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AEM vs GFI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) vs. Gold Fields (GFI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) reported record Q2 2026 free cash flow of $1.335 billion and returned $625 million to shareholders through dividends and buybacks.
- Gold Fields (GFI) expects H1 2026 headline earnings per share to rise 71–90% year-over-year, supported by higher gold-equivalent ounces sold and stronger realized prices.
- Both companies operate as major gold producers and have benefited from elevated gold prices in recent market activity.
- AEM demonstrates larger scale with higher market capitalization, stronger balance sheet metrics, and more consistent recent shareholder returns compared with GFI.
- GFI shows potential for sharper near-term earnings growth but carries higher debt levels relative to its size.
- Market sentiment for both stocks remains tied to gold price trends and operational execution in the current environment.
Introduction
Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) and Gold Fields (GFI) are two established gold mining companies whose stocks often attract attention from investors seeking exposure to precious metals. This comparison examines their relative performance, operational developments, and market positioning to assist traders and investors evaluating gold sector opportunities. The analysis focuses on observable factors such as recent financial results, production trends, and balance sheet characteristics. Portfolio managers, sector specialists, and individual investors monitoring commodity-linked equities may find the side-by-side review useful for assessing diversification within mining holdings.
AEM Overview and Recent Performance
Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) is a leading gold producer with operations primarily in Canada, Australia, Finland, and Mexico. The company focuses on low-cost, long-life assets and maintains a diversified geographic footprint. In recent weeks, AEM delivered strong second-quarter 2026 results, including record free cash flow of $1.335 billion and net income of $1.6 billion. The firm returned a record $625 million to shareholders via dividends and share repurchases. Gold production guidance for the full year remains near the lower end of prior ranges, while realized gold prices supported robust cash generation. Recent market activity reflects positive sentiment around operational leverage and capital allocation discipline.
GFI Overview and Recent Performance
Gold Fields (GFI) is a global gold mining company with key assets in South Africa, Ghana, Australia, and Peru. It emphasizes cost control and portfolio optimization across multiple jurisdictions. In recent market activity, GFI issued a positive first-half 2026 trading update, projecting headline earnings per share growth of 71–90% year-over-year and adjusted free cash flow increases of 91–111%. The outlook benefits from higher gold-equivalent sales volumes and elevated realized prices. The stock has shown notable price movement amid broader gold price strength, though full interim results scheduled for late August will provide further clarity on execution.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) operates at a larger scale than Gold Fields (GFI), reflected in higher revenues, EBITDA, and market capitalization. AEM maintains a stronger balance sheet with lower debt levels and has delivered more consistent recent shareholder returns through dividends and buybacks. GFI, by contrast, offers potential for sharper earnings expansion in the near term based on its H1 2026 outlook, though it carries comparatively higher leverage. Both companies share similar sector exposure to gold prices and face common risks such as cost inflation, geopolitical factors in operating regions, and production variability. AEM’s diversified asset base may provide greater stability, while GFI’s geographic mix introduces different operational dynamics. Recent momentum favors AEM’s demonstrated cash generation, whereas GFI’s earnings trajectory could appeal to investors seeking higher-beta exposure within the gold mining space.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors including stronger recent free cash flow consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return execution, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a modestly higher probability of favorable relative positioning to Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) over Gold Fields (GFI). GFI’s projected earnings growth represents a potential offset, yet AEM’s scale and operational track record provide a more stable trend profile in the prevailing environment. This assessment remains probabilistic and reflects current data rather than forward guarantees.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AEM is a Buy and GFI is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AEM’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileGFI’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AEM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- GFI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AEM’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GFI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AEM’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- GFI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AEM (@Precious Metals) experienced а +4.33% price change this week, while GFI (@Precious Metals) price change was +5.67% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +0.84%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.87%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.72%.
Reported Earning Dates
AEM is expected to report earnings on Oct 28, 2026.
GFI is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+0.84% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AEM | GFI | AEM / GFI | |
| Capitalization | 102B | 43.5B | 234% |
| EBITDA | 10.5B | 7B | 150% |
| Gain YTD | 19.831 | 11.233 | 177% |
| P/E Ratio | 17.28 | 9.61 | 180% |
| Revenue | 14.5B | 11.4B | 127% |
| Total Cash | 3.48B | 2.03B | 171% |
| Total Debt | 320M | 2.64B | 12% |
AEM | GFI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 92 | 35 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 93 Overvalued | 5 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 37 | 35 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 43 | 24 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 40 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 83 | 89 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GFI's Valuation (5) in the Precious Metals industry is significantly better than the same rating for AEM (93) in the null industry. This means that GFI’s stock grew significantly faster than AEM’s over the last 12 months.
GFI's Profit vs Risk Rating (35) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AEM (37) in the null industry. This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
GFI's SMR Rating (24) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AEM (43) in the null industry. This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
GFI's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AEM (40) in the null industry. This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
AEM's P/E Growth Rating (83) in the null industry is in the same range as GFI (89) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that AEM’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
| AEM | GFI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 83% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 81% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 78% | 7 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 69% | 2 days ago 76% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 63% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 86% |
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AEM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AEM has been closely correlated with WPM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 92% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AEM jumps, then WPM could also see price increases.
GFI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GFI has been closely correlated with AU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GFI jumps, then AU could also see price increases.