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AGI vs KGC
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) vs. Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both AGI and KGC have posted solid year-to-date gains of approximately 14-15% as of late April 2026, fueled by elevated gold prices.
- KGC demonstrates superior one-year performance at 124.60%, outpacing AGI's 60.08%.
- KGC trades at a lower price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 16.82 compared to AGI's 21.50, indicating potentially better relative valuation.
- AGI operates primarily in stable jurisdictions like Canada and Mexico, while KGC offers broader exposure across the Americas and Mauritania.
- Recent analyst upgrades and upcoming Q1 2026 earnings on April 29 signal potential catalysts for both stocks in the gold mining sector.
- Tickeron's AI trading bots highlight strong opportunities in gold miners, with trending bots showing annualized returns up to 59% in the sector.
Introduction
AGI and KGC, both prominent gold producers, offer investors targeted exposure to the precious metals sector amid ongoing market volatility and inflation concerns. This comparison is particularly relevant for traders seeking relative performance insights within gold mining stocks, as rising gold prices have driven sector gains. Long-term investors may appreciate their dividend yields and growth pipelines, while short-term traders could focus on momentum and upcoming earnings. By examining recent market activity, financial metrics, and sector dynamics, this analysis aids in understanding their positioning in the current environment.
AGI Overview and Recent Performance
Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) is a gold producer focused on operations in Canada and Mexico, emphasizing low-cost production from mines like Young-Davidson and Island Gold. In recent weeks, the stock has experienced some pullback from multi-year highs but maintains robust year-to-date gains around 15%, with a one-year return exceeding 60%. Key influences include record free cash flow from Q4 2025, a dividend increase, and analyst price target raises to as high as C$80, reflecting optimism over the Island Gold District expansion detailed in a recent technical report. Sentiment remains positive ahead of Q1 2026 results, supported by strong profitability metrics like a 48.97% profit margin.
KGC Overview and Recent Performance
Kinross Gold Corporation (KGC), a larger-scale gold miner with assets in the United States, Brazil, Chile, Canada, and Mauritania, produces around 2 million gold equivalent ounces annually. Recent market activity shows a powerful one-year surge of over 124%, though with some moderation year-to-date at about 14-15%. Performance has been bolstered by record Q4 margins, higher gold prices, and expectations for earnings growth, with Q1 2026 results due soon. The company recently advised shareholders to reject a mini-tender offer and continues to advance projects like Great Bear in Canada. Positive analyst sentiment underscores its scale and reserve life of about a decade.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page features a curated selection of top-performing AI trading bots from its library of 351 bots that trade thousands of tickers across stocks, ETFs, and crypto. Only the most suitable for current market conditions—such as volatility in tech, energy, and precious metals—earn a spot among the 25 trending ones, with annualized returns ranging from 26% to 167% and win rates of 48% to 88%. Gold mining bots, for instance, deliver 29-59% annualized returns with 55-59% win rates across portfolios including large producers like NEM and AU. These bots vary in styles (e.g., trend-following, signal agents), timeframes (5min to 60min), and strategies, incorporating AI risk management. Explore them to align with your trading approach in today's dynamic markets.
Head-to-Head Comparison
AGI and KGC share gold production focus but differ in scale and geography: AGI's concentrated, low-risk operations contrast KGC's diversified portfolio, offering growth via projects like Great Bear but with higher geopolitical exposure in Mauritania. Growth drivers include AGI's Island Gold expansion targeting higher output and KGC's decade-long reserves. Recent momentum favors KGC with its outsized one-year gains, while AGI shows steadier multi-year compounding. Risk factors tilt toward KGC due to broader exposure, but its lower PE suggests value. Market sentiment is bullish for both amid gold's rally, with analyst upgrades highlighting relative strengths in stability for AGI and momentum for KGC.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI analysis currently leans toward KGC due to its stronger trend consistency over the past year, lower valuation multiples, larger scale, and robust catalysts like upcoming earnings. While AGI offers jurisdictional safety and steady growth, KGC's relative momentum and sector positioning provide a probabilistic edge in the prevailing gold market environment.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AGI is a Hold and KGC is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AGI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileKGC’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AGI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- KGC’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AGI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while KGC’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AGI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- KGC’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AGI (@Precious Metals) experienced а -10.56% price change this week, while KGC (@Precious Metals) price change was -13.08% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +1.40%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -18.15%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.09%.
Reported Earning Dates
AGI is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
KGC is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+1.40% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AGI | KGC | AGI / KGC | |
| Capitalization | 14.5B | 29.7B | 49% |
| EBITDA | 1.55B | 5.15B | 30% |
| Gain YTD | -10.420 | -11.487 | 91% |
| P/E Ratio | 13.74 | 10.58 | 130% |
| Revenue | 2.07B | 7.96B | 26% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 2.19B | - |
| Total Debt | 220M | 738M | 30% |
AGI | KGC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 76 | 56 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 30 Undervalued | 28 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 42 | 39 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 37 | 27 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 63 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 98 | 82 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | n/a |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
KGC's Valuation (28) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AGI (30). This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to AGI’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's Profit vs Risk Rating (39) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AGI (42). This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to AGI’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's SMR Rating (27) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AGI (37). This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to AGI’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's Price Growth Rating (63) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AGI (64). This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to AGI’s over the last 12 months.
KGC's P/E Growth Rating (82) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AGI (98). This means that KGC’s stock grew similarly to AGI’s over the last 12 months.
| AGI | KGC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 89% | 2 days ago 87% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 87% | 2 days ago 86% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 63% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 66% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 65% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 64% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 15 days ago 79% | 15 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 49% | 2 days ago 61% |
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AGI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AGI has been closely correlated with AEM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AGI jumps, then AEM could also see price increases.