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AMCR vs BALL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Amcor plc (AMCR) vs. Ball Corporation (BALL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- BALL shows stronger year-to-date (YTD) performance at 16.13% compared to AMCR's 8.28%.
- Both companies emphasize sustainable packaging solutions amid industry shifts toward recyclability and lighter materials.
- AMCR trades near its 52-week low of $37.22, reflecting recent valuation pressures, while BALL holds mid-range in its 52-week span.
- BALL boasts a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 18.58 versus AMCR's 28.38, alongside higher return on equity (ROE) at 16.12%.
- Recent developments include AMCR's healthcare packaging expansions and BALL's record 2025 results with strong cash flow.
- Upcoming Q1/Q3 earnings for both could influence short-term momentum in the packaging sector.
Introduction
Amcor plc (AMCR) and Ball Corporation (BALL) are leading players in the global packaging industry, specializing in sustainable solutions for food, beverage, and healthcare products. This comparison analyzes their recent market performance, business drivers, and positioning amid evolving consumer demands for eco-friendly materials. Investors tracking the containers and packaging sector, particularly those focused on relative performance and sector trends, will find value in understanding how these stocks stack up in the current environment. With both facing similar headwinds like commodity costs and regulatory pressures, key differences in momentum and strategy emerge.
AMCR Overview and Recent Performance
Amcor plc (AMCR) is a global leader in flexible and rigid packaging, serving consumer goods with innovative, recyclable solutions across food, beverage, pharmaceuticals, and personal care. In recent market activity, the stock has traded near its 52-week low of $37.22, closing around $37.75 with a market cap of $17.4 billion. YTD returns stand at 8.28%, lagging broader indices amid valuation scrutiny following Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings that showed strong revenue growth of 44.82% but EPS declines. Sentiment has been influenced by expansions like a new healthcare packaging plant in Malaysia and partnerships for fiber-based trays with Metsä Group and G. Mondini, signaling a push toward sustainability. However, share price weakness persists due to mixed earnings signals and sector pressures.
BALL Overview and Recent Performance
Ball Corporation (BALL) specializes in sustainable aluminum packaging for beverages, personal care, and household products, leveraging its position as a top provider of recyclable metal cans. Recent weeks have seen the stock maintain momentum, closing near $61.33 with a $16.3 billion market cap and YTD gains of 16.13%. Building on record 2025 results—including comparable diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.57 and adjusted free cash flow of $956 million—the company declared a quarterly dividend and prepares for Q1 2026 earnings on May 5. Positive sentiment stems from volume growth, price/mix improvements, and sustainability initiatives like higher recycled content targets, though upcoming earnings expectations temper gains.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both AMCR and BALL operate in the containers and packaging sector, but diverge in focus: AMCR emphasizes flexible packaging and rigid plastics/fiber for broad consumer applications, while BALL leads in aluminum beverage cans with aerospace divestitures sharpening its core. Growth drivers include sustainability—AMCR via healthcare innovations and fiber trays, BALL through recycled aluminum targets. Recent momentum favors BALL with superior YTD returns and ROE, versus AMCR's post-earnings dip. Risk factors overlap in raw material volatility and demand softness, but BALL's higher beta (1.07 vs. 0.63) signals greater sensitivity to market swings. Market sentiment leans toward BALL's undervaluation narrative amid packaging peers' caution.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently lean toward BALL based on stronger trend consistency, higher profitability metrics like 6.93% profit margins and 16.12% ROE, and positive catalysts from recent record results. AMCR offers stability with a higher dividend yield but trails in relative momentum. This positioning suggests BALL may have a probabilistic edge in the near term, contingent on earnings outcomes and sector dynamics.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMCR is a Buy and BALL is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMCR’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileBALL’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- AMCR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- BALL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMCR’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BALL’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMCR’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
- BALL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
AMCR (@Containers/Packaging) experienced а -1.05% price change this week, while BALL (@Containers/Packaging) price change was +1.48% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Containers/Packaging industry was -0.27%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.70%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.95%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMCR is expected to report earnings on Aug 19, 2026.
BALL is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Containers/Packaging (-0.27% weekly)The containers/packing sector includes companies that manufacture containers (like plastic and aluminum food containers, glass bottles, metal cans, cardboard, storage and waste bags, giftwraps etc.) and provide packing services. Food-and-beverage and household products are major markets for this business. Several companies in this industry cater to international markets in addition to serving domestic customers. Consumer spending habits could potentially affect this industry’s performance. Some products, that use oil-based materials as inputs, are likely to see their costs of production get impacted (to some extent) by energy price movements. The ever-expanding e-commerce market has only supercharged the amount/frequency of goods shipped domestically and across borders, thereby creating ample potential opportunities for containers and packaging businesses. Ball Corporation, International Paper Company, Amcor Plc and Packaging Corporation of America are some of the largest U.S. companies in this industry.
| AMCR | BALL | AMCR / BALL | |
| Capitalization | 18.8B | 15.5B | 121% |
| EBITDA | 2.84B | 2.11B | 135% |
| Gain YTD | 0.481 | 10.606 | 5% |
| P/E Ratio | 32.67 | 16.97 | 193% |
| Revenue | 22.2B | 13.7B | 162% |
| Total Cash | 1.59B | 730M | 217% |
| Total Debt | 16.7B | 7.81B | 214% |
AMCR | BALL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 24 | 24 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 8 Undervalued | 39 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 77 | 52 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 48 | 34 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 10 | 91 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 9 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AMCR's Valuation (8) in the null industry is in the same range as BALL (39) in the Containers Or Packaging industry. This means that AMCR’s stock grew similarly to BALL’s over the last 12 months.
AMCR's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the null industry is in the same range as BALL (100) in the Containers Or Packaging industry. This means that AMCR’s stock grew similarly to BALL’s over the last 12 months.
BALL's SMR Rating (52) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as AMCR (77) in the null industry. This means that BALL’s stock grew similarly to AMCR’s over the last 12 months.
BALL's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as AMCR (48) in the null industry. This means that BALL’s stock grew similarly to AMCR’s over the last 12 months.
AMCR's P/E Growth Rating (10) in the null industry is significantly better than the same rating for BALL (91) in the Containers Or Packaging industry. This means that AMCR’s stock grew significantly faster than BALL’s over the last 12 months.
| AMCR | BALL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 62% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 58% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 56% | 1 day ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 46% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 44% | 8 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 20 days ago 56% | 20 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 59% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 48% | 1 day ago 63% |
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AMCR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMCR has been loosely correlated with SW. These tickers have moved in lockstep 60% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AMCR jumps, then SW could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMCR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMCR | 100% | -0.97% | ||
| SW - AMCR | 60% Loosely correlated | +2.69% | ||
| AVY - AMCR | 57% Loosely correlated | -0.76% | ||
| GEF - AMCR | 57% Loosely correlated | +0.45% | ||
| CCK - AMCR | 54% Loosely correlated | +1.65% | ||
| BALL - AMCR | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.83% | ||
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BALL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BALL has been loosely correlated with CCK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BALL jumps, then CCK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BALL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALL | 100% | +0.83% | ||
| CCK - BALL | 59% Loosely correlated | +1.65% | ||
| AVY - BALL | 54% Loosely correlated | -0.76% | ||
| SLGN - BALL | 54% Loosely correlated | -0.43% | ||
| AMCR - BALL | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.97% | ||
| OI - BALL | 50% Loosely correlated | -1.19% | ||
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