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LITE vs VIAV
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Lumentum Holdings (LITE) vs. Viavi Solutions (VIAV) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both LITE and VIAV are leveraged to the artificial intelligence (AI) data-center buildout, but they play different roles: LITE supplies optical components and transceivers, while VIAV provides test, measurement, and optical-security solutions.
- LITE has delivered faster recent revenue growth and carries a larger market capitalization, while VIAV offers a margin-expansion turnaround story at a smaller scale.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: LITE — its stronger trend consistency, deeper AI-infrastructure exposure, and potential acquisition catalyst give it the edge in the current environment.
- LITE's relative performance has been amplified by a reported advanced-stage acquisition interest from Marvell Technology and a $2 billion NVIDIA partnership, while VIAV has been lifted by the Spirent integration and aerospace-and-defense demand.
- Explore LITE Major News and LITE Today's Price Move, along with VIAV Major News and VIAV Today's Price Move, for deeper, up-to-date coverage of each name.
- To see which names automated systems currently favor, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Lumentum Holdings (LITE) and Viavi Solutions (VIAV) are two optical-technology companies riding the same broad theme: surging investment in AI and cloud infrastructure. Yet they monetize that theme very differently, which makes their relative performance and market positioning a useful case study. This stock comparison is most relevant to investors and traders weighing two ways to gain exposure to AI-driven optical demand — one through components and transceivers, the other through testing and measurement. By examining recent momentum, growth drivers, and risk profiles side by side, readers can better assess how each name fits a diversified, research-driven approach.
LITE Overview and Recent Performance
Lumentum Holdings designs and manufactures optical and photonic products — including semiconductor laser chips, laser sub-assemblies, optical modules, and optical circuit switches — used across cloud, AI, and telecom networks. In recent weeks the stock has been exceptionally volatile, surging on AI-infrastructure enthusiasm and a reported advanced-stage acquisition interest from Marvell Technology, before giving back some gains. Fiscal fourth-quarter 2026 revenue reached roughly $1.01 billion, up more than 100% year over year, reflecting record 800G transceiver shipments and the early ramp of 1.6T products.
Sentiment has been shaped by several catalysts: an S&P 500 inclusion earlier in the year, a roughly $2 billion NVIDIA partnership to accelerate optical innovation, and growing demand for optical circuit switches as hyperscalers build energy-efficient networks. LITE's stock is up more than 100% year to date (YTD), though it trades below its 52-week high following recent pullbacks. Key risk factors include customer concentration — its two largest customers represented a combined 40%+ of recent revenue — and a stretched valuation.
VIAV Overview and Recent Performance
Viavi Solutions provides test and measurement, network assurance, and optical technologies for data centers, communications networks, and aerospace and defense applications. Its Network and Service Enablement (NSE) segment has become the primary growth engine, driven by demand for lab, production, and field-testing products tied to AI and hyperscale data centers, plus contributions from its acquired Spirent product lines. The company also operates an Optical Security and Performance Products (OSP) segment serving 3D sensing and anti-counterfeiting markets.
Fiscal fourth-quarter 2026 revenue rose 52.5% year over year to $443.1 million, with non-GAAP (adjusted) operating margin expanding sharply to 24.0% from 14.4% a year earlier — evidence of an improving mix and operating leverage. VIAV has gained well over 100% in the past year, though it also trades well below its 52-week high after recent volatility. While the data-center ecosystem now accounts for roughly half of NSE revenue, wireless and service-provider demand remains soft, leaving growth somewhat concentrated in a few end markets.
Trending AI Robots
For traders who prefer a data-driven approach, Tickeron's Trending AI Robots page highlights a curated selection of automated trading bots. Tickeron hosts hundreds of AI trading bots spanning thousands of tickers, but only the strongest performers — those best suited to current market conditions — earn a place in this featured section. Each bot operates with its own trading style, strategy, timeframe, risk profile, and set of tickers, allowing users to browse a range of approaches rather than a one-size-fits-all signal. Visitors can review performance statistics and select bots aligned with their own objectives. Explore the Trending AI Robots page to see which automated strategies are currently standing out.
Head-to-Head Comparison
LITE and VIAV differ most sharply in what they sell and how they scale. LITE is a component and systems supplier whose revenue is tied directly to unit volumes of lasers and transceivers — making it highly sensitive to hyperscaler buildouts but also to supply constraints and customer concentration. VIAV, by contrast, earns from testing and assurance across the lifecycle of those same networks, giving it a more diversified revenue mix that includes aerospace-and-defense resilience, but with slower-moving, project-based demand.
