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EXC vs PPL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Exelon Corporation (EXC) vs. PPL Corporation (PPL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both EXC and PPL operate as regulated utilities focused on electricity and natural gas distribution, providing defensive exposure in the sector.
- Exelon Corporation (EXC) recently reported second-quarter 2026 adjusted operating earnings of $0.43 per share and affirmed full-year guidance of $2.81–$2.91 per share.
- PPL Corporation (PPL) delivered solid first-quarter 2026 results with ongoing earnings per share of $0.63 and reaffirmed its 2026 ongoing earnings guidance range of $1.90–$1.98.
- Recent market activity shows EXC trading near $45.82 with stronger year-to-date returns compared to PPL near $35.21.
- Both companies maintain capital investment plans supporting long-term growth targets in the mid-single digits, with upcoming earnings for PPL expected in early August 2026.
- Sector sentiment remains influenced by regulatory outcomes, interest-rate environment, and demand from data centers and electrification trends.
Introduction
Exelon Corporation (EXC) and PPL Corporation (PPL) are two established players in the regulated utilities sector, offering investors exposure to stable cash flows from essential energy services. This comparison examines their recent performance, business profiles, and market positioning to assist portfolio managers, income-oriented investors, and traders evaluating relative value within the utilities space. The analysis draws on observable financial metrics and developments over recent weeks to highlight key contrasts without forward-looking speculation.
EXC Overview and Recent Performance
Exelon Corporation (EXC) is the largest regulated electric and gas utility in the United States, serving customers across multiple states through subsidiaries including ComEd, PECO, and BGE. In recent market activity, the stock has traded around the mid-$45 range following its second-quarter 2026 earnings release, which showed adjusted operating earnings of $0.43 per share alongside revenue of approximately $5.97 billion. The company affirmed its full-year 2026 adjusted operating earnings guidance of $2.81–$2.91 per share and noted continued progress on its multi-year capital plan. Sentiment has been shaped by steady regulatory rate-base growth and transmission investments, with year-to-date returns outpacing broader market benchmarks in the recent period.
PPL Overview and Recent Performance
PPL Corporation (PPL) operates regulated utilities primarily in Pennsylvania, Kentucky, and Rhode Island, delivering electricity and natural gas to millions of customers. During recent market activity, the stock has hovered near $35 following solid first-quarter 2026 results that included ongoing earnings per share of $0.63. The company reaffirmed its 2026 ongoing earnings guidance of $1.90–$1.98 per share and its longer-term annual earnings-per-share growth target of 6%–8%. Performance has reflected typical utility characteristics amid interest-rate sensitivity, with the next quarterly update scheduled for early August 2026 influencing near-term positioning.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Exelon Corporation (EXC) maintains a broader geographic footprint and larger market capitalization than PPL Corporation (PPL), supporting greater scale in transmission and distribution investments. Growth drivers for both center on regulatory-approved capital expenditures and rising electricity demand, yet EXC has emphasized transmission upgrades in recent quarters while PPL focuses on operational efficiency across its regional utilities. Recent momentum favors EXC on relative year-to-date returns, though both exhibit typical defensive characteristics with dividend yields in the low-to-mid 3% range. Risk factors include regulatory lag and interest-rate sensitivity for the sector overall, with PPL facing a near-term earnings catalyst that could influence short-term sentiment. Market positioning reflects comparable exposure to electrification trends, tempered by differing execution timelines on capital plans.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent earnings consistency, capital-plan execution, and relative price stability, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a modest probabilistic preference to Exelon Corporation (EXC) over PPL Corporation (PPL) for trend continuity within the utilities sector. This assessment rests on documented performance differentials in the recent period rather than predictive assertions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
Disclaimers and LimitationsTo compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EXC is a Hold and PPL is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EXC’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whilePPL’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- EXC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PPL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EXC’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PPL’s TA Score has 2 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EXC’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- PPL’s TA Score: 2 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
EXC (@Electric Utilities) experienced а +0.62% price change this week, while PPL (@Electric Utilities) price change was +3.06% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was +0.25%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -3.16%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3.15%.
Reported Earning Dates
EXC is expected to report earnings on Nov 04, 2026.
PPL is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (+0.25% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| EXC | PPL | EXC / PPL | |
| Capitalization | 47B | 26.8B | 175% |
| EBITDA | 9.34B | 3.82B | 244% |
| Gain YTD | 6.499 | 3.473 | 187% |
| P/E Ratio | 16.76 | 21.11 | 79% |
| Revenue | 25.3B | 9.31B | 272% |
| Total Cash | 1.81B | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 52.7B | 20.2B | 261% |
EXC | PPL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 67 | 59 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 26 Undervalued | 14 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 35 | 28 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 73 | 77 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 78 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 42 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PPL's Valuation (14) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EXC (26). This means that PPL’s stock grew similarly to EXC’s over the last 12 months.
PPL's Profit vs Risk Rating (28) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EXC (35). This means that PPL’s stock grew similarly to EXC’s over the last 12 months.
EXC's SMR Rating (73) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as PPL (77). This means that EXC’s stock grew similarly to PPL’s over the last 12 months.
EXC's Price Growth Rating (58) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as PPL (58). This means that EXC’s stock grew similarly to PPL’s over the last 12 months.
EXC's P/E Growth Rating (51) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as PPL (78). This means that EXC’s stock grew similarly to PPL’s over the last 12 months.
| EXC | PPL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 55% | 1 day ago 58% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 41% | 1 day ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 54% | 1 day ago 53% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 41% | 1 day ago 33% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 53% | 1 day ago 53% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 46% | 9 days ago 39% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | N/A |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 31% | 1 day ago 30% |
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EXC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EXC has been closely correlated with FE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EXC jumps, then FE could also see price increases.
PPL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PPL has been closely correlated with FE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PPL jumps, then FE could also see price increases.