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AAL vs ALK
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AAL is a Hold and ALK is a Hold.
AAL in +4.13% Uptrend, advancing for three consecutive days on October 27, 2026
Moving higher for three straight days is viewed as a bullish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future growth. Considering data from situations where AAL advanced for three days, in 217 of 290 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AAL's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 28 of 40 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 27, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AAL as a result. In 58 of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 73%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AAL just turned positive on October 22, 2026. Looking at past instances where AAL's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 35 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
AAL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
The 50-day moving average for AAL moved below the 200-day moving average on October 12, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AAL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
The Aroon Indicator for AAL entered a downward trend on October 29, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 5 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: AAL's P/B Ratio (-2.100) is slightly lower than the industry average of (2.029). AAL has a moderately low P/E Ratio (-25.714) as compared to the industry average of (5.677). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.114) is also within normal values, averaging (2.252). Dividend Yield (0.032) settles around the average of (0.028) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.144) is also within normal values, averaging (0.529).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 24 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly undervalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AAL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 99 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AAL’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.
ALK's RSI Oscillator climbs out of oversold territory
The RSI Oscillator for ALK moved out of oversold territory on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 28 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 22 of the 28 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 79%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on ALK as a result. In 56 of 74 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for ALK just turned positive on October 28, 2026. Looking at past instances where ALK's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 51 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Following a +4.39% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALK advanced for three days, in 218 of 287 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 76%.
ALK may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 1 day. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALK declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Aroon Indicator for ALK entered a downward trend on October 30, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 6 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is seriously undervalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.086) is normal, around the industry mean (2.029). ALK has a moderately low P/E Ratio (-22.459) as compared to the industry average of (5.677). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.310) is also within normal values, averaging (2.252). Dividend Yield (0.042) settles around the average of (0.028) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.308) is also within normal values, averaging (0.529).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 72 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ALK’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 98 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ALK’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.
AAL | ALK | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 5 Undervalued | 6 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 16 | 92 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 72 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 98 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 24 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AAL's Valuation (5) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as ALK (6). This means that AAL’s stock grew similarly to ALK’s over the last 12 months.
AAL's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as ALK (100). This means that AAL’s stock grew similarly to ALK’s over the last 12 months.
AAL's SMR Rating (16) in the Airlines industry is significantly better than the same rating for ALK (92). This means that AAL’s stock grew significantly faster than ALK’s over the last 12 months.
AAL's Price Growth Rating (59) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as ALK (72). This means that AAL’s stock grew similarly to ALK’s over the last 12 months.
ALK's P/E Growth Rating (98) in the Airlines industry is in the same range as AAL (99). This means that ALK’s stock grew similarly to AAL’s over the last 12 months.
| AAL | ALK | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 70% | 3 days ago 79% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 65% | 3 days ago 54% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 73% | 3 days ago 76% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 75% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 78% | 3 days ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 72% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 75% | 6 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 77% | 14 days ago 74% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 71% | 3 days ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 73% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AAL’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while ALK’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- AAL’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- ALK’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AAL’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ALK’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AAL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
- ALK’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
AAL (@Airlines) experienced а +4.05% price change this week, while ALK (@Airlines) price change was +3.81% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Airlines industry was +1.98%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -9.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was -3.69%.
Reported Earning Dates
AAL is expected to report earnings on Jan 28, 2027.
ALK is expected to report earnings on Jan 28, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Airlines (+1.98% weekly)Airlines industry comprises passenger air transportation, including scheduled and non-scheduled routes. This can include charter airlines, as well as regular commuter ones. Discount pricing and the rise of low-cost carriers over recent decades have expanded the industry by making its services accessible to a much larger global population, compared to the older days when airline travel was a relative luxury for many people in the world. Delta Air Lines Inc., Southwest Airlines Co and United Continental Holdings, Inc. are some of the airlines with the largest stock market capitalizations in the U.S.
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AAL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AAL has been closely correlated with DAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 85% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AAL jumps, then DAL could also see price increases.
ALK and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALK has been closely correlated with DAL. These tickers have moved in lockstep 82% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ALK jumps, then DAL could also see price increases.
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