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AMKR vs NVDA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Amkor Technology (AMKR) vs. NVIDIA (NVDA) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Different points in the AI supply chain: AMKR (Amkor Technology) provides outsourced semiconductor packaging and test (OSAT) services, while NVDA (NVIDIA) designs the AI accelerators (graphics processing units, or GPUs) that drive data centers.
- Contrasting recent momentum: AMKR posted record Computing and Automotive/Industrial revenue and expanding margins in its latest quarter, while NVDA has pulled back sharply, falling roughly 22% from its October record and breaking below its 200-day moving average.
- Scale and valuation gap: NVDA carries a market value of roughly $4.5 trillion versus about $10 billion for AMKR, yet trades at a higher trailing price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio near 38x compared with about 17x.
- Directly linked growth: NVDA has committed roughly $3 billion in prepayments to secure AMKR's advanced packaging capacity in Arizona and South Korea.
- Tickeron AI Verdict: Tickeron's AI would currently favor AMKR for its improving profitability, direct AI packaging catalysts, and comparatively steadier trend relative to NVDA's sharp momentum reversal.
- For deeper coverage, explore AMKR Major News and AMKR Today's Price Move, as well as NVDA Major News and NVDA Today's Price Move.
- Discover the latest AI trading strategies on Trending AI Robots.
Introduction
Investors comparing AMKR and NVDA are effectively comparing two distinct layers of the same artificial intelligence (AI) buildout: the back-end assembly and testing that turns silicon wafers into finished chips, and the design of the accelerators those chips power. This stock comparison matters to both growth-oriented traders seeking exposure to AI infrastructure and value-conscious investors assessing relative performance and market positioning. Because the two companies are commercially connected, shifts in one name can inform the outlook for the other, making the pair a useful lens on how the broader semiconductor cycle is evolving in the current environment.
AMKR Overview and Recent Performance
Amkor Technology is a global leader in outsourced semiconductor assembly and test (OSAT), the back-end stage where finished wafers are packaged and tested for deployment. In recent weeks, AMKR delivered a mixed but margin-focused quarterly update. Revenue of roughly $1.99 billion was nearly flat year over year, yet net income rose about 51%, and gross margin expanded to 18.3% from roughly 14.3% a year earlier. Computing and Automotive/Industrial end markets each grew 37% year over year to record levels, while Communications softened on smartphone demand and component shortages.
Sentiment has been supported by NVDA's commitments—roughly $3 billion in combined prepayments across Arizona and South Korea—to secure Amkor's advanced packaging capacity, positioning the company near the center of U.S. domestic AI supply-chain efforts. Still, the shares have experienced notable volatility, and several analysts trimmed price targets after a lighter fourth-quarter outlook and elevated capital spending plans. The stock remains a higher-beta, cyclical name tied closely to AI packaging demand.
NVDA Overview and Recent Performance
NVIDIA is the dominant designer of AI accelerators and accelerated computing platforms, with its GPUs, networking hardware, and CUDA software ecosystem underpinning most large-scale AI data centers. Recent market activity has been marked by a sharp repricing. After reaching a record close in early October, NVDA recorded its fifth consecutive weekly decline and fell roughly 22% from that peak, erasing more than $1 trillion in market value at points and slipping below its 200-day moving average.
The pullback followed U.S. midterm election results that raised concerns about tighter oversight of data-center construction, which markets interpret as a potential headwind for AI chip demand. Even so, fundamentals remain robust: recent quarterly revenue grew more than 100% year over year, and management has stated that supply—not demand—is the primary constraint on growth, with supply expected to remain tight into fiscal 2028. The company still commands a market value near $4.5 trillion, and its next earnings report is a key near-term catalyst.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between the two names is structural. NVDA is a capital-light designer with a wide software moat, exceptional revenue growth, and a premium valuation, but its stock is highly sensitive to shifts in AI sentiment and policy. AMKR is a capital-intensive manufacturer with thinner margins, lower growth, and more cyclical exposure, yet it currently trades at a far lower earnings multiple and benefits directly from AI-driven demand for advanced packaging.
On momentum, NVDA has broken a sustained uptrend and is testing investor conviction ahead of earnings, while AMKR has shown improving profitability even amid a recent share-price pullback. Risk factors also diverge: NVDA faces concentration and regulatory risk around data centers, whereas AMKR faces execution risk on its Arizona buildout and heavy capital spending. Both remain leveraged to the same underlying AI cycle, making their relative positioning a matter of valuation, stability, and catalyst timing rather than direction.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would currently lean toward AMKR. The company's record segment revenue, expanding margins, and roughly $3 billion in prepaid commitments from NVDA provide tangible catalysts, while its lower valuation offers a more defensive profile. By contrast, NVDA's break below its 200-day moving average and five-week losing streak suggest a less consistent trend in the near term, even though its long-term fundamentals remain strong. This assessment is probabilistic and reflects current conditions rather than a definitive forecast.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMKR is a StrongBuy and NVDA is a Buy.
