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ALRM vs SPSC
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ALRM is a Buy and SPSC is a StrongBuy.
ALRM's RSI Indicator leaves overbought zone
The 10-day RSI Oscillator for ALRM moved out of overbought territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. Traders may want to look at selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 instances where the indicator moved out of the overbought zone. In 20 of the 27 cases the stock moved lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of a move down at 74%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 41 of 61 cases where ALRM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 67%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALRM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 66%.
ALRM broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 20, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
ALRM moved above its 50-day moving average on October 09, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for ALRM crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Following a +2.68% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALRM advanced for three days, in 169 of 281 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 83 of 164 cases where ALRM Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 51%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 37 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ALRM’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 59 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 77 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.693) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.906). P/E Ratio (27.439) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.554). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.422) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.069) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.976) is also within normal values, averaging (70.383).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ALRM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
SPSC's Stochastic Oscillator is sitting in oversold zone for 1 day
Be on the lookout for a price bounce soon.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +2.72% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where SPSC advanced for three days, in 220 of 316 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 132 of 195 cases where SPSC Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 68%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for SPSC moved out of overbought territory on October 26, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 24 of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 75%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on SPSC as a result. In 62 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for SPSC turned negative on October 28, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 35 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 80%.
SPSC moved below its 50-day moving average on November 05, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where SPSC declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 65%.
SPSC broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 41 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. SPSC’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly better than average sales and a considerably profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 89 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (3.142) is normal, around the industry mean (-1.906). P/E Ratio (39.380) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.554). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (5.470) is also within normal values, averaging (2.824). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.069) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.905) is also within normal values, averaging (70.383).
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. SPSC’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 94, placing this stock worse than average.
ALRM | SPSC | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 77 Overvalued | 89 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 59 | 76 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | 41 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 16 | 33 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ALRM's Valuation (77) in the Information Technology Services industry is in the same range as SPSC (89) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that ALRM’s stock grew similarly to SPSC’s over the last 12 months.
ALRM's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Information Technology Services industry is in the same range as SPSC (100) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that ALRM’s stock grew similarly to SPSC’s over the last 12 months.
ALRM's SMR Rating (59) in the Information Technology Services industry is in the same range as SPSC (76) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that ALRM’s stock grew similarly to SPSC’s over the last 12 months.
ALRM's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Information Technology Services industry is in the same range as SPSC (41) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that ALRM’s stock grew similarly to SPSC’s over the last 12 months.
ALRM's P/E Growth Rating (16) in the Information Technology Services industry is in the same range as SPSC (33) in the Packaged Software industry. This means that ALRM’s stock grew similarly to SPSC’s over the last 12 months.
| ALRM | SPSC | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 3 days ago 75% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 67% | 3 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 70% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | N/A | 3 days ago 80% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 63% | 3 days ago 69% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 57% | 3 days ago 68% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 11 days ago 60% | 6 days ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 66% | 3 days ago 65% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 69% | 3 days ago 72% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 51% | 3 days ago 68% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ALRM’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while SPSC’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ALRM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- SPSC’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ALRM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while SPSC’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ALRM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- SPSC’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
ALRM (@Packaged Software) experienced а +0.26% price change this week, while SPSC (@Packaged Software) price change was -1.30% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Packaged Software industry was -2.34%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -5.63%, and the average quarterly price growth was -4.69%.
Reported Earning Dates
ALRM is expected to report earnings on Feb 25, 2027.
SPSC is expected to report earnings on Feb 11, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Packaged Software (-2.34% weekly)Packaged software comprises multiple software programs bundled together and sold as a group. For example, Microsoft Office includes multiple applications such as Excel, Word, and PowerPoint. In some cases, buying a bundled product is cheaper than purchasing each item individually[s20] . Microsoft Corporation, Oracle Corp. and Adobe are some major American packaged software makers.
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ALRM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALRM has been loosely correlated with SPSC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ALRM jumps, then SPSC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ALRM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALRM | 100% | -2.98% | ||
| SPSC - ALRM | 60% Loosely correlated | -0.81% | ||
| VERX - ALRM | 59% Loosely correlated | -2.90% | ||
| CLSK - ALRM | 59% Loosely correlated | +8.45% | ||
| CPAY - ALRM | 58% Loosely correlated | +1.83% | ||
| FIVN - ALRM | 58% Loosely correlated | -17.63% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| XSPC | 16.79 | 1.56 | +10.26% |
| VegaShares Space & AI ETF (XSPC) | |||
| NVDU | 94.27 | 5.15 | +5.78% |
| Direxion Daily NVDA Bull 2X ETF (NVDU) | |||
| SMIG | 31.75 | 0.07 | +0.22% |
| Bahl & Gaynor Small/Mid Cap Income Growth ETF (SMIG) | |||
| APRH | 24.81 | 0.03 | +0.11% |
| Innovator Premium Income 20 Barrier ETF - April (APRH) | |||
| STNC | 37.05 | -0.33 | -0.88% |
| Hennessy Sustainable ETF (STNC) | |||