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AVY vs BALL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Avery Dennison (AVY) vs. Ball (BALL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Avery Dennison (AVY) recently reported stronger-than-expected Q1 earnings, boosting short-term sentiment, while Ball Corporation (BALL) approaches its Q1 report with positive analyst expectations.
- BALL has outperformed AVY year-to-date with approximately 16% gains versus 10%, reflecting robust market positioning in metal packaging.
- Both stocks trade at similar price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios around 18x, indicating comparable valuations amid packaging sector dynamics.
- BALL's larger market cap of $16.3 billion provides scale advantages over AVY's $12.5 billion.
- Analyst price targets suggest moderate upside for both, with BALL at around $71 and AVY near $185.
Introduction
Packaging giants Avery Dennison (AVY) and Ball Corporation (BALL) operate in the materials sector, serving consumer goods, beverages, and labeling needs. This comparison suits value-oriented investors and short-term traders evaluating relative performance amid supply chain shifts and sustainability trends. Both stocks have navigated recent market volatility, with influences from earnings cycles and sector demand. Understanding their business models, momentum, and risk profiles aids in assessing trade-offs in today's environment focused on resilient industrials.
AVY Overview and Recent Performance
Avery Dennison (AVY) specializes in labeling, packaging materials, and radio-frequency identification (RFID) solutions for retail and logistics. In recent market activity, shares traded around $163, near the lower end of the 52-week range of $156-$200, reflecting pressure from broader industrials weakness. Q1 2026 results showed adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.47, surpassing estimates by 2%, with revenue up 7% year-over-year to $2.30 billion, driven by materials group strength despite apparel challenges. A 6% quarterly dividend hike to $1.40 signaled confidence. Sentiment has stabilized post-earnings, supported by free cash flow generation, though trade policy headwinds linger.
BALL Overview and Recent Performance
Ball Corporation (BALL) leads in sustainable aluminum packaging for beverages and aerosols, emphasizing aerospace components. Shares hovered near $61, within a 52-week range of $45-$68, buoyed by year-to-date gains of 16%. Full-year 2025 delivered GAAP diluted EPS of $3.30, with comparable net earnings up slightly year-over-year. Recent weeks featured a quarterly dividend declaration and anticipation for Q1 2026 earnings on May 5, projected at $0.85 EPS and $3.27 billion sales. Positive recycling demand narratives and peer read-throughs from competitors have lifted sentiment, offsetting valuation debates.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Avery Dennison (AVY) focuses on adhesives and RFID for branding, contrasting Ball’s (BALL) emphasis on lightweight metal cans amid sustainability pushes. Growth drivers differ: AVY benefits from e-commerce labeling, while BALL rides beverage volume and aerospace. Recent momentum favors BALL with superior YTD returns and analyst upgrades, versus AVY’s post-earnings dip. Risk profiles show BALL’s higher beta (1.07) indicating volatility, against AVY’s steadier 0.85. Sector exposure aligns in packaging, but BALL’s scale offers resilience, trading sentiment tilts toward its undervaluation potential.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently leans toward Ball Corporation (BALL) based on consistent trend strength, higher year-to-date momentum, and favorable positioning ahead of earnings catalysts. While AVY demonstrates earnings reliability, BALL’s relative stability and growth outlook in sustainable packaging provide a probabilistic edge in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AVY is a Buy and BALL is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AVY’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileBALL’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- AVY’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- BALL’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AVY’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BALL’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AVY’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 3 bearish.
- BALL’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
AVY (@Containers/Packaging) experienced а -1.46% price change this week, while BALL (@Containers/Packaging) price change was +1.48% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Containers/Packaging industry was -0.27%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +8.70%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.95%.
Reported Earning Dates
AVY is expected to report earnings on Jul 28, 2026.
BALL is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Containers/Packaging (-0.27% weekly)The containers/packing sector includes companies that manufacture containers (like plastic and aluminum food containers, glass bottles, metal cans, cardboard, storage and waste bags, giftwraps etc.) and provide packing services. Food-and-beverage and household products are major markets for this business. Several companies in this industry cater to international markets in addition to serving domestic customers. Consumer spending habits could potentially affect this industry’s performance. Some products, that use oil-based materials as inputs, are likely to see their costs of production get impacted (to some extent) by energy price movements. The ever-expanding e-commerce market has only supercharged the amount/frequency of goods shipped domestically and across borders, thereby creating ample potential opportunities for containers and packaging businesses. Ball Corporation, International Paper Company, Amcor Plc and Packaging Corporation of America are some of the largest U.S. companies in this industry.
| AVY | BALL | AVY / BALL | |
| Capitalization | 12B | 15.5B | 77% |
| EBITDA | 1.42B | 2.11B | 67% |
| Gain YTD | -12.429 | 10.606 | -117% |
| P/E Ratio | 17.73 | 16.97 | 105% |
| Revenue | 9.01B | 13.7B | 66% |
| Total Cash | 255M | 730M | 35% |
| Total Debt | 3.79B | 7.81B | 49% |
AVY | BALL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 17 | 24 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 31 Undervalued | 39 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 100 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 32 | 52 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 58 | 34 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 66 | 91 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 9 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AVY's Valuation (31) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as BALL (39). This means that AVY’s stock grew similarly to BALL’s over the last 12 months.
AVY's Profit vs Risk Rating (100) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as BALL (100). This means that AVY’s stock grew similarly to BALL’s over the last 12 months.
AVY's SMR Rating (32) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as BALL (52). This means that AVY’s stock grew similarly to BALL’s over the last 12 months.
BALL's Price Growth Rating (34) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as AVY (58). This means that BALL’s stock grew similarly to AVY’s over the last 12 months.
AVY's P/E Growth Rating (66) in the Containers Or Packaging industry is in the same range as BALL (91). This means that AVY’s stock grew similarly to BALL’s over the last 12 months.
| AVY | BALL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 51% | 1 day ago 65% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 1 day ago 58% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 44% | 1 day ago 54% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 8 days ago 45% | 8 days ago 57% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 60% | 20 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 68% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 40% | 1 day ago 63% |
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AVY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AVY has been loosely correlated with HNI. These tickers have moved in lockstep 62% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AVY jumps, then HNI could also see price increases.
BALL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, BALL has been loosely correlated with CCK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 59% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if BALL jumps, then CCK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To BALL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BALL | 100% | +0.83% | ||
| CCK - BALL | 59% Loosely correlated | +1.65% | ||
| AVY - BALL | 54% Loosely correlated | -0.76% | ||
| SLGN - BALL | 54% Loosely correlated | -0.43% | ||
| AMCR - BALL | 53% Loosely correlated | -0.97% | ||
| OI - BALL | 50% Loosely correlated | -1.19% | ||
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