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ALSN vs ALV
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (ALSN) vs. Autoliv, Inc. (ALV) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ALSN has delivered superior year-to-date (YTD) performance at approximately 37.6%, outpacing ALV's modest 1.6% gain.
- ALV trades at a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.5 compared to ALSN's 18.3, indicating potential relative value.
- Recent quarterly results show ALV with sales growth of 6.8% in Q1 2026, while ALSN anticipates its Q1 report amid ongoing momentum.
- ALSN benefits from robust demand in commercial vehicles and defense sectors, contrasting ALV's exposure to broader automotive safety systems.
- Both stocks exhibit solid market positioning, with ALSN's higher market cap of $11.2 billion edging out ALV's $8.7 billion.
Introduction
ALSN and ALV operate within the automotive supply chain, with ALSN specializing in transmissions for heavy-duty vehicles and ALV focusing on passive safety systems. This stock comparison is relevant for investors tracking industrials and auto components amid shifting market dynamics, including commercial vehicle demand and global production trends. Traders seeking relative performance insights in a volatile sector will find value in evaluating their recent momentum, valuations, and growth drivers.
ALSN Overview and Recent Performance
Allison Transmission Holdings, Inc. (ALSN) designs and manufactures automatic transmissions for medium- and heavy-duty commercial vehicles, buses, and defense applications worldwide. In recent market activity, the stock has shown strong upward momentum, with shares trading around $134 and a YTD gain exceeding 37%, supported by institutional accumulation and anticipation of Q1 2026 earnings scheduled for early May. Sentiment has been bolstered by steady demand in off-highway and defense segments, despite broader concerns over flat revenue trends in prior periods. The company's market cap stands at $11.2 billion, reflecting resilient positioning in niche propulsion markets.
ALV Overview and Recent Performance
Autoliv, Inc. (ALV) develops and supplies passive safety systems, including airbags, seatbelts, and steering wheels, primarily to global automakers. Shares have traded near $116 recently, with a 1-month advance of about 10% following Q1 2026 results that showed net sales up 6.8% to $2.75 billion, beating estimates despite some earnings pressure from raw materials. YTD performance lags at 1.6%, influenced by mixed auto production signals, but Asia growth and reaffirmed guidance have stabilized sentiment. Market cap is approximately $8.7 billion.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ALSN and ALV differ in business models: ALSN targets propulsion for commercial and defense vehicles, offering stability via defense exposure, while ALV emphasizes passive safety across passenger cars with broader OEM reliance. Growth drivers contrast with ALSN's off-highway demand versus ALV's Asia momentum. Recent momentum favors ALSN (37% YTD vs. 2%), but ALV holds a valuation edge with lower P/E and higher dividend yield (2.9%). Risk factors include cyclical auto demand for both, though ALSN's beta of 0.96 suggests lower volatility than ALV's 1.36. Sector exposure ties them to industrials, with sentiment lifted by earnings beats but tempered by supply chain pressures.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward ALSN based on stronger trend consistency, superior YTD returns, and defensive catalysts in recent weeks, positioning it favorably relative to ALV amid auto sector rotations. This probabilistic edge reflects observable momentum and stability, though ALV could gain on valuation compression.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ALSN is a StrongBuy and ALV is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ALSN’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileALV’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ALSN’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- ALV’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ALSN’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while ALV’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ALSN’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- ALV’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ALSN (@Auto Parts: OEM) experienced а +1.38% price change this week, while ALV (@Auto Parts: OEM) price change was +0.76% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Auto Parts: OEM industry was +1.43%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +3.36%, and the average quarterly price growth was +11.54%.
Reported Earning Dates
ALSN is expected to report earnings on Jul 23, 2026.
ALV is expected to report earnings on Jul 17, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Auto Parts: OEM (+1.43% weekly)OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturer of auto parts refers to the original producer of a vehicles components, and so OEM car parts are usually identical to the parts used in producing the vehicle in the first place. OEM parts tend to fit the specifications of a particular model, and their compatibility is often guaranteed by the automaker itself. OEM parts could be more expensive to buy (compared to other vendors’ products) when a consumer goes for replacement. However, increased competition from aftermarket parts/third-party vendors could, in some cases, keep EOM prices in check. The industry might progress further in adopting newer technologies like 3D printing to boost supply chain performance and quality. Aptiv PLC, Magna International Inc. and BorgWarner Inc. are major OEMs for autos.
| ALSN | ALV | ALSN / ALV | |
| Capitalization | 9.73B | 9.62B | 101% |
| EBITDA | 1.01B | 1.48B | 68% |
| Gain YTD | 20.464 | 9.949 | 206% |
| P/E Ratio | 18.25 | 13.84 | 132% |
| Revenue | 3.65B | 11B | 33% |
| Total Cash | 311M | 342M | 91% |
| Total Debt | 4.27B | 2.25B | 189% |
ALSN | ALV | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 15 | 67 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 24 Undervalued | 9 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 25 | 54 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 33 | 34 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 51 | 45 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 18 | 45 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ALV's Valuation (9) in the Auto Parts OEM industry is in the same range as ALSN (24) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry. This means that ALV’s stock grew similarly to ALSN’s over the last 12 months.
ALSN's Profit vs Risk Rating (25) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as ALV (54) in the Auto Parts OEM industry. This means that ALSN’s stock grew similarly to ALV’s over the last 12 months.
ALSN's SMR Rating (33) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as ALV (34) in the Auto Parts OEM industry. This means that ALSN’s stock grew similarly to ALV’s over the last 12 months.
ALV's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Auto Parts OEM industry is in the same range as ALSN (51) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry. This means that ALV’s stock grew similarly to ALSN’s over the last 12 months.
ALSN's P/E Growth Rating (18) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as ALV (45) in the Auto Parts OEM industry. This means that ALSN’s stock grew similarly to ALV’s over the last 12 months.
| ALSN | ALV | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 58% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 50% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 59% | 2 days ago 64% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 63% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 59% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 63% | 12 days ago 64% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 55% | 4 days ago 60% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 51% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 54% |
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ALSN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALSN has been loosely correlated with ATMU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ALSN jumps, then ATMU could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ALSN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALSN | 100% | +1.58% | ||
| ATMU - ALSN | 55% Loosely correlated | +3.36% | ||
| PHIN - ALSN | 54% Loosely correlated | +4.09% | ||
| ALV - ALSN | 54% Loosely correlated | -0.52% | ||
| PLOW - ALSN | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.81% | ||
| MGA - ALSN | 50% Loosely correlated | +1.46% | ||
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ALV and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALV has been closely correlated with THRM. These tickers have moved in lockstep 67% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ALV jumps, then THRM could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ALV | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALV | 100% | -0.52% | ||
| THRM - ALV | 67% Closely correlated | +0.78% | ||
| APTV - ALV | 64% Loosely correlated | +0.13% | ||
| ADNT - ALV | 63% Loosely correlated | +1.07% | ||
| PHIN - ALV | 63% Loosely correlated | +4.09% | ||
| ALSN - ALV | 56% Loosely correlated | +1.58% | ||
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