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ADTN vs VIAV
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ADTN is a Hold and VIAV is a Hold.
ADTN's Indicator enters downward trend
The Aroon Indicator for ADTN entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor identified a pattern where the AroonDown red line was above 70 while the AroonUp green line was below 30 for three straight days. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. A.I.dvisor looked at 227 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator formed such a pattern. In 196 of the 227 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 42 of 51 cases where ADTN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
ADTN moved below its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADTN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
ADTN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ADTN's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 20 of 29 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 69%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ADTN as a result. In 69 of 93 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Following a +8.53% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADTN advanced for three days, in 215 of 279 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 14 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 84 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ADTN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 93 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.279) is normal, around the industry mean (5.894). ADTN's P/E Ratio (500.000) is considerably higher than the industry average of (107.419). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.460) is also within normal values, averaging (0.778). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.006) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.501) is also within normal values, averaging (11.937).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADTN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.
Momentum Indicator for VIAV turns negative, indicating new downward trend
VIAV saw its Momentum Indicator move below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new downward move. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 83 similar instances where the indicator turned negative. In 62 of the 83 cases, the stock moved further down in the following days. The odds of a decline are at 75%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for VIAV moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 25 of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 58%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 36 of 59 cases where VIAV's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 61%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VIAV turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 28 of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VIAV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
VIAV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 01, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
VIAV moved above its 50-day moving average on September 25, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for VIAV crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Following a +12.36% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VIAV advanced for three days, in 234 of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 197 of 274 cases where VIAV Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 72%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 36 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. VIAV’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 70 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 92 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.964) is normal, around the industry mean (5.894). VIAV has a moderately high P/E Ratio (350.500) as compared to the industry average of (107.419). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.470) is also within normal values, averaging (0.778). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.006) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.208) is also within normal values, averaging (11.937).
ADTN | VIAV | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 44 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 93 Overvalued | 92 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 44 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 94 | 91 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 84 | 36 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 14 | 70 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
VIAV's Valuation (92) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as ADTN (93) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that VIAV’s stock grew similarly to ADTN’s over the last 12 months.
VIAV's Profit vs Risk Rating (44) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ADTN (100) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that VIAV’s stock grew somewhat faster than ADTN’s over the last 12 months.
VIAV's SMR Rating (91) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as ADTN (94) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that VIAV’s stock grew similarly to ADTN’s over the last 12 months.
VIAV's Price Growth Rating (36) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ADTN (84) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that VIAV’s stock grew somewhat faster than ADTN’s over the last 12 months.
ADTN's P/E Growth Rating (14) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is somewhat better than the same rating for VIAV (70) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that ADTN’s stock grew somewhat faster than VIAV’s over the last 12 months.
| ADTN | VIAV | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 69% | 1 day ago 58% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 61% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 77% | 13 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 59% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 72% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADTN’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while VIAV’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ADTN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- VIAV’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADTN’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while VIAV’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADTN’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- VIAV’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
ADTN (@Telecommunications Equipment) experienced а -8.66% price change this week, while VIAV (@Telecommunications Equipment) price change was -14.25% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Telecommunications Equipment industry was -7.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.78%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.78%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADTN is expected to report earnings on Nov 03, 2026.
VIAV is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Telecommunications Equipment (-7.81% weekly)The Telecommunications Equipment industry produces voice and data communications equipment, which includes fiber optic delivery products, digital signal processors, high-speed voice, data and video delivery. Additionally, satellite systems, global positioning systems, wireless data systems, personal communications equipment, telephone handsets and payload equipment for satellites also fall into this category. Apple Inc., QUALCOMM Incorporated and Nokia are major global players in this segment.
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