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AMKR vs NVDA
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Amkor Technology (AMKR) vs. NVIDIA (NVDA) Stock Comparison
1) Key Takeaways
- AMKR is the world's largest U.S.-headquartered OSAT (outsourced semiconductor assembly and test) provider, generating full-year 2025 net sales of roughly $6.7 billion, up about 6% year over year.
- NVDA is a dominant AI accelerator and GPU (graphics processing unit) leader whose recent quarterly revenue grew roughly 62% year over year, driven by record data center sales.
- The two companies occupy different rungs of the semiconductor value chain: NVDA designs high-margin chips, while AMKR provides capital-intensive packaging and test services with structurally lower margins.
- AMKR's recent performance has been supported by advanced packaging demand and a notable high-end packaging win, though margin pressure and heavy capital spending remain key considerations.
- NVDA's relative momentum has been stronger, with its market value approaching the $5 trillion threshold amid sustained AI infrastructure demand.
2) Introduction
Investors evaluating the semiconductor and artificial intelligence (AI) landscape often encounter two very different types of businesses. AMKR, Amkor Technology, is a leading provider of outsourced chip packaging and test services — the manufacturing steps that turn silicon into finished, reliable components. NVDA, NVIDIA, designs the advanced GPUs and accelerated computing platforms that power much of today's AI. This stock comparison is relevant to traders and long-term investors seeking to understand how a mid-cap manufacturing services firm and a mega-cap AI platform company differ in business model, growth drivers, market positioning, and risk. Examining their relative performance helps clarify where each sits in the current market environment.
3) AMKR Overview and Recent Performance
Amkor Technology is the largest U.S.-headquartered OSAT, providing outsourced semiconductor packaging and test services across smartphones, data centers, automotive, and other end markets. In recent market activity, AMKR has benefited from strong demand in advanced packaging and record revenue in its computing segment, reflecting the broader AI buildout. Full-year 2025 net sales reached approximately $6.7 billion, up about 6% year over year, with advanced packaging and computing posting record results.
Sentiment has also been shaped by strategic developments, including a first-of-its-kind high-end chip packaging mandate from Intel for Amkor's South Korea facility, which reinforced the company's growing role in leading-edge manufacturing. At the same time, management has guided for a near-term step-down in profitability while it ramps significant capital expenditures — roughly $2.5 billion to $3.0 billion for 2026 — to expand its Arizona campus and advanced packaging capacity. A leadership transition to a new chief executive took effect at the start of 2026. These factors frame a narrative of rising demand balanced against margin pressure and elevated investment needs.
4) NVDA Overview and Recent Performance
NVIDIA is a leading designer of GPUs and accelerated computing systems, and its data center business has become the primary engine of its growth as AI workloads expand. In its most recent reported quarter, NVDA posted revenue of roughly $57 billion, up about 62% year over year, with data center revenue reaching a record of about $51 billion. GAAP (generally accepted accounting principles) gross margin remained near 73%, underscoring the profitability of its chip design business relative to manufacturing services peers.
Recent sentiment has been supported by management's statement that its latest-generation Blackwell chips have "sold out," alongside a broad slate of partnership announcements spanning networking, pharmaceuticals, autonomous vehicles, and government supercomputing. The company's market value has approached the $5 trillion level, reflecting strong investor conviction in sustained AI infrastructure demand. Still, NVDA carries concentration risk tied to the pace of data center spending and export-policy dynamics, factors that traders monitor closely.
5) Trending AI Robots
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6) Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between AMKR and NVDA is their position in the value chain. NVDA operates a largely capital-light, intellectual-property-driven model with gross margins near 73%, whereas AMKR runs a capital-intensive manufacturing business with gross margins in the mid-teens. This gap explains much of the difference in their relative performance and valuation profiles.
Growth drivers also differ. NVDA's expansion hinges on demand for AI accelerators, data center infrastructure, and software ecosystems, with revenue compounding rapidly. AMKR's growth is tied to advanced packaging and test volumes, where demand is rising but profitability is constrained by factory utilization and high material content. On risk factors, NVDA faces concentration and policy exposure tied to AI spending and export controls, while AMKR faces execution risk around its Arizona buildout and sensitivity to end-market cycles in communications and automotive. In short, NVDA offers higher-growth, higher-margin exposure to AI design, while AMKR offers more leveraged, manufacturing-driven exposure to the same secular trend.
7) Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable trend consistency, margin structure, and catalyst momentum, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward NVDA in the current environment. Its relative performance has been reinforced by sustained revenue growth, robust profitability, and a steady stream of demand signals across the AI ecosystem. AMKR presents a credible long-term advanced-packaging story, but near-term margin compression and a multi-billion-dollar investment cycle introduce more uncertainty around the timing of returns. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive and should be weighed alongside each investor's own objectives and risk tolerance.
8) Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMKR is a Hold and NVDA is a Hold.
AMKR in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026
AMKR moved below its 50-day moving average on October 08, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 28 of 31 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 06, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMKR as a result. In 75 of 94 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for AMKR turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 39 of the 50 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 78%.
