Advertisement
ADTN vs VIAV
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ADTN is a Hold and VIAV is a Hold.
ADTN in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026
ADTN moved below its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 38 of 46 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 41 of 51 cases where ADTN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ADTN as a result. In 75 of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADTN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
ADTN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for ADTN entered a downward trend on October 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ADTN's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 22 of 30 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ADTN just turned positive on October 27, 2026. Looking at past instances where ADTN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 30 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 64%.
Following a +6.26% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ADTN advanced for three days, in 217 of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 11 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 14 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.951) is normal, around the industry mean (6.592). P/E Ratio (-22.429) is within average values for comparable stocks, (6.086). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.460) is also within normal values, averaging (0.778). Dividend Yield (0.057) settles around the average of (0.110) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.501) is also within normal values, averaging (11.937).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 65 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ADTN’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADTN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.
VIAV in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026
The 10-day moving average for VIAV crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VIAV as a result. In 55 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VIAV turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 29 of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 69%.
VIAV moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 50-day moving average for VIAV moved below the 200-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VIAV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
The Aroon Indicator for VIAV entered a downward trend on November 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for VIAV's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +8.09% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VIAV advanced for three days, in 238 of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
VIAV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 4 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.736) is normal, around the industry mean (6.592). VIAV's P/E Ratio (-213.846) is considerably lower than the industry average of (6.086). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.470) is also within normal values, averaging (0.778). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.110) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.208) is also within normal values, averaging (11.937).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. VIAV’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 70 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. VIAV’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
ADTN | VIAV | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 14 | 64 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 14 Undervalued | 4 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 70 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 94 | 91 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 79 | 64 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 11 | 98 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
VIAV's Valuation (4) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as ADTN (14) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that VIAV’s stock grew similarly to ADTN’s over the last 12 months.
VIAV's Profit vs Risk Rating (70) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as ADTN (100) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that VIAV’s stock grew similarly to ADTN’s over the last 12 months.
VIAV's SMR Rating (91) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as ADTN (94) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that VIAV’s stock grew similarly to ADTN’s over the last 12 months.
VIAV's Price Growth Rating (64) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as ADTN (79) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that VIAV’s stock grew similarly to ADTN’s over the last 12 months.
ADTN's P/E Growth Rating (11) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is significantly better than the same rating for VIAV (98) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that ADTN’s stock grew significantly faster than VIAV’s over the last 12 months.
| ADTN | VIAV | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 63% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 64% | 2 days ago 69% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 77% | 7 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 61% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 71% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ADTN’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while VIAV’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ADTN’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- VIAV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ADTN’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while VIAV’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ADTN’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- VIAV’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
ADTN (@Telecommunications Equipment) experienced а -4.12% price change this week, while VIAV (@Telecommunications Equipment) price change was -12.80% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Telecommunications Equipment industry was -5.67%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -13.32%, and the average quarterly price growth was -16.22%.
Reported Earning Dates
ADTN is expected to report earnings on Mar 03, 2027.
VIAV is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Telecommunications Equipment (-5.67% weekly)The Telecommunications Equipment industry produces voice and data communications equipment, which includes fiber optic delivery products, digital signal processors, high-speed voice, data and video delivery. Additionally, satellite systems, global positioning systems, wireless data systems, personal communications equipment, telephone handsets and payload equipment for satellites also fall into this category. Apple Inc., QUALCOMM Incorporated and Nokia are major global players in this segment.
Advertisement
ADTN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ADTN has been loosely correlated with AAOI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 50% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ADTN jumps, then AAOI could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ADTN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ADTN | 100% | -3.83% | ||
| AAOI - ADTN | 50% Loosely correlated | -9.49% | ||
| VIAV - ADTN | 49% Loosely correlated | -7.09% | ||
| HLIT - ADTN | 49% Loosely correlated | -0.39% | ||
| INSG - ADTN | 47% Loosely correlated | -1.09% | ||
| LITE - ADTN | 45% Loosely correlated | -18.59% | ||
More | ||||
VIAV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, VIAV has been closely correlated with LITE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if VIAV jumps, then LITE could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To VIAV | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| VIAV | 100% | -7.09% | ||
| LITE - VIAV | 67% Closely correlated | -18.59% | ||
| CIEN - VIAV | 66% Closely correlated | -11.34% | ||
| AAOI - VIAV | 58% Loosely correlated | -9.49% | ||
| HLIT - VIAV | 52% Loosely correlated | -0.39% | ||
| SILC - VIAV | 51% Loosely correlated | -7.51% | ||
More | ||||