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AEM vs IAG
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Agnico Eagle Mines (AEM) vs. IAMGOLD (IAG) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AEM is a large-cap, diversified gold producer with a low-cost, low-beta profile and an investment-grade balance sheet, while IAG is a mid-tier producer with higher all-in sustaining costs and greater leverage to both gold prices and operational execution.
- Both stocks are gold-price sensitive: AEM and IAG pulled back in recent months as bullion corrected from its early-2026 record near $5,600 per ounce.
- IAG has shown stronger relative momentum, with its Côté Gold mine reaching nameplate capacity and the company shifting to a net cash position.
- AEM offers a more established growth pipeline and a consistent dividend, while IAG relies on buybacks and carries geopolitical risk in Burkina Faso.
- For deeper context on each name, explore AEM Major News and AEM Today's Price Move, as well as IAG Major News and IAG Today's Price Move.
- For a data-driven perspective on market timing and trend direction, explore Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Gold miners Agnico Eagle Mines Limited (AEM) and IAMGOLD Corporation (IAG) occupy different tiers of the precious-metals market, yet both serve investors seeking leverage to gold prices. AEM is one of the world's largest, lowest-cost gold producers, while IAG is a mid-tier producer undergoing a major operational inflection. This comparison is relevant to traders and investors evaluating relative performance, market positioning, and risk within the gold-mining sector, particularly amid a volatile gold-price environment that has tested both names in recent months.
AEM Overview and Recent Performance
Agnico Eagle Mines operates mines in Canada, Australia, Finland, and Mexico, selling roughly 3.4 million ounces of gold in 2025 with about 15 years of reserves. The company's focus on lower-risk jurisdictions, a deep growth pipeline, and disciplined capital allocation underpin its reputation as a premium gold producer. Record full-year 2025 operating cash flow of roughly $6.8 billion was followed by strong quarterly results, including a record second-quarter free cash flow (FCF, cash remaining after capital spending) of about $1.3 billion.
Recent market activity has been mixed. AEM shares rallied with gold's surge to record levels near $5,600 per ounce in late January 2026, then corrected as bullion retreated on inflation and interest-rate concerns. The stock has traded below key moving averages at times, reflecting the broader pullback in gold equities. Supporting factors include a roughly $2.9 billion net cash position, an upgraded credit rating, and a raised quarterly dividend, though a premium valuation relative to peers has kept some investors cautious.
IAG Overview and Recent Performance
IAMGOLD is a Canadian mid-tier gold producer with three operating assets: the Côté Gold mine in Ontario (a 70/30 joint venture, or JV, with Sumitomo Metal Mining), the Westwood complex in Quebec, and Essakane in Burkina Faso. The company's 2026 production guidance is 720,000 to 820,000 ounces. The Côté ramp-up has been the central story, with the mine recently reaching and exceeding its nameplate processing rate of 36,000 tonnes per day.
Recent weeks have brought strong financial momentum. IAG reported first-quarter revenue above $1 billion and mine-site free cash flow of roughly CAD 525 million, allowing it to repay debt, build cash, and repurchase shares. The company has transitioned to a net cash position and completed a share buyback program totaling hundreds of millions of dollars. However, its all-in sustaining costs (AISC, the full cost of producing an ounce including sustaining capital) remain elevated, and geopolitical risk in Burkina Faso persists as a structural overhang.
Trending AI Robots
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The two companies differ most sharply on scale, cost structure, and risk. AEM is a diversified large-cap with AISC guidance of roughly $1,400 to $1,550 per ounce, a lower beta (a measure of volatility relative to the market), and an investment-grade balance sheet with meaningful net cash. IAG operates at AISC near or above $2,000 per ounce, giving it a thinner margin cushion and higher sensitivity to gold-price swings, but also greater torque when prices rise.
Growth drivers contrast as well. AEM is advancing a multi-project pipeline (Canadian Malartic/Odyssey, Detour Lake, Hope Bay, Upper Beaver, and San Nicolás), while IAG is focused on debottlenecking Côté and publishing an updated mine plan expected in the coming months. Sentiment has favored IAG on a relative basis recently, reflecting its operational inflection and shareholder returns, whereas AEM has been weighed down by a premium valuation and broader gold-sector weakness.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor IAG on a relative momentum basis, given its stronger recent price trend, operational catalysts at Côté Gold, and improving balance sheet. At the same time, AEM presents a more stable, lower-risk profile with consistent trend durability and a diversified asset base. In probabilistic terms, the AI would weigh IAG's superior near-term momentum against AEM's stability and cost advantages, suggesting a tilt toward IAG for momentum-oriented conditions while acknowledging AEM's defensive appeal.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AEM is a Hold and IAG is a Hold.
AEM in -9.68% downward trend, declining for three consecutive days on October 30, 2026
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where AEM declined for three days, in 165 of 237 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AEM as a result. In 49 of 75 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AEM turned negative on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 52 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 52 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 65%.
AEM moved below its 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AEM crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 9 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
The Aroon Indicator for AEM entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 45 of 58 cases where AEM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Following a +4.22% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AEM advanced for three days, in 252 of 323 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
AEM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 38 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AEM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 85 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 100 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.961) is normal, around the industry mean (1.934). P/E Ratio (14.273) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-13.500). AEM's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (30.116) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.011) settles around the average of (0.333) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.766) is also within normal values, averaging (7.321).
IAG's RSI Oscillator ascends from oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for IAG moved out of oversold territory on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 17 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 17 of the 17 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 49 of 60 cases where IAG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for IAG just turned positive on November 04, 2026. Looking at past instances where IAG's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.
Following a +5.75% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where IAG advanced for three days, in 259 of 314 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 82%.
IAG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on IAG as a result. In 58 of 76 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 76%.
IAG moved below its 50-day moving average on September 30, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for IAG crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 20 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where IAG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
The Aroon Indicator for IAG entered a downward trend on November 02, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 32 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 65, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 34 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 43 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to consistent earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.268) is normal, around the industry mean (1.934). P/E Ratio (8.735) is within average values for comparable stocks, (-13.500). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.190) is also within normal values, averaging (2.614). Dividend Yield (0.029) settles around the average of (0.333) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.102) is also within normal values, averaging (7.321).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. IAG’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
AEM | IAG | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 26 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 100 Overvalued | 50 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 38 | 32 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 43 | 34 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 58 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 85 | 43 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
IAG's Valuation (50) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AEM (100) in the null industry. This means that IAG’s stock grew somewhat faster than AEM’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's Profit vs Risk Rating (32) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AEM (38) in the null industry. This means that IAG’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's SMR Rating (34) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AEM (43) in the null industry. This means that IAG’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's Price Growth Rating (58) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AEM (59) in the null industry. This means that IAG’s stock grew similarly to AEM’s over the last 12 months.
IAG's P/E Growth Rating (43) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AEM (85) in the null industry. This means that IAG’s stock grew somewhat faster than AEM’s over the last 12 months.
| AEM | IAG | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 82% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 65% | 1 day ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 78% | 8 days ago 82% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 70% | 6 days ago 77% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 85% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 68% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AEM’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while IAG’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AEM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- IAG’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AEM’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while IAG’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AEM’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
- IAG’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AEM (@Precious Metals) experienced а +0.19% price change this week, while IAG (@Precious Metals) price change was +1.10% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was -1.61%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -8.46%, and the average quarterly price growth was -15.09%.
Reported Earning Dates
AEM is expected to report earnings on Feb 18, 2027.
IAG is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (-1.61% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
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