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ADT vs TAL
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ADT is a Hold and TAL is a StrongBuy.
ADT's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADT turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where ADT's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 56 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ADT's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 11 of 19 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 58%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ADT as a result. In 63 of 104 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
ADT moved above its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +2.95% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADT advanced for three days, in 165 of 300 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 55%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 10 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The 50-day moving average for ADT moved below the 200-day moving average on October 07, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 59%.
ADT broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 15, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for ADT entered a downward trend on October 12, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 48 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.429) is normal, around the industry mean (3.000). P/E Ratio (8.831) is within average values for comparable stocks, (2.127). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.450) is also within normal values, averaging (5.749). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (0.340) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.177) is also within normal values, averaging (2.085).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 57 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ADT’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADT’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 70, placing this stock worse than average.
TAL's RSI Indicator sits in oversold zone for 1 day
It is expected that a price bounce should occur soon.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 3 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +3.66% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where TAL advanced for three days, in 221 of 270 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
TAL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 119 of 140 cases where TAL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 85%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 16, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on TAL as a result. In 81 of 104 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for TAL turned negative on October 16, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 55 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 45 of the 55 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 82%.
TAL moved below its 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where TAL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 85, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. TAL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 90 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.434) is normal, around the industry mean (1.349). P/E Ratio (6.526) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.780). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.764) is also within normal values, averaging (1.327). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (4.828) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.113) is also within normal values, averaging (27.566).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
ADT | TAL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 31 | 60 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 48 Fair valued | 90 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 55 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 51 | 41 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 57 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 75 | 96 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ADT's Valuation (48) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for TAL (90) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that ADT’s stock grew somewhat faster than TAL’s over the last 12 months.
TAL's Profit vs Risk Rating (55) in the Other Consumer Services industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ADT (100) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that TAL’s stock grew somewhat faster than ADT’s over the last 12 months.
TAL's SMR Rating (41) in the Other Consumer Services industry is in the same range as ADT (51) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that TAL’s stock grew similarly to ADT’s over the last 12 months.
ADT's Price Growth Rating (57) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as TAL (61) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that ADT’s stock grew similarly to TAL’s over the last 12 months.
ADT's P/E Growth Rating (75) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as TAL (96) in the Other Consumer Services industry. This means that ADT’s stock grew similarly to TAL’s over the last 12 months.
| ADT | TAL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 78% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 63% | 1 day ago 82% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 73% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 16 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 23 days ago 59% | 1 day ago 80% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 85% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADT’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while TAL’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ADT’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- TAL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADT’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while TAL’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADT’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- TAL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ADT (@Miscellaneous Commercial Services) experienced а +1.90% price change this week, while TAL (@Other Consumer Specialties) price change was -15.67% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry was -0.30%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -12.60%, and the average quarterly price growth was -15.38%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Other Consumer Specialties industry was -2.64%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.71%, and the average quarterly price growth was -16.59%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADT is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
TAL is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Miscellaneous Commercial Services (-0.30% weekly)The sector produces general business services, and are not classified elsewhere. For example, FleetCor Technologies provides fuel cards and workforce payment products and services; Copart, Inc. provides online vehicle auction and remarketing services across various nations; Equifax Inc. collects and aggregates credit information on consumers and businesses worldwide, along with selling credit monitoring and fraud-prevention services. Many of the companies in this category have multi-billion market capitalizations.
@Other Consumer Specialties (-2.64% weekly)‘Other Consumer Specialties’ represents an industry that typically sells durable consumer products, but do not have a classification in another category. The products include jewelry, smoke detectors, watches, collectibles and safety products. MSA Safety (makes products which enhances the safety and health of workers and protect facility infrastructures), Matthews International (memorialization business), Fitbit (makes wireless-enabled wearable technology devices that gauge data such as the number of steps walked, heart rate, quality of sleep), and Fossil Group (makes watches and accessories) have some of the largest market caps in this group.
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TAL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, TAL has been loosely correlated with GOTU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 46% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if TAL jumps, then GOTU could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To TAL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAL | 100% | -0.85% | ||
| GOTU - TAL | 46% Loosely correlated | -3.08% | ||
| EDU - TAL | 43% Loosely correlated | -1.38% | ||
| LAUR - TAL | 26% Poorly correlated | +1.25% | ||
| ADT - TAL | 25% Poorly correlated | +2.79% | ||
| VCIG - TAL | 23% Poorly correlated | +7.17% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| SPMB | 21.56 | 0.20 | +0.94% |
| State Street SPDR Portfolio Mortgage Backed Bond ETF (SPMB) | |||
| FISR | 24.82 | 0.21 | +0.85% |
| State Street Fixed Income Sector Rotation ETF (FISR) | |||
| RMRC | 25.90 | 0.06 | +0.22% |
| ARMOR Core Risk-Managed ETF (RMRC) | |||
| NTSE | 42.93 | -1.13 | -2.55% |
| WisdomTree Emerging Markets Efficient Core Fund (NTSE) | |||
| EWO | 38.92 | -1.65 | -4.07% |
| iShares MSCI Austria ETF (EWO) | |||