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ALG vs OSK
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Alamo Group (ALG) vs. Oshkosh Corporation (OSK) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Different scale and scope: OSK is a diversified specialty-vehicle maker with a roughly $9 billion market cap, while ALG is a smaller niche equipment manufacturer focused on vegetation management and industrial machinery.
- Divergent momentum: ALG shares have outperformed the broader market in recent months, while OSK has pulled back despite revenue growth.
- Contrasting segment dynamics: ALG's Industrial Equipment division is strong while Vegetation Management is soft; OSK is supported by Vocational and Transport backlogs but pressured by its Access segment and tariffs.
- Both raised dividends: ALG lifted its quarterly dividend 13.3% to $0.34, while OSK raised its payout 10.9% to $0.57 per share.
- Balance sheet profiles differ: ALG operates with a near-zero net debt position, whereas OSK's long-term debt has risen on acquisition financing.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines two machinery and equipment manufacturers that operate in related but distinct corners of the industrial economy. ALG (Alamo Group) concentrates on vegetation management and vocational industrial equipment, while OSK (Oshkosh Corporation) spans access equipment, fire and refuse vehicles, and defense and delivery vehicles. Investors weighing relative performance, market positioning, and risk may find value in contrasting how these two names have navigated recent demand shifts, tariff pressures, and changing end markets. The comparison is especially relevant to those tracking the capital-goods and specialty-vehicle sectors, where momentum can diverge sharply between a niche operator and a diversified industrial platform.
ALG Overview and Recent Performance
Alamo Group manufactures industrial and vegetation management equipment for governmental, industrial, and agricultural uses, including road maintenance machinery, excavators, vacuum trucks, sweepers, and mowers. In recent quarters, its results have reflected a two-speed business. The Industrial Equipment division delivered solid growth, with full-year net sales up 12.6%, driven by double-digit gains in excavator and vacuum truck, sweepers, and safety products. In contrast, the Vegetation Management division contracted, with full-year sales down 16.7% amid weak tree care, recycling, agriculture, and municipal mowing demand.
Sentiment has been shaped by a recent earnings shortfall and a management transition, as well as cost pressures tied to tariffs and elevated interest rates. Even so, the company has strengthened its position through acquisitions such as Ring-O-Matic and Petersen Industries, maintained a near-zero net debt balance, and increased its dividend. Shares have added meaningfully over the past year, suggesting investors are looking past near-term softness toward a margin-recovery story, with management targeting higher EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) margins over the next few years.
OSK Overview and Recent Performance
Oshkosh Corporation designs and builds purpose-built vehicles and equipment across three segments: Access (aerial work platforms and telehandlers), Vocational (fire apparatus, refuse, and airport products), and Transport (defense vehicles and the Next Generation Delivery Vehicle, or NGDV, for USPS). Recent revenue has grown steadily, reaching about $10.4 billion for the latest full fiscal year, with a consolidated backlog of roughly $14 billion providing strong visibility.
Market sentiment has been more mixed. Tariffs have added an estimated $200 million in annual costs, and the Access segment faces a cautious nonresidential construction environment, prompting management to guide for lower Access sales. At the same time, the Vocational segment's large backlog and the NGDV production ramp have supported the outlook, with full-year adjusted EPS (earnings per share) guidance around $11.50. Shares have pulled back from recent highs as investors weigh execution risks in fire truck production throughput against longer-term growth targets, though the company has continued returning capital through dividends and buybacks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast is one of breadth versus focus. OSK's diversified platform spans construction access equipment, municipal vehicles, defense, and postal delivery, giving it exposure to government contracts and multi-year backlogs that can smooth cyclical swings. ALG is more concentrated in niche industrial and vegetation management equipment, where demand is tightly linked to housing, crop prices, interest rates, and municipal spending.
On growth drivers, OSK leans on the NGDV ramp, fire truck production increases, and defense program execution, while ALG relies on acquisitions, margin recovery in Industrial Equipment, and a cyclical rebound in vegetation management. Risk profiles also differ: OSK carries meaningful tariff exposure and rising long-term debt, while ALG's primary risk is persistent softness in its vegetation management and forestry end markets. From a momentum standpoint, ALG has shown stronger recent relative performance, whereas OSK's larger scale and backlog offer stability but have coincided with a share-price pullback.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor ALG on the basis of trend consistency and relative momentum, given its stronger recent price performance, clean balance sheet, and improving margin trajectory in its industrial business. However, OSK offers a more diversified earnings base and substantial backlog visibility that may appeal to a trend-following model emphasizing stability and catalysts. The likely outcome is a nuanced one: ALG may screen better on shorter-term trend strength, while OSK presents a steadier, catalyst-rich profile over a longer horizon. As always, this reflects a probabilistic, data-driven read rather than a definitive prediction.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ALG is a Hold and OSK is a StrongBuy.
