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EXC vs PPL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Exelon Corporation (EXC) vs. PPL Corporation (PPL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- EXC is a larger, pure-play regulated transmission and distribution utility serving the Midwest and Mid-Atlantic, while PPL operates smaller regulated electric and gas businesses in Pennsylvania, Kentucky, and Rhode Island.
- Exelon offers a higher dividend yield and defensive stability, while PPL carries a faster projected earnings growth rate of 6%–8% annually through 2029.
- For full-year 2025, Exelon posted adjusted operating earnings of $2.77 per share (up from $2.50), while PPL delivered ongoing earnings of $1.81 per share, up 7.1% year over year.
- PPL has benefited from stronger relative momentum and data-center-driven growth catalysts, including a joint venture with Blackstone Infrastructure in Pennsylvania.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Based on trend consistency, growth catalysts, and analyst positioning, the AI currently favors PPL as the stronger relative candidate.
- For deeper coverage of each name, explore EXC Major News and EXC Today's Price Move, as well as PPL Major News and PPL Today's Price Move.
- To see which automated strategies are best suited to current conditions, explore the Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Exelon Corporation and PPL Corporation are two prominent U.S. regulated utilities often evaluated side by side by income-focused and defensive investors. Both operate within the electric power sector, yet they differ meaningfully in scale, growth trajectory, and market positioning. This stock comparison examines their recent performance, business models, and catalysts to help traders and investors assess relative performance and market positioning. With the utilities sector navigating elevated capital spending, rising electricity demand from data centers, and evolving rate regulation, understanding the trade-offs between a larger, higher-yielding operator and a faster-growing, smaller peer is especially relevant in the current market environment.
EXC Overview and Recent Performance
Exelon Corporation (EXC) is one of the nation's largest utility holding companies, focused exclusively on regulated transmission and distribution through subsidiaries including ComEd, PECO, BGE, and Pepco Holdings (PHI). Because it divested its generation assets, Exelon's earnings are driven primarily by rate-regulated returns on infrastructure investment rather than wholesale power prices.
In recent weeks, Exelon's stock has traded within a comparatively stable range, reflecting its defensive, bond-proxy character. For full-year 2025, the company reported adjusted (non-GAAP, meaning excluding one-time items) operating earnings of $2.77 per share, an increase from $2.50 in 2024, supported by higher distribution and transmission rates across several of its utilities. Its fourth-quarter adjusted earnings of $0.59 per share exceeded consensus estimates. Sentiment has been shaped by the company's steady regulated rate-base growth and a dividend yield around 3.7%, which is attractive to income investors, though its earnings growth profile is more modest than some peers.
PPL Overview and Recent Performance
PPL Corporation (PPL) is a regulated utility operating electric and gas businesses in Pennsylvania, Kentucky, and Rhode Island, with additional generation assets in Kentucky. The company has repositioned its portfolio in recent years around regulated operations and efficiency improvements.
PPL's recent market activity has reflected a more growth-oriented narrative. For full-year 2025, the company reported ongoing earnings of $1.81 per share, up 7.1% year over year, hitting the midpoint of its guidance. Management extended its 6%–8% annual earnings-per-share (EPS) growth target through 2029 and raised its capital investment plan to $23 billion for 2026–2029, implying roughly 10.3% average annual rate-base growth. Catalysts include new generation construction in Kentucky and a joint venture with Blackstone Infrastructure aimed at serving data center demand in Pennsylvania. PPL also raised its dividend by 4.6% in early 2026, signaling confidence in its outlook.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The most striking contrast between these two stocks is scale versus growth. Exelon is materially larger, with roughly $24.3 billion in 2025 revenue and a market capitalization near $46 billion, and it operates a pure transmission-and-distribution model concentrated in the Midwest and Mid-Atlantic. PPL, with about $9 billion in revenue and a smaller footprint spanning Pennsylvania, Kentucky, and Rhode Island, trades at a higher forward valuation but offers a clearer growth runway.
Growth drivers differ accordingly. Exelon's earnings rely on steady, incremental rate-base expansion and cost discipline across mature regulated markets. PPL's outlook is tied to more dynamic catalysts: expanding transmission to serve data centers, new generation in Kentucky, and the Blackstone Infrastructure joint venture. Risk factors also diverge. Exelon faces regulatory and political sensitivity in Illinois and the Mid-Atlantic, while PPL carries execution risk tied to its ambitious capital plan, expected equity issuance of roughly $3 billion, and integration of new growth initiatives.
