Analysis and predictions ALK vs UAL
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To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ALK is a Hold and UAL is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ALK’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileUAL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ALK’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- UAL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ALK’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while UAL’s TA Score has 8 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ALK’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- UAL’s TA Score: 8 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
ALK (@Airlines) experienced а -7.49% price change this week, while UAL (@Airlines) price change was +3.34% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Airlines industry was +6.97%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.82%, and the average quarterly price growth was -7.74%.
Reported Earning Dates
ALK is expected to report earnings on Jan 25, 2024.
UAL is expected to report earnings on Jan 16, 2024.
Industries' Descriptions
@Airlines (+6.97% weekly)Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.
| ALK | UAL | ALK / UAL | |
| Capitalization | 4.72B | 12.9B | 37% |
| EBITDA | 876M | 5.54B | 16% |
| Gain YTD | -20.633 | 7.480 | -276% |
| P/E Ratio | 18.35 | 4.51 | 407% |
| Revenue | 10.4B | 52.5B | 20% |
| Total Cash | 2.45B | 17.1B | 14% |
| Total Debt | 4.13B | 35B | 12% |
ALK | UAL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 34 | 25 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 53 Fair valued | 37 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 80 | 24 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 46 | 59 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 97 | 96 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
UAL's Valuation (37) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as ALK (53). This means that UAL’s stock grew similarly to ALK’s over the last 12 months.
UAL's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as ALK (100). This means that UAL’s stock grew similarly to ALK’s over the last 12 months.
UAL's SMR Rating (24) in the Airlines industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ALK (80). This means that UAL’s stock grew somewhat faster than ALK’s over the last 12 months.
ALK's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as UAL (59). This means that ALK’s stock grew similarly to UAL’s over the last 12 months.
UAL's P/E Growth Rating (96) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as ALK (97). This means that UAL’s stock grew similarly to ALK’s over the last 12 months.
| ALK | UAL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 79% | 5 days ago 61% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 69% | 1 day ago 77% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 74% | 1 day ago 71% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 71% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 69% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | N/A | 8 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 67% | 1 day ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 66% | 1 day ago 55% |
ALK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALK has been closely correlated with DAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ALK jumps, then DAL could also see price increases.