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AEM vs GFI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) vs. Gold Fields (GFI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) shows stronger year-to-date (YTD) performance at 8.47% versus Gold Fields' (GFI) 0.81%, reflecting recent market resilience.
- GFI offers a higher dividend yield of 5.51% compared to AEM's 0.98%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- AEM reported record Q1 2026 net income and earnings beat, despite post-earnings pullback, driven by expansions in Finland and Nunavut.
- Recent analyst upgrades for GFI, including Canaccord's Buy rating with $57.25 target, boost its sentiment amid strategic investments.
- AEM has lower beta (0.57) indicating reduced volatility versus GFI's 0.82, suiting conservative gold exposure.
- Over longer terms, GFI has shown higher returns in some 12-month periods, highlighting growth potential in emerging markets.
Introduction
As leading gold producers, Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) and Gold Fields (GFI) offer investors targeted exposure to the precious metals sector amid fluctuating gold prices and macroeconomic shifts. This comparison analyzes their business models, recent stock behavior, and market positioning to aid traders seeking relative performance insights or portfolio diversification in mining stocks. With gold serving as an inflation hedge and safe-haven asset, understanding contrasts in operational stability, growth catalysts, and risk profiles helps both short-term traders and long-term investors evaluate opportunities in the current market environment.
AEM Overview and Recent Performance
Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM), headquartered in Toronto, Canada, focuses on gold production with mines in stable jurisdictions including Canada, Australia, Finland, and Mexico. In recent market activity, AEM shares traded around $183.56, with a market capitalization of approximately $92 billion and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 17.27. The stock experienced an 8.3% decline following record Q1 2026 results, including net income of $1.71 billion and EPS of $3.40 beating estimates, amid profit-taking despite strategic expansions like Finland projects and teased Nunavut investments. Sentiment has been supported by strong YTD gains of 8.47% and lower beta of 0.57, reflecting resilience tied to gold price strength and operational efficiency in low-risk areas.
GFI Overview and Recent Performance
Gold Fields Limited (GFI), based in South Africa, operates gold mines across Ghana, Australia, Peru, and other regions, with exploration in copper and silver. Shares recently closed near $42.08, with a $37.6 billion market cap and attractive P/E of 10.68 alongside a 5.51% dividend yield. Recent weeks saw analyst upgrades, such as Canaccord to Buy with a $57.25 target and Morgan Stanley to Equal Weight, alongside strategic stakes in explorers like Founders Metals. However, YTD performance lags at 0.81%, with some analysis noting potential earnings quality issues, though higher beta of 0.82 underscores volatility linked to emerging market exposure and gold momentum.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both AEM and GFI thrive on gold production, but AEM emphasizes low geopolitical risk jurisdictions versus GFI's exposure to higher-reward emerging markets like South Africa and Ghana. Growth drivers differ: AEM via organic expansions and M&A (mergers and acquisitions), GFI through exploration investments. Recent momentum favors GFI in 12-month returns (up to +90% vs. AEM's +66%), but AEM leads YTD amid stability. Risk profiles highlight AEM's lower beta for defense, while GFI offers higher yield but greater swings. Sector tailwinds from gold prices benefit both, with sentiment split by AEM's earnings strength and GFI's upgrades.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward AEM with higher probability for near-term outperformance, based on trend consistency from record earnings, superior YTD positioning, lower volatility, and catalysts like expansions in stable regions. While GFI shows upgrade-driven momentum and yield appeal, its emerging market risks and lagging recent gains suggest caution. Gold sector dynamics favor AEM's relative stability in volatile conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AEM is a Hold and GFI is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AEM’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileGFI’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- AEM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- GFI’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AEM’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GFI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AEM’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- GFI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
AEM (@Precious Metals) experienced а +10.62% price change this week, while GFI (@Precious Metals) price change was +8.55% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +4.43%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +12.15%, and the average quarterly price growth was +55.85%.
Reported Earning Dates
AEM is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
GFI is expected to report earnings on Aug 21, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+4.43% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AEM | GFI | AEM / GFI | |
| Capitalization | 98.7B | 40.7B | 243% |
| EBITDA | 9.74B | 6.34B | 154% |
| Gain YTD | 16.441 | 6.825 | 241% |
| P/E Ratio | 18.55 | 11.50 | 161% |
| Revenue | 13.5B | 8.75B | 154% |
| Total Cash | 3.12B | 1.78B | 176% |
| Total Debt | 319M | 3.22B | 10% |
AEM | GFI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 65 | 55 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 97 Overvalued | 6 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 29 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 43 | 21 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 50 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 70 | 74 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 65 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GFI's Valuation (6) in the Precious Metals industry is significantly better than the same rating for AEM (97) in the null industry. This means that GFI’s stock grew significantly faster than AEM’s over the last 12 months.
AEM's Profit vs Risk Rating (26) in the null industry is in the same range as GFI (29) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that AEM’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
GFI's SMR Rating (21) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AEM (43) in the null industry. This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
GFI's Price Growth Rating (47) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AEM (50) in the null industry. This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
AEM's P/E Growth Rating (70) in the null industry is in the same range as GFI (74) in the Precious Metals industry. This means that AEM’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
| AEM | GFI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 86% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 84% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 81% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | N/A |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 70% | 6 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 84% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 1 day ago 56% |
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AEM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AEM has been closely correlated with KGC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 92% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AEM jumps, then KGC could also see price increases.
GFI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GFI has been closely correlated with AU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GFI jumps, then AU could also see price increases.