On market sentiment, PPL has demonstrated stronger relative momentum, with consensus analyst ratings skewing toward "Buy," while Exelon carries a more neutral "Hold" consensus and a lower forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple. In short, Exelon offers higher income and stability, while PPL offers faster anticipated growth and more visible catalysts.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI currently leans toward PPL as the more favorable candidate of the two. The assessment reflects PPL's extended 6%–8% EPS growth target, its larger capital investment plan, stronger rate-base growth, and tangible demand catalysts from data centers and new generation. While Exelon presents a more defensive profile with a higher dividend yield and established scale, its growth trajectory is comparatively modest. This verdict is probabilistic rather than definitive: PPL's higher valuation and execution requirements introduce additional variability, meaning the relative positioning could shift as regulatory, macroeconomic, and company-specific developments unfold.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is EXC is a Buy and PPL is a Buy.
EXC in upward trend: 10-day moving average moved above 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026
The 10-day moving average for EXC crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 8 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 57%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 07, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on EXC as a result. In 43 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 49%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EXC just turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where EXC's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 19 of 43 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 44%.
EXC moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
Following a +1.18% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EXC advanced for three days, in 171 of 331 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 52%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 121 of 270 cases where EXC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 45%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrates that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 4 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 18 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
EXC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 31 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 50, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. EXC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 49 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.611) is normal, around the industry mean (2.063). P/E Ratio (17.015) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.957). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (2.167) is also within normal values, averaging (1.785). Dividend Yield (0.036) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.709) is also within normal values, averaging (187.392).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 49 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
PPL in +1.43% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on November 02, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where PPL advanced for three days, in 184 of 342 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 54%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on PPL as a result. In 41 of 82 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 50%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for PPL just turned positive on October 02, 2026. Looking at past instances where PPL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 15 of 38 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 39%.
PPL moved above its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for PPL crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 16, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 6 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 38%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 156 of 320 cases where PPL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 49%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator demonstrated that the stock has entered the overbought zone. This may point to a price pull-back soon.
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 7 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where PPL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 43%.
PPL broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 25 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 50, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 40 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.808) is normal, around the industry mean (2.063). P/E Ratio (21.259) is within average values for comparable stocks, (14.957). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.176) is also within normal values, averaging (1.785). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (0.053) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.670) is also within normal values, averaging (187.392).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 48 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. PPL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
EXC | PPL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 47 | 43 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 49 Fair valued | 40 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 31 | 25 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 72 | 75 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 48 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 49 | 75 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
PPL's Valuation (40) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EXC (49). This means that PPL’s stock grew similarly to EXC’s over the last 12 months.
PPL's Profit vs Risk Rating (25) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as EXC (31). This means that PPL’s stock grew similarly to EXC’s over the last 12 months.
EXC's SMR Rating (72) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as PPL (75). This means that EXC’s stock grew similarly to PPL’s over the last 12 months.
EXC's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as PPL (48). This means that EXC’s stock grew similarly to PPL’s over the last 12 months.
EXC's P/E Growth Rating (49) in the Electric Utilities industry is in the same range as PPL (75). This means that EXC’s stock grew similarly to PPL’s over the last 12 months.
| EXC | PPL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 50% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 40% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 50% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 44% | 2 days ago 39% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 53% | 2 days ago 53% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 54% | 2 days ago 49% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 52% | 2 days ago 54% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | N/A | 9 days ago 43% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 38% | 2 days ago 31% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 45% | 2 days ago 49% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
EXC’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while PPL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- EXC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- PPL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
EXC’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while PPL’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- EXC’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- PPL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
EXC (@Electric Utilities) experienced а +4.29% price change this week, while PPL (@Electric Utilities) price change was +3.49% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electric Utilities industry was -0.38%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.02%, and the average quarterly price growth was -8.30%.
Reported Earning Dates
EXC is expected to report earnings on Feb 24, 2027.
PPL is expected to report earnings on Nov 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electric Utilities (-0.38% weekly)Electric utilities companies generate, transmit and distribute electricity to businesses/offices and residences. Companies may be owned by the government or investors or public shareholders, or a combination thereof. The industry also includes firms that buy and sell electricity. Companies in this industry typically require significant investments in infrastructure. Many firms in this industry pay substantial and regular dividends to shareholders. However, changes in interest rates (and their impact on debt burdens), natural disasters and changing commodity prices could be factors affecting energy utilities’ profit margins. NextEra Energy, Inc., Duke Energy Corporation, Dominion Energy Inc. and Southern Company are among U.S. electric utilities companies with the largest market capitalizations.
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PPL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, PPL has been closely correlated with FE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 83% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if PPL jumps, then FE could also see price increases.