On momentum, LITE has posted faster top-line growth and stronger absolute share-price gains, aided by deal-related speculation. VIAV's appeal rests more on a margin-expansion narrative, as the Spirent integration and a richer product mix lift profitability. Risk profiles also diverge: LITE faces valuation and concentration risk, while VIAV faces softer legacy telecom demand and integration execution risk. Both names remain volatile and closely tied to the broader AI trade.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor LITE over VIAV in the current environment. LITE exhibits stronger trend consistency, more direct AI-infrastructure exposure, faster revenue growth, and a potential acquisition catalyst that has reinforced positive sentiment. VIAV offers an improving margin profile and diversification benefits, but its smaller scale and softer legacy end markets suggest a less forceful trend at present. This assessment is probabilistic, reflecting relative positioning rather than a definitive outcome, and conditions can shift with new data.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is LITE is a Hold and VIAV is a Hold.
Aroon Indicator for LITE shows an upward move is likely
LITE's Aroon Indicator triggered a bullish signal on October 14, 2026. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor detected that the AroonUp green line is above 70 while the AroonDown red line is below 30. When the up indicator moves above 70 and the down indicator remains below 30, it is a sign that the stock could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders may want to buy the stock or look to buy calls options. A.I.dvisor looked at 288 similar instances where the Aroon Indicator showed a similar pattern. In 238 of the 288 cases, the stock moved higher in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move higher at 83%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for LITE's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +6.16% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where LITE advanced for three days, in 265 of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
LITE may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 02, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on LITE as a result. In 65 of 83 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for LITE turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 74%.
LITE moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for LITE crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 11 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where LITE declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 33 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 42 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. LITE’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 56 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (9.845) is normal, around the industry mean (6.305). P/E Ratio (-5.483) is within average values for comparable stocks, (5.681). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.080) is also within normal values, averaging (0.778). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.113) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (22.779) is also within normal values, averaging (11.937).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
VIAV in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026
The 10-day moving average for VIAV crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 13, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VIAV as a result. In 53 of 81 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VIAV turned negative on October 13, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 42 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 30 of the 42 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 71%.
VIAV moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 50-day moving average for VIAV moved below the 200-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VIAV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
The Aroon Indicator for VIAV entered a downward trend on November 04, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where VIAV's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 22 of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 2 days, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
Following a +8.09% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VIAV advanced for three days, in 238 of 321 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
VIAV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 4 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.480) is normal, around the industry mean (6.305). VIAV's P/E Ratio (-202.308) is considerably lower than the industry average of (5.681). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.470) is also within normal values, averaging (0.778). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.113) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (5.208) is also within normal values, averaging (11.937).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. VIAV’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 91 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
LITE | VIAV | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 10 | 58 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 56 Fair valued | 4 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 42 | 66 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 100 | 91 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 64 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 97 | 98 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 33 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
VIAV's Valuation (4) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is somewhat better than the same rating for LITE (56) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that VIAV’s stock grew somewhat faster than LITE’s over the last 12 months.
LITE's Profit vs Risk Rating (42) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as VIAV (66) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that LITE’s stock grew similarly to VIAV’s over the last 12 months.
VIAV's SMR Rating (91) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry is in the same range as LITE (100) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry. This means that VIAV’s stock grew similarly to LITE’s over the last 12 months.
LITE's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as VIAV (64) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that LITE’s stock grew similarly to VIAV’s over the last 12 months.
LITE's P/E Growth Rating (97) in the Telecommunications Equipment industry is in the same range as VIAV (98) in the Electronic Equipment Or Instruments industry. This means that LITE’s stock grew similarly to VIAV’s over the last 12 months.
| LITE | VIAV | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 71% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 65% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 83% | 9 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 72% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
LITE’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while VIAV’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- LITE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- VIAV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
LITE’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while VIAV’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- LITE’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- VIAV’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 7 bearish.
Price Growth
LITE (@Telecommunications Equipment) experienced а -31.42% price change this week, while VIAV (@Telecommunications Equipment) price change was -14.74% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Telecommunications Equipment industry was -17.98%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -23.68%, and the average quarterly price growth was -27.55%.
Reported Earning Dates
LITE is expected to report earnings on Feb 11, 2027.
VIAV is expected to report earnings on Feb 04, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Telecommunications Equipment (-17.98% weekly)The Telecommunications Equipment industry produces voice and data communications equipment, which includes fiber optic delivery products, digital signal processors, high-speed voice, data and video delivery. Additionally, satellite systems, global positioning systems, wireless data systems, personal communications equipment, telephone handsets and payload equipment for satellites also fall into this category. Apple Inc., QUALCOMM Incorporated and Nokia are major global players in this segment.
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LITE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, LITE has been closely correlated with CIEN. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if LITE jumps, then CIEN could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To LITE | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LITE | 100% | -7.85% | ||
| CIEN - LITE | 72% Closely correlated | -9.28% | ||
| AAOI - LITE | 67% Closely correlated | -7.35% | ||
| VIAV - LITE | 66% Closely correlated | -2.23% | ||
| NOK - LITE | 48% Loosely correlated | -2.59% | ||
| ADTN - LITE | 44% Loosely correlated | -6.52% | ||
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