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AGI vs WPM
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) vs. Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both AGI and WPM operate in the precious metals sector but differ fundamentally: AGI as a gold producer faces operational risks, while WPM as a streamer offers lower-risk exposure.
- Recent market activity shows both stocks under pressure from gold price corrections, with year-to-date gains of 0.87% for AGI and 6.02% for WPM.
- AGI trades at a lower trailing P/E ratio (price-to-earnings) of 15.71 versus WPM's 38.96, suggesting better relative valuation, but WPM boasts a stronger balance sheet with near-zero debt/equity.
- WPM provides a higher dividend yield at 0.62% compared to AGI's 0.29%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Analysts maintain positive outlooks for both, with recent price target increases following AGI's strong Q1 results and WPM's royalty expansions.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines AGI and WPM, two prominent players in the precious metals space amid fluctuating gold and silver prices. Investors seeking exposure to commodities without direct mining risks or those evaluating relative performance in a volatile market will find value here. As gold prices experience short-term corrections after strong yearly gains, these stocks highlight contrasts in business models, risk profiles, and momentum. Traders monitoring sector sentiment shifts and production updates can use this analysis for informed positioning in gold-related equities.
AGI Overview and Recent Performance
Alamos Gold Inc. is a mid-tier gold producer with key operations in Canada and Mexico, focusing on sustainable mining and growth through mine expansions. In recent market activity, the stock has faced downward pressure alongside broader gold price weakness, trading around $39.42 with a year-to-date return of 0.87% and a 52-week range of $23.75 to $55.41. Sentiment has been bolstered by robust Q1 2026 results, including $596.7 million in revenue and $232 million in earnings, exceeding expectations and prompting analysts to raise price targets to C$80. Key influences include positive production outlooks and low debt/equity at 4.77%, supporting a return on equity (ROE) of 25.89%. However, operational risks and commodity volatility have tempered gains in recent weeks.
WPM Overview and Recent Performance
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. is a leading precious metals streaming and royalty company, providing miners upfront capital in exchange for a percentage of future production at fixed low costs. The stock, currently around $125.84, has outperformed year-to-date at 6.02% within a 52-week range of $75.42 to $165.76, despite recent sector headwinds from gold corrections. Positive developments include expansions like the Spanish Mountain Gold royalty deal, enhancing its portfolio and driving analyst upgrades to Buy ratings with targets up to $160. Exceptional balance sheet strength, with debt/equity at 0.09% and ROE of 18.45%, underpins resilience, though higher P/E reflects growth premiums.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business models, AGI’s direct mining exposes it to cost inflation and execution risks, contrasting WPM’s asset-light streaming approach for predictable margins. Growth drivers differ: AGI relies on mine optimizations, while WPM pursues royalty acquisitions amid $1.2 billion cash reserves. Recent momentum shows both lagging short-term due to gold’s 1.64% monthly dip, but WPM edges YTD performance. Risk factors favor WPM with beta 1.17 versus 1.35 and negligible debt, versus AGI’s operational leverage. Sector exposure blends gold for both, with WPM adding silver diversity. Market sentiment remains constructive, with analyst upgrades signaling relative strength in stability over growth trade-offs.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors WPM with higher probability for near-term outperformance, driven by trend consistency in recent expansions, superior financial stability, lower beta for reduced volatility, and positive YTD positioning amid sector pressures. AGI offers value via earnings beats but trails in risk-adjusted momentum.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AGI is a Buy and WPM is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AGI’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileWPM’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- AGI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- WPM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AGI’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while WPM’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AGI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- WPM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AGI (@Precious Metals) experienced а -0.78% price change this week, while WPM (@Precious Metals) price change was -0.11% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +1.32%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -18.06%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.20%.
Reported Earning Dates
AGI is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
WPM is expected to report earnings on Aug 06, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+1.32% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AGI | WPM | AGI / WPM | |
| Capitalization | 14.8B | 52.8B | 28% |
| EBITDA | 1.55B | 2.4B | 65% |
| Gain YTD | -8.576 | -0.904 | 949% |
| P/E Ratio | 14.02 | 29.34 | 48% |
| Revenue | 2.07B | 2.75B | 75% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 2.17B | - |
| Total Debt | 220M | 7.66M | 2,871% |
AGI | WPM | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 16 | 59 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 30 Undervalued | 35 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 42 | 40 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 37 | 44 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 63 | 62 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 98 | 95 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AGI's Valuation (30) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as WPM (35). This means that AGI’s stock grew similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
WPM's Profit vs Risk Rating (40) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AGI (42). This means that WPM’s stock grew similarly to AGI’s over the last 12 months.
AGI's SMR Rating (37) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as WPM (44). This means that AGI’s stock grew similarly to WPM’s over the last 12 months.
WPM's Price Growth Rating (62) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AGI (63). This means that WPM’s stock grew similarly to AGI’s over the last 12 months.
WPM's P/E Growth Rating (95) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AGI (98). This means that WPM’s stock grew similarly to AGI’s over the last 12 months.
| AGI | WPM | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 81% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 83% | 3 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 61% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 75% | 3 days ago 65% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 60% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 62% | 3 days ago 61% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 79% | 3 days ago 75% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 63% | 5 days ago 62% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 90% | 3 days ago 81% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 49% | 3 days ago 56% |
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AGI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AGI has been closely correlated with AEM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AGI jumps, then AEM could also see price increases.