising stock price over the past year, supported by strength in construction and manufacturing platforms, including the Fusion design-and-make offering, and the integration of the MaintainX acquisition to extend into asset operations. Analysts have generally maintained a favorable consensus, though sentiment has been tempered by near-term transitional headwinds tied to a new transaction model and a large cohort of enterprise renewals. The stock remains well below its 52-week high but has posted a positive year-to-date return.
BSY Overview and Recent Performance
Bentley Systems, Incorporated provides infrastructure engineering software used to design, construct, and operate roads, bridges, rail, water systems, utilities, and industrial facilities, with a particular focus on "digital twin" technology that creates virtual replicas of physical assets. In its latest reported quarter, BSY generated revenue of about $410.7 million, up roughly 12.8% year over year, with ARR near $1.54 billion and a net revenue retention rate of approximately 109%.
Despite steady recurring-revenue growth and a modest dividend, BSY has underperformed the broader market over the past year and has declined year to date, trading well below its 52-week high. Recent developments include new analyst coverage and ratings, the promotion of a new chief revenue officer, and continued shareholder buybacks. The company's heavier short interest and elevated valuation multiple relative to earnings have contributed to a more mixed near-term sentiment profile.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between ADSK and BSY is scope. Autodesk's diversified exposure across construction, manufacturing, and media gives it broader demand drivers and a much larger revenue base, while Bentley's concentration in infrastructure engineering offers a more specialized franchise with a strong foothold among owner-operators and engineering firms. On growth, ADSK has recently outgrown BSY, though both sustain double-digit revenue expansion.
Relative performance also differs. ADSK has climbed over the past year and is positive year to date, whereas BSY has fallen significantly over the same period. From a valuation standpoint, BSY carries a higher price-to-earnings multiple and higher short interest as a percentage of its public float, reflecting greater investor skepticism, while ADSK trades at a comparatively lower earnings multiple on a larger, more established base. Risk factors include ADSK's ongoing go-to-market transition and BSY's narrower end-market exposure and debt levels.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, revenue momentum, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would currently lean toward ADSK. The stock's positive year-to-date return, faster recent top-line growth, broader diversification, and comparatively favorable earnings multiple suggest a steadier and more constructive setup than BSY, whose underperformance, elevated short interest, and narrower market exposure introduce additional uncertainty. That said, this assessment reflects probabilistic, data-driven reasoning rather than a definitive prediction, and either stock could deviate from current trends as new catalysts emerge.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ADSK is a Hold and BSY is a Hold.
Momentum Indicator for ADSK turns positive, indicating new upward trend
ADSK saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 05, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 83 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 56 of the 83 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 67%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADSK just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where ADSK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 33 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
ADSK moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +6.39% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADSK advanced for three days, in 212 of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 10-day moving average for ADSK crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 11, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADSK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
ADSK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for ADSK entered a downward trend on October 08, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 19 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ADSK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 74 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (12.804) is normal, around the industry mean (51.922). P/E Ratio (26.838) is within average values for comparable stocks, (82.636). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.797) is also within normal values, averaging (3.135). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.024) is also within normal values, averaging (70.810).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADSK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
BSY sees its 50-day moving average cross bullishly above its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for BSY moved above the 200-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This could be a long-term bullish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an upward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on BSY as a result. In 57 of 97 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for BSY just turned positive on September 30, 2026. Looking at past instances where BSY's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 34 of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
BSY moved above its 50-day moving average on October 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for BSY crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 13, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 10 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 56%.
Following a +3.34% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BSY advanced for three days, in 167 of 284 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 59%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for BSY moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 19 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 15 of the 19 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 79%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 9 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where BSY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
BSY broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for BSY entered a downward trend on October 07, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 16 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (7.862) is normal, around the industry mean (51.922). P/E Ratio (34.767) is within average values for comparable stocks, (82.636). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.204) is also within normal values, averaging (3.135). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.011) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.341) is also within normal values, averaging (70.810).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 39 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. BSY’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 90 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BSY’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
ADSK | BSY | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 20 | 31 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 74 Overvalued | 16 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 19 | 39 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 96 | 90 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BSY's Valuation (16) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ADSK (74) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that BSY’s stock grew somewhat faster than ADSK’s over the last 12 months.
BSY's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the null industry is in the same range as ADSK (100) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that BSY’s stock grew similarly to ADSK’s over the last 12 months.
ADSK's SMR Rating (19) in the Packaged Software industry is in the same range as BSY (39) in the null industry. This means that ADSK’s stock grew similarly to BSY’s over the last 12 months.
BSY's Price Growth Rating (46) in the null industry is in the same range as ADSK (55) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that BSY’s stock grew similarly to ADSK’s over the last 12 months.
BSY's P/E Growth Rating (90) in the null industry is in the same range as ADSK (96) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that BSY’s stock grew similarly to ADSK’s over the last 12 months.
| ADSK | BSY | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 59% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 62% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 60% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 63% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 59% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 68% | 9 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 53% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 66% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADSK’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while BSY’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ADSK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- BSY’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADSK’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BSY’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADSK’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- BSY’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ADSK (@Packaged Software) experienced а +4.95% price change this week, while BSY (@Packaged Software) price change was +4.05% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was -1.95%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -4.07%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.08%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADSK is expected to report earnings on Dec 01, 2026.
BSY is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Packaged Software (-1.95% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
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BSY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BSY has been closely correlated with ADSK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 71% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if BSY jumps, then ADSK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BSY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BSY | 100% | +3.25% | ||
| ADSK - BSY | 71% Closely correlated | +6.07% | ||
| APPF - BSY | 67% Closely correlated | +7.59% | ||
| COIN - BSY | 66% Loosely correlated | +6.32% | ||
| MANH - BSY | 65% Loosely correlated | +3.14% | ||
| FRSH - BSY | 64% Loosely correlated | +4.09% | ||
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