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AEE vs PPL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Ameren Corporation (AEE) vs. PPL Corporation (PPL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Ameren Corporation (AEE) has outperformed PPL Corporation (PPL) in recent market activity, with stronger YTD returns around 13% compared to PPL's approximately 8%.
- Both utilities benefit from rising electricity demand driven by data centers and infrastructure investments, but AEE shows higher expected Q1 EPS growth at 9.4% versus PPL's 1.7%.
- PPL offers a higher dividend yield of about 3% compared to AEE's 2.67%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Market caps are similar, with AEE at $31B and PPL at $28B, reflecting comparable scale in the regulated electric utility sector.
- Analyst targets suggest upside for both, with AEE at $120.60 and PPL at $42.13, indicating positive sentiment amid grid modernization trends.
- Recent momentum favors AEE, supported by transmission opportunities and load growth projections.
Introduction
Ameren Corporation (AEE) and PPL Corporation (PPL), both prominent regulated electric utilities, operate in the stable U.S. power sector, delivering electricity and natural gas to millions. This stock comparison analyzes their recent performance, growth drivers, and market positioning amid surging demand from data centers and economic expansion. Investors seeking defensive plays with dividends and exposure to infrastructure upgrades, as well as traders eyeing relative momentum in utilities, will find value in understanding how AEE and PPL stack up in the current environment.
AEE Overview and Recent Performance
Ameren Corporation (AEE), headquartered in St. Louis, Missouri, is a utility holding company serving customers through subsidiaries like Ameren Missouri and Ameren Illinois. It focuses on electric transmission, distribution, and natural gas, with investments in grid modernization and renewables. In recent market activity, AEE shares have traded around $112, near the upper end of their 52-week range of $93-$116, reflecting resilience. Year-to-date gains hover near 13%, outpacing broader utilities, driven by expectations of Q1 2026 EPS at $1.17 (up 9.4% year-over-year) and revenue growth to $2.24 billion. Sentiment has been bolstered by large-load agreements totaling over 3 gigawatts (GW), AI data center demand, and a $31.8 billion capital plan through 2030 supporting 10.6% rate base compound annual growth rate (CAGR). Higher operational costs pose challenges, but transmission opportunities in the Midwest enhance outlook.
PPL Overview and Recent Performance
PPL Corporation (PPL), based in Allentown, Pennsylvania, serves about 3.6 million customers across Kentucky, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island through regulated segments. It generates and distributes electricity from diverse sources including coal, gas, hydro, and solar. Recently, PPL shares have hovered near $38, within a 52-week range of $33-$40. Year-to-date performance stands at around 8%, with one-month dips amid sector volatility. Upcoming Q1 2026 earnings anticipate EPS of $0.61 (up 1.7%) and revenue of $2.62 billion (up 4.7%), though estimates have seen slight downward revisions. Positive factors include a $23 billion capital plan through 2029 for 10.3% rate base growth, data center pipeline expansions to 25 GW in Pennsylvania and 9 GW in Kentucky, and nuclear exploration partnerships. Competitive transmission dynamics temper enthusiasm.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both AEE and PPL operate regulated utility models centered on transmission and distribution, but differ in geographic focus: AEE in Midwest markets with strong transmission via Ameren Transmission, versus PPL's Eastern exposure including Kentucky generation. Growth drivers align on data center load—AEE projects 1.5 GW by 2032, PPL eyes 9-25 GW pipelines—but AEE's capex scales larger at $31.8 billion (2026-2030) versus $23 billion. Recent momentum favors AEE with better YTD and shorter-term gains; PPL lags slightly. Risk factors include regulatory approvals and costs, with PPL facing transmission competition. PPL edges on yield (3% vs. 2.67%), while P/E ratios are comparable (~21-24). Sentiment leans positive for both, with analysts citing stability.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors AEE over PPL, based on superior recent trend consistency, higher EPS growth projections, and stronger relative positioning from load agreements and capex-driven rate base expansion. While PPL offers attractive yield and growth potential, AEE's momentum and catalysts suggest a higher probability of near-term outperformance in the utility sector.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AEE is a Hold and PPL is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AEE’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whilePPL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AEE’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- PPL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AEE’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PPL’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AEE’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- PPL’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AEE (@Electric Utilities) experienced а -2.48% price change this week, while PPL (@Electric Utilities) price change was -2.87% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was -0.83%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.32%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.10%.
Reported Earning Dates
AEE is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
PPL is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (-0.83% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| AEE | PPL | AEE / PPL | |
| Capitalization | 29.4B | 26.2B | 112% |
| EBITDA | 4.17B | 3.82B | 109% |
| Gain YTD | 7.233 | 0.347 | 2,086% |
| P/E Ratio | 19.13 | 21.40 | 89% |
| Revenue | 8.88B | 9.31B | 95% |
| Total Cash | 13M | 1.24B | 1% |
| Total Debt | 21.3B | 20.2B | 105% |
AEE | PPL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 63 | 57 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 69 Overvalued | 53 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 38 | 32 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 64 | 76 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 53 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 67 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PPL's Valuation (53) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as AEE (69). This means that PPL’s stock grew similarly to AEE’s over the last 12 months.
PPL's Profit vs Risk Rating (32) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as AEE (38). This means that PPL’s stock grew similarly to AEE’s over the last 12 months.
AEE's SMR Rating (64) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as PPL (76). This means that AEE’s stock grew similarly to PPL’s over the last 12 months.
AEE's Price Growth Rating (53) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as PPL (60). This means that AEE’s stock grew similarly to PPL’s over the last 12 months.
AEE's P/E Growth Rating (61) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as PPL (67). This means that AEE’s stock grew similarly to PPL’s over the last 12 months.
| AEE | PPL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 31% | 2 days ago 46% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 51% | 2 days ago 60% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 40% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 49% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 39% | 2 days ago 37% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 38% | 2 days ago 31% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 47% | 5 days ago 53% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 38% | 9 days ago 36% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 58% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 36% |
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AEE and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AEE has been closely correlated with WEC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AEE jumps, then WEC could also see price increases.