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ADTN
Stock ticker: NASDAQ
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ADTN stock forecast, quote, news & analysis

Adtran Holdings Inc is a provider of networking and communications platforms, software, and services focused on the broadband access market... Show more

ADTN
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
A.I.Advisor
published price charts

Why Is ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) Stock Down -13.87% Today?

Key Takeaways

  • ADTN shares fell approximately 13.87% to around $16.71, marking a sharp reversal from the prior session's close of $19.40.
  • The decline follows a strong multi-week rally that pushed the stock near its 52-week high of $19.98.
  • Profit-taking appears to be the primary driver after the rapid gains from sub-$8 levels earlier in the year.
  • Elevated short interest, now above 14% of the float, may be contributing to volatility as positions adjust.
  • Broader technology sector weakness and concerns over supply chain costs and geopolitical factors added pressure.
  • Traders are monitoring upcoming quarterly guidance updates and any shifts in fiber optic demand trends.

Opening Summary

ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) is a provider of networking and communications equipment, specializing in fiber optic solutions, broadband access, and cloud connectivity products for service providers and enterprises. The stock dropped 13.87% in today's session, closing near $16.71 after the previous day's finish at $19.40. The move reflects significant profit-taking following a steep advance that lifted shares more than 150% from their 52-week lows.

Profit-Taking After Strong Rally

ADTN had surged sharply in recent weeks, driven by improving quarterly results and analyst optimism around its optical networking portfolio. The rapid ascent to within striking distance of the all-time high left the stock vulnerable to consolidation. Investors who entered earlier in the recovery appear to have locked in gains, producing the outsized selloff despite the absence of new negative corporate developments.

High Short Interest and Technical Factors

Short interest in ADTN stands above 14% of the public float. While covering activity can sometimes support prices, the current environment has instead coincided with liquidation pressure as the stock pulled back from resistance. Technical levels near the recent highs were breached, accelerating the downside move through stop-loss orders and momentum-driven selling.

Market Context and Trading Activity

Volume surged well above average, consistent with heightened participation during the reversal. The decline outpaced moves in broader technology indices and communication equipment peers, suggesting stock-specific dynamics at play rather than a uniform sector rotation. The pullback erased a substantial portion of the prior session's advance but left the stock still well above levels seen earlier in the quarter.

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What Comes Next for ADTN

Attention now turns to the company’s next earnings release, expected in early August, along with any updates on Q2 revenue trends and margin guidance. Key variables include memory pricing trends, freight costs, and demand visibility in the fiber and optical segments. Macroeconomic factors affecting broadband spending and potential regulatory developments in telecommunications will also remain in focus. Uncertainties around supply chain stability and geopolitical influences continue to warrant monitoring.

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for ADTN with price predictions
Jun 12, 2026

ADTN in +2.07% Uptrend, growing for three consecutive days on June 12, 2026

Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where ADTN advanced for three days, in of 282 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are .

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 4 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In of 208 cases where ADTN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are .

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for ADTN moved out of overbought territory on May 28, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 37 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In of the 37 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at .

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on June 09, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ADTN as a result. In of 96 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ADTN turned negative on June 05, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at .

ADTN moved below its 50-day moving average on June 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ADTN declined for three days, the price rose further in of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are .

ADTN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on May 26, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)

The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ADTN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.

The Tickeron Seasonality Score of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.

The Tickeron Valuation Rating of (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.985) is normal, around the industry mean (7.736). P/E Ratio (0.000) is within average values for comparable stocks, (81.233). ADTN's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.000) is very low in comparison to the industry average of (1.276). Dividend Yield (0.015) settles around the average of (0.015) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.087) is also within normal values, averaging (16.030).

The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.

The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ADTN’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 66, placing this stock worse than average.

A.I.Advisor
published Dividends

ADTN paid dividends on September 05, 2023

ADTRAN Holdings ADTN Stock Dividends
А dividend of $0.09 per share was paid with a record date of September 05, 2023, and an ex-dividend date of August 18, 2023. Read more...
A.I.Advisor
published Highlights

Notable companies

The most notable companies in this group are Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO), Nokia Corp (NYSE:NOK), Lumentum Holdings (NASDAQ:LITE), Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company (NYSE:HPE), Ciena Corp (NYSE:CIEN), Ericsson (NASDAQ:ERIC).

Industry description

The Telecommunications Equipment industry produces voice and data communications equipment, which includes fiber optic delivery products, digital signal processors, high-speed voice, data and video delivery. Additionally, satellite systems, global positioning systems, wireless data systems, personal communications equipment, telephone handsets and payload equipment for satellites also fall into this category. Apple Inc., QUALCOMM Incorporated and Nokia are major global players in this segment.

Market Cap

The average market capitalization across the Telecommunications Equipment Industry is 22.84B. The market cap for tickers in the group ranges from 1.59K to 477.31B. CSCO holds the highest valuation in this group at 477.31B. The lowest valued company is ABILF at 1.59K.

High and low price notable news

The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the Telecommunications Equipment Industry was 6%. For the same Industry, the average monthly price growth was 10%, and the average quarterly price growth was 65%. OCC experienced the highest price growth at 86%, while ASTS experienced the biggest fall at -12%.

Volume

The average weekly volume growth across all stocks in the Telecommunications Equipment Industry was -22%. For the same stocks of the Industry, the average monthly volume growth was -8% and the average quarterly volume growth was 37%

Fundamental Analysis Ratings

The average fundamental analysis ratings, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, are as follows

Valuation Rating: 50
P/E Growth Rating: 54
Price Growth Rating: 42
SMR Rating: 74
Profit Risk Rating: 65
Seasonality Score: 34 (-100 ... +100)
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ADTN
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published General Information

General Information

a developer of network access solutions

Industry TelecommunicationsEquipment

Profile
Details
Industry
Telecommunications Equipment
Address
901 Explorer Boulevard
Phone
+1 256 963-8000
Employees
3338
Web
https://www.adtran.com
Why Is ADTRAN Holdings, Inc. (ADTN) Stock Down -13.87% Today?