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AEM vs IAG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) vs. IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AEM boasts a larger market capitalization of approximately $100 billion compared to IAG's $10 billion, reflecting greater scale and stability in the gold mining sector.
- AEM has delivered stronger year-to-date performance at around 18%, outperforming IAG's roughly 2% gain amid recent gold price fluctuations.
- Both stocks benefit from elevated gold prices, but AEM shows higher profit margins (37%) and lower beta (0.70, a measure of volatility relative to the market) versus IAG's 23% margins and beta of 2.28.
- IAG has seen explosive one-year returns of over 140%, driven by operational improvements, though it exhibits higher recent volatility.
- AEM benefits from strategic acquisitions in Finland, bolstering its growth pipeline in a consolidating greenstone belt.
- Investor sentiment favors AEM for its consistent production and cash flow generation in the current high-gold-price environment.
Introduction
In the volatile gold mining sector, AEM and IAG represent contrasting profiles for investors seeking exposure to precious metals amid sustained high gold prices. AEM, a senior producer, offers scale and reliability, while IAG, a mid-tier player, provides growth potential through project advancements. This stock comparison analyzes their recent market positioning, performance metrics, and risk factors, aiding traders monitoring sector momentum and long-term investors evaluating relative value in today's bullish gold environment.
AEM Overview and Recent Performance
Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) is a leading gold producer with diversified operations across Canada, Europe, Latin America, and Australia, emphasizing low-cost, long-life assets. In recent market activity, AEM shares have traded around $200, pulling back from a 52-week high of $255 amid broader gold sector corrections linked to geopolitical tensions and profit-taking. Year-to-date gains stand at approximately 18%, supported by robust free cash flow exceeding $4 billion (trailing twelve months) and a strong balance sheet with minimal debt. Sentiment has been buoyed by strategic acquisitions consolidating the Central Lapland Greenstone Belt in Finland, enhancing production outlook, alongside consistent earnings beats and elevated gold prices influencing positive analyst revisions.
IAG Overview and Recent Performance
IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) operates mid-tier gold mines primarily in the Americas, including key assets like Essakane in Burkina Faso and Côté Gold in Canada, focusing on production growth and cost discipline. Shares have hovered near $17 in recent weeks, down from a 52-week peak of $25, reflecting heightened volatility in response to gold price swings and sector-wide pressures. Year-to-date performance is modest at about 2%, though one-year returns exceed 140%, fueled by debt reduction initiatives and operational ramp-ups. Market sentiment reflects optimism around sustainability reporting and project milestones, tempered by higher operational risks and leverage compared to peers.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both AEM and IAG operate in gold mining, capitalizing on prices above $4,800 per ounce, but differ in scale and risk. AEM's business model emphasizes tier-one assets with steady output (over 3 million ounces annually), driving superior margins and free cash flow, versus IAG's focus on ramping projects like Côté for higher growth potential. Recent momentum favors IAG on a one-year basis but AEM year-to-date, with AEM showing lower risk via reduced beta and debt/equity (1.3% vs. 18%). Sector exposure is similar, though AEM diversifies geographically better. Sentiment tilts toward AEM for reliability amid trade-offs in volatility and upside.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently favor AEM over IAG, citing greater trend consistency, lower volatility, stronger year-to-date positioning, and robust catalysts like acquisitions and cash generation. While IAG offers higher potential returns in a gold bull market, its elevated beta suggests increased drawdown risk, making AEM the probabilistically stronger choice for balanced exposure.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AEM is a Hold and IAG is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AEM’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileIAG’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AEM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- IAG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AEM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while IAG’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AEM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- IAG’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AEM (@Precious Metals) experienced а -0.62% price change this week, while IAG (@Precious Metals) price change was +7.98% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +1.32%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -18.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.20%.
Reported Earning Dates
AEM is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
IAG is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+1.32% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AEM | IAG | AEM / IAG | |
| Capitalization | 81.4B | 9.61B | 847% |
| EBITDA | 9.74B | 1.96B | 496% |
| Gain YTD | -3.656 | 0.970 | -377% |
| P/E Ratio | 15.31 | 9.74 | 157% |
| Revenue | 13.5B | 3.41B | 396% |
| Total Cash | 3.12B | 551M | 567% |
| Total Debt | 319M | 651M | 49% |
AEM | IAG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 62 | 22 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 93 Overvalued | 57 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 49 | 37 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 43 | 37 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 62 | 49 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 90 | 12 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 11 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
IAG's Valuation (57) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AEM (93) in the null industry. This means that IAG’s stock grew somewhat faster than AEM’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's Profit vs Risk Rating (37) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AEM (49) in the null industry. This means that IAG’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's SMR Rating (37) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AEM (43) in the null industry. This means that IAG’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's Price Growth Rating (49) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AEM (62) in the null industry. This means that IAG’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Precious Metals industry is significantly better than the same rating for AEM (90) in the null industry. This means that IAG’s stock grew significantly faster than AEM’s over the last 12 months.
| AEM | IAG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 88% | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 83% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 61% | 3 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 59% | 3 days ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 84% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 73% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 70% | 5 days ago 77% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 76% | 3 days ago 88% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 69% |
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