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ALSN vs CVGI
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ALSN is a Buy and CVGI is a Hold.
ALSN's RSI Indicator dives oversold zone
The RSI Indicator for ALSN moved into overbought territory on October 23, 2026. Be on the watch for a price drop or consolidation in the future -- when this happens, think about selling the stock or exploring put options.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 32 of 48 cases where ALSN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 67%.
Following a +1.60% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALSN advanced for three days, in 236 of 357 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 66%.
ALSN may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 23, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ALSN as a result. In 50 of 96 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 52%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ALSN turned negative on October 23, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 49 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 28 of the 49 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 57%.
The 10-day moving average for ALSN crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on September 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALSN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 53%.
The Aroon Indicator for ALSN entered a downward trend on October 19, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 22 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 35 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 59 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.436) is normal, around the industry mean (0.851). P/E Ratio (16.612) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.413). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.520) is also within normal values, averaging (1.471). Dividend Yield (0.011) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.264) is also within normal values, averaging (49.084).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 60 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. ALSN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
CVGI sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average
The 50-day moving average for CVGI moved below the 200-day moving average on October 02, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where CVGI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.
The Aroon Indicator for CVGI entered a downward trend on October 22, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where CVGI's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 34 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 62%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 44 of 63 cases where CVGI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 23, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on CVGI as a result. In 75 of 96 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Following a +3.60% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where CVGI advanced for three days, in 186 of 259 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 72%.
CVGI may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 38 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.860) is normal, around the industry mean (0.851). P/E Ratio (-4.174) is within average values for comparable stocks, (39.413). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.184) is also within normal values, averaging (1.471). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.040) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (0.155) is also within normal values, averaging (49.084).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 61 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. CVGI’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 94 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. CVGI’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 90, placing this stock worse than average.
ALSN | CVGI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 59 Fair valued | 38 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 22 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 35 | 94 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 60 | 61 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 7 | 13 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 90 | 36 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
CVGI's Valuation (38) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as ALSN (59). This means that CVGI’s stock grew similarly to ALSN’s over the last 12 months.
ALSN's Profit vs Risk Rating (22) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is significantly better than the same rating for CVGI (100). This means that ALSN’s stock grew significantly faster than CVGI’s over the last 12 months.
ALSN's SMR Rating (35) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is somewhat better than the same rating for CVGI (94). This means that ALSN’s stock grew somewhat faster than CVGI’s over the last 12 months.
ALSN's Price Growth Rating (60) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as CVGI (61). This means that ALSN’s stock grew similarly to CVGI’s over the last 12 months.
ALSN's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Trucks Or Construction Or Farm Machinery industry is in the same range as CVGI (13). This means that ALSN’s stock grew similarly to CVGI’s over the last 12 months.
| ALSN | CVGI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 62% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 67% | 4 days ago 70% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 52% | 4 days ago 78% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 54% | 4 days ago 75% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 51% | 4 days ago 88% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 66% | 11 days ago 72% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 53% | 7 days ago 88% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 59% | 4 days ago 66% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 58% | 4 days ago 89% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ALSN’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green while CVGI’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ALSN’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- CVGI’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ALSN’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while CVGI’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ALSN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- CVGI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
ALSN (@Auto Parts: OEM) experienced а -4.90% price change this week, while CVGI (@Auto Parts: OEM) price change was 0.00% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Auto Parts: OEM industry was -3.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.95%, and the average quarterly price growth was -17.93%.
Reported Earning Dates
ALSN is expected to report earnings on Nov 02, 2026.
CVGI is expected to report earnings on Nov 02, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Auto Parts: OEM (-3.63% weekly)OEM or Original Equipment Manufacturer of auto parts refers to the original producer of a vehicles components, and so OEM car parts are usually identical to the parts used in producing the vehicle in the first place. OEM parts tend to fit the specifications of a particular model, and their compatibility is often guaranteed by the automaker itself. OEM parts could be more expensive to buy (compared to other vendors’ products) when a consumer goes for replacement. However, increased competition from aftermarket parts/third-party vendors could, in some cases, keep EOM prices in check. The industry might progress further in adopting newer technologies like 3D printing to boost supply chain performance and quality. Aptiv PLC, Magna International Inc. and BorgWarner Inc. are major OEMs for autos.
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ALSN and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALSN has been loosely correlated with ATMU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 55% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ALSN jumps, then ATMU could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ALSN | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALSN | 100% | -2.97% | ||
| ATMU - ALSN | 55% Loosely correlated | -0.31% | ||
| ALV - ALSN | 54% Loosely correlated | -3.54% | ||
| DCH - ALSN | 48% Loosely correlated | -1.28% | ||
| LEA - ALSN | 45% Loosely correlated | -1.62% | ||
| GNTX - ALSN | 45% Loosely correlated | -4.97% | ||
More | ||||
CVGI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, CVGI has been loosely correlated with APTV. These tickers have moved in lockstep 33% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if CVGI jumps, then APTV could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To CVGI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CVGI | 100% | +4.35% | ||
| APTV - CVGI | 33% Loosely correlated | -2.56% | ||
| AEVA - CVGI | 31% Poorly correlated | +2.94% | ||
| PLOW - CVGI | 27% Poorly correlated | -0.43% | ||
| ALSN - CVGI | 25% Poorly correlated | -2.97% | ||
| ALV - CVGI | 25% Poorly correlated | -3.54% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| EOCT | 34.02 | 0.07 | +0.20% |
| Innovator Emerging Markets Power Buffer ETF - October (EOCT) | |||
| CPSF | 26.68 | 0.01 | +0.04% |
| Calamos S&P 500 Structured Alt Protection ETF - February (CPSF) | |||
| LFAI | 138.50 | N/A | N/A |
| LifeX 2050 Longevity Income ETF (LFAI) | |||
| XJH | 48.73 | -0.28 | -0.56% |
| iShares ESG Select Screened S&P Mid-Cap ETF (XJH) | |||
| DSTL | 69.52 | -0.82 | -1.17% |
| Distillate US Fundamental Stability & Value ETF (DSTL) | |||