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EXC vs PPL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Exelon Corporation (EXC) vs. PPL Corporation (PPL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Exelon Corporation (EXC) boasts a larger market cap of approximately $47.7 billion compared to PPL Corporation's (PPL) $28.4 billion, reflecting broader operations serving nearly 11 million customers.
- EXC trades at a lower trailing P/E ratio of about 17 versus PPL's 23.6, suggesting relatively better valuation on earnings.
- Both stocks offer attractive dividend yields around 3%, with EXC at 3.6% and PPL at 3.0%, appealing to income-focused investors in the utilities sector.
- Recent market activity shows PPL with stronger YTD gains near 9% versus EXC's 8%, driven by data center demand in its territories.
- PPL highlights robust data center pipeline growth to 25 GW in Pennsylvania, positioning it for future load expansion, while EXC benefits from steady infrastructure investments.
- Upcoming Q1 earnings for both—EXC on May 6 and PPL on May 8—could influence short-term sentiment amid analyst revisions.
Introduction
Exelon Corporation (EXC) and PPL Corporation (PPL) are prominent players in the U.S. regulated electric utilities sector, delivering power to millions across the Midwest, Mid-Atlantic, Pennsylvania, Kentucky, and Rhode Island. This stock comparison evaluates their recent performance, valuation, growth drivers, and market positioning in the current environment of rising energy demand from data centers and infrastructure needs. Investors seeking stable dividends, defensive exposure to utilities, or potential upside from electrification trends may find insights here, particularly as both approach Q1 earnings amid sector tailwinds.
EXC Overview and Recent Performance
Exelon Corporation (EXC), a Fortune 200 utility holding company headquartered in Chicago, operates six regulated utilities including ComEd, PECO, and BGE, serving nearly 11 million customers in six states with a focus on transmission and distribution. In recent market activity, EXC shares have traded around $46.60, reflecting YTD gains of about 8% but a pullback of roughly 5% over the past month amid broader sector rotation. Sentiment has been supported by consistent infrastructure upgrades and a Zacks Rank of #2 (Buy), with analysts lifting Q1 EPS estimates by 9.8% to $0.89 ahead of the May 6 report. Key influences include steady rate base growth and resilience in electric delivery, though shares lag the S&P 500's recent rally.
PPL Overview and Recent Performance
PPL Corporation (PPL), based in Allentown, Pennsylvania, provides electricity and natural gas to 3.6 million customers through segments like Pennsylvania Regulated, Kentucky Regulated, and Rhode Island Regulated. Shares recently hover near $37.80, with YTD returns around 9% but a 3% dip in the past month, underperforming the market slightly. Positive drivers include a surging data center pipeline reaching 25.2 GW in Pennsylvania—up 23% quarterly—and economic development in Kentucky adding 9.3 GW potential load growth through 2032. Upcoming Q1 earnings on May 8 project $0.61 EPS (up 1.7% YoY), with reaffirmed 2026 guidance amid capex plans of $23 billion through 2029 for grid reliability.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both EXC and PPL operate regulated utility models emphasizing transmission and distribution, but EXC's larger scale provides diversified exposure across more states, contrasting PPL's focused Pennsylvania-Kentucky-Rhode Island footprint. Growth drivers differ: PPL leverages hyperscale data center demand with a 25 GW pipeline, fueling 10%+ rate base CAGR, while EXC prioritizes infrastructure resilience. Recent momentum favors PPL YTD, but EXC shows lower volatility (beta 0.42 vs. 0.62). Risk factors include regulatory approvals and interest rate sensitivity, with EXC's higher debt load offset by stronger cash flows. Sector exposure is similar in electric utilities, but market sentiment tilts toward PPL's load growth catalysts versus EXC's valuation edge.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI analysis leans toward PPL in the current environment, citing superior trend consistency from data center-driven load growth and higher analyst price targets implying 11% upside versus EXC's 8%. PPL's capex momentum and pipeline expansion offer probabilistic catalysts for outperformance, though EXC provides greater stability and value. Relative positioning favors PPL for growth-oriented strategies amid utilities' defensive appeal.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EXC is a StrongBuy and PPL is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EXC’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whilePPL’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- EXC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PPL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EXC’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PPL’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EXC’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 2 bearish.
- PPL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
EXC (@Electric Utilities) experienced а +1.01% price change this week, while PPL (@Electric Utilities) price change was +1.11% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was +0.73%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.38%, and the average quarterly price growth was +8.66%.
Reported Earning Dates
EXC is expected to report earnings on Aug 05, 2026.
PPL is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (+0.73% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
| EXC | PPL | EXC / PPL | |
| Capitalization | 47.3B | 27B | 175% |
| EBITDA | 9.19B | 3.82B | 241% |
| Gain YTD | 7.924 | 3.966 | 200% |
| P/E Ratio | 16.93 | 21.99 | 77% |
| Revenue | 24.8B | 9.31B | 266% |
| Total Cash | 713M | N/A | - |
| Total Debt | 51.2B | 20.2B | 253% |
EXC | PPL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 36 | 32 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 50 Fair valued | 14 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 32 | 28 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 73 | 78 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 53 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 68 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PPL's Valuation (14) in the Electric Utilities industry is somewhat better than the same rating for EXC (50). This means that PPL’s stock grew somewhat faster than EXC’s over the last 12 months.
PPL's Profit vs Risk Rating (28) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EXC (32). This means that PPL’s stock grew similarly to EXC’s over the last 12 months.
EXC's SMR Rating (73) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as PPL (78). This means that EXC’s stock grew similarly to PPL’s over the last 12 months.
EXC's Price Growth Rating (51) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as PPL (53). This means that EXC’s stock grew similarly to PPL’s over the last 12 months.
EXC's P/E Growth Rating (48) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as PPL (68). This means that EXC’s stock grew similarly to PPL’s over the last 12 months.
| EXC | PPL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 74% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 46% | 2 days ago 34% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 55% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 59% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 54% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 33% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 54% | 4 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | N/A | 17 days ago 37% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 64% | 4 days ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 23% | 2 days ago 32% |
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EXC and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EXC has been closely correlated with FE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if EXC jumps, then FE could also see price increases.
PPL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PPL has been closely correlated with FE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PPL jumps, then FE could also see price increases.