The 10-day moving average for AMKR crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 12 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 80%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMKR declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for AMKR's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 10 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +6.95% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMKR advanced for three days, in 237 of 322 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 74%.
AMKR may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 156 of 213 cases where AMKR Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 73%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 48 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (2.086) is normal, around the industry mean (6.371). P/E Ratio (17.433) is within average values for comparable stocks, (86.229). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.180) is also within normal values, averaging (0.801). Dividend Yield (0.009) settles around the average of (0.008) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.548) is also within normal values, averaging (27.897).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 62 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 64 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. AMKR’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 76 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 82 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. AMKR’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 76, placing this stock worse than average.
NVDA in downward trend: price dove below 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026
NVDA moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 32 of 41 similar past instances, the stock price decreased further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for NVDA moved out of overbought territory on October 07, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 31 of the 44 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 70%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 14, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on NVDA as a result. In 58 of 82 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 71%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for NVDA turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 34 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 72%.
The 10-day moving average for NVDA crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 21, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 18 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where NVDA declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 69%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator shows that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 8 days. The price of this ticker is presumed to bounce back soon, since the longer the ticker stays in the oversold zone, the more promptly an upward trend is expected.
Following a +2.26% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where NVDA advanced for three days, in 296 of 356 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.
NVDA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 299 of 336 cases where NVDA Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 89%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 6 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating low risk on high returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock better than average.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 13 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 46 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. NVDA’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 81 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: NVDA's P/B Ratio (22.378) is very high in comparison to the industry average of (6.008). P/E Ratio (26.693) is within average values for comparable stocks, (20.098). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.478) is also within normal values, averaging (3.761). Dividend Yield (0.005) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (17.212) is also within normal values, averaging (45.794).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 87 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
AMKR | NVDA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 58 | 77 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 48 Fair valued | 81 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 82 | 6 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 62 | 13 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 64 | 46 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 76 | 87 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AMKR's Valuation (48) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for NVDA (81). This means that AMKR’s stock grew somewhat faster than NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's Profit vs Risk Rating (6) in the Semiconductors industry is significantly better than the same rating for AMKR (82). This means that NVDA’s stock grew significantly faster than AMKR’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's SMR Rating (13) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AMKR (62). This means that NVDA’s stock grew somewhat faster than AMKR’s over the last 12 months.
NVDA's Price Growth Rating (46) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as AMKR (64). This means that NVDA’s stock grew similarly to AMKR’s over the last 12 months.
AMKR's P/E Growth Rating (76) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as NVDA (87). This means that AMKR’s stock grew similarly to NVDA’s over the last 12 months.
| AMKR | NVDA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 70% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 80% | 1 day ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 72% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 77% | 1 day ago 75% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 21 days ago 74% | 17 days ago 83% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 72% | 7 days ago 69% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 89% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 89% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMKR’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while NVDA’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AMKR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- NVDA’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMKR’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while NVDA’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMKR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- NVDA’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AMKR (@Electronic Production Equipment) experienced а -2.43% price change this week, while NVDA (@Semiconductors) price change was +0.30% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Electronic Production Equipment industry was -10.99%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -23.67%, and the average quarterly price growth was -33.55%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -8.11%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -19.82%, and the average quarterly price growth was -12.10%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMKR is expected to report earnings on Oct 26, 2026.
NVDA is expected to report earnings on Nov 18, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Electronic Production Equipment (-10.99% weekly)The electronic production equipment industry makes equipment used to produce semiconductors. Such equipment includes wafer fabrication, plasma etching and photo-resist processing equipment. The industry also makes chemical vapor deposition processing systems and photomasks, which are high-purity quartz plates that contain patterns to define integrated circuits layouts. Applied Materials, Inc., Lam Research Corporation, and KLA-Tencor Corporation are examples of electronic production equipment manufacturing companies.
@Semiconductors (-8.11% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
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AMKR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AMKR has been closely correlated with COHU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AMKR jumps, then COHU could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To AMKR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AMKR | 100% | -10.70% | ||
| COHU - AMKR | 79% Closely correlated | -16.33% | ||
| RMBS - AMKR | 79% Closely correlated | -7.62% | ||
| LRCX - AMKR | 76% Closely correlated | -11.76% | ||
| ENTG - AMKR | 75% Closely correlated | -13.12% | ||
| MPWR - AMKR | 74% Closely correlated | -8.99% | ||
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NVDA and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, NVDA has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 70% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if NVDA jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To NVDA | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NVDA | 100% | -4.40% | ||
| LRCX - NVDA | 70% Closely correlated | -11.76% | ||
| KLAC - NVDA | 69% Closely correlated | -9.55% | ||
| AMAT - NVDA | 66% Closely correlated | -8.16% | ||
| AMKR - NVDA | 63% Loosely correlated | -10.70% | ||
| CAMT - NVDA | 63% Loosely correlated | -10.23% | ||
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