AMKR in upward trend: price may ascend as a result of having broken its lower Bollinger Band on November 05, 2026
AMKR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options. In 30 of 37 cases where AMKR's price broke its lower Bollinger Band, its price rose further in the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AMKR's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 21 of 28 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 51 of 63 cases where AMKR's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AMKR just turned positive on November 11, 2026. Looking at past instances where AMKR's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 38 of 49 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
Following a +14.79% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMKR advanced for three days, in 237 of 322 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
AMKR moved below its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for AMKR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 11 of 14 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 79%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMKR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 73%.
The Aroon Indicator for AMKR entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 47 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (1.753) is normal, around the industry mean (5.670). P/E Ratio (14.652) is within average values for comparable stocks, (68.795). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.180) is also within normal values, averaging (0.801). Dividend Yield (0.010) settles around the average of (0.009) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.548) is also within normal values, averaging (27.897).
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 80 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AMKR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 75, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. AMKR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
NVDA's RSI Oscillator is sitting in oversold zone for 4 days
The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an uptrend is expected.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +3.31% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVDA advanced for three days, in 295 of 355 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
NVDA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NVDA as a result. In 56 of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NVDA turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 67%.
NVDA moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for NVDA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 15 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVDA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
The Aroon Indicator for NVDA entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 16 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. NVDA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 79 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NVDA's P/B Ratio (19.682) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (5.443). P/E Ratio (23.477) is within average values for comparable stocks, (15.640). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.478) is also within normal values, averaging (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.005) settles around the average of (0.014) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (17.212) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 92 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
AMKR | NVDA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 13 | 53 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 47 Fair valued | 79 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 80 | 16 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 62 | 13 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 83 | 65 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 89 | 92 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | n/a | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AMKR's Valuation (47) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NVDA (79). This means that AMKR’s stock grew similarly to NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's Profit vs Risk Rating (16) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AMKR (80). This means that NVDA’s stock grew somewhat faster than AMKR’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's SMR Rating (13) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AMKR (62). This means that NVDA’s stock grew somewhat faster than AMKR’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's Price Growth Rating (65) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AMKR (83). This means that NVDA’s stock grew similarly to AMKR’s over the last 12 months.
AMKR's P/E Growth Rating (89) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NVDA (92). This means that AMKR’s stock grew similarly to NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
| AMKR | NVDA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | N/A | 1 day ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 74% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 74% | 16 days ago 83% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 69% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 81% | 1 day ago 84% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 81% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMKR’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while NVDA’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AMKR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- NVDA’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMKR’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVDA’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMKR’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
- NVDA’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AMKR (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а -8.37% price change this week, while NVDA (@Semiconductors) price change was -18.33% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was +6.98%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -17.32%, and the average quarterly price growth was -31.40%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +6.13%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -11.41%, and the average quarterly price growth was -25.58%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMKR is expected to report earnings on Feb 15, 2027.
NVDA is expected to report earnings on Nov 17, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (+6.98% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (+6.13% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
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AMKR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMKR has been closely correlated with COHU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 80% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AMKR jumps, then COHU could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMKR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMKR | 100% | +10.53% | ||
| COHU - AMKR | 80% Closely correlated | +5.52% | ||
| RMBS - AMKR | 79% Closely correlated | +5.70% | ||
| LRCX - AMKR | 78% Closely correlated | +6.07% | ||
| ENTG - AMKR | 77% Closely correlated | +11.29% | ||
| FORM - AMKR | 75% Closely correlated | +11.85% | ||
More | ||||
NVDA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVDA has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NVDA jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NVDA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | 100% | +2.92% | ||
| LRCX - NVDA | 70% Closely correlated | +6.07% | ||
| KLAC - NVDA | 69% Closely correlated | +5.24% | ||
| AMAT - NVDA | 66% Closely correlated | +6.05% | ||
| AMKR - NVDA | 63% Loosely correlated | +10.53% | ||
| CAMT - NVDA | 63% Loosely correlated | +4.76% | ||
More | ||||
| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| INTW | 6.55 | 0.85 | +14.91% |
| GraniteShares 2x Long INTC Daily ETF (INTW) | |||
| GSLC | 145.46 | 1.83 | +1.27% |
| Goldman Sachs ActiveBeta U.S. Large Cap Equity ETF (GSLC) | |||
| WCAP | 9.26 | 0.11 | +1.21% |
| WarCap Unconstrained Equity ETF (WCAP) | |||
| SAMT | 40.68 | 0.21 | +0.52% |
| Strategas Macro Thematic Opportunities ETF (SAMT) | |||
| AMA | 39.89 | N/A | N/A |
| Defiance Daily Target 2X Long Amat ETF | |||