ALG sees MACD Histogram just turned negative
ALG saw its Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) turn negative on November 05, 2026. This is a bearish signal that suggests the stock could decline going forward. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 instances where the indicator turned negative. In 31 of the 47 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a downward move at 66%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 03, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ALG as a result. In 44 of 77 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 57%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALG declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
The Aroon Indicator for ALG entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ALG's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 34 of 47 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 38 of 50 cases where ALG's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
Following a +4.08% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALG advanced for three days, in 190 of 304 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
ALG may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 8 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.370) is normal, around the industry mean (2.277). P/E Ratio (15.936) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.106). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.826) is also within normal values, averaging (1.745). Dividend Yield (0.010) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.227) is also within normal values, averaging (1.169).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 70 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ALG’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ALG’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock worse than average.
Momentum Indicator for OSK turns positive, indicating new upward trend
OSK saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 20, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 81 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 61 of the 81 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 75%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for OSK just turned positive on October 14, 2026. Looking at past instances where OSK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 32 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
OSK moved above its 50-day moving average on November 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for OSK crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on November 06, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 11 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 65%.
Following a +1.02% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where OSK advanced for three days, in 212 of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for OSK moved out of overbought territory on November 03, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 43 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 29 of the 43 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 67%.
The Stochastic Oscillator entered the overbought zone. Expect a price pull-back in the foreseeable future.
The 50-day moving average for OSK moved below the 200-day moving average on October 09, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where OSK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
OSK broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 02, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
The Aroon Indicator for OSK entered a downward trend on October 20, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 15 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. OSK’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 51 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 79, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 63 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 87 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.832) is normal, around the industry mean (2.277). P/E Ratio (15.286) is within average values for comparable stocks, (3.106). OSK's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (6.298) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (1.745). Dividend Yield (0.017) settles around the average of (0.017) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.869) is also within normal values, averaging (1.169).
ALG | OSK | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 57 | 31 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 50 Fair valued | 87 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 99 | 51 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 75 | 63 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 70 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 15 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 8 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ALG's Valuation (50) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for OSK (87). This means that ALG’s stock grew somewhat faster than OSK’s over the last 12 months.
OSK's Profit vs Risk Rating (51) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ALG (99). This means that OSK’s stock grew somewhat faster than ALG’s over the last 12 months.
OSK's SMR Rating (63) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as ALG (75). This means that OSK’s stock grew similarly to ALG’s over the last 12 months.
OSK's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as ALG (70). This means that OSK’s stock grew similarly to ALG’s over the last 12 months.
OSK's P/E Growth Rating (15) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ALG (55). This means that OSK’s stock grew somewhat faster than ALG’s over the last 12 months.
| ALG | OSK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 76% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 57% | 1 day ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 70% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 67% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 10 days ago 63% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 60% | 6 days ago 68% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 62% | 1 day ago 71% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 70% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ALG’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while OSK’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ALG’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- OSK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ALG’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OSK’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ALG’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- OSK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
ALG (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) experienced а -5.90% price change this week, while OSK (@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery) price change was -1.48% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery industry was -3.30%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -7.11%, and the average quarterly price growth was +2.56%.
Reported Earning Dates
ALG is expected to report earnings on Feb 25, 2027.
OSK is expected to report earnings on Feb 02, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Trucks/Construction/Farm Machinery (-3.30% weekly)The industry designs and builds agricultural, construction and other large commercial and transportation equipment. Tractors, planters and harvesters, as well as rock-crushing, railroad, demolition and other construction implements are produced by this industry. Rapid urbanization and industrialization has been bolstering the expansion of the construction sector in the past few decades, thereby boosting demand for heavy equipment businesses. Caterpillar Inc., Deere & Company and Cummins Inc (Ex. Cummins Engine Inc) are some prominent companies in this industry.
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ALG and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALG has been loosely correlated with ACA. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ALG jumps, then ACA could also see price increases.
OSK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, OSK has been closely correlated with TEX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 69% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if OSK jumps, then TEX could also see price increases.
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