Advertisement
AMZN vs BABA
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AMZN is a Buy and BABA is a Hold.
AMZN's MACD Histogram just turned positive
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AMZN turned positive on October 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where AMZN's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 41 of 55 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The 10-day moving average for AMZN crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 19, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 60%.
Following a +5.05% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AMZN advanced for three days, in 225 of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 71%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 169 of 254 cases where AMZN Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 67%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 39 of 71 cases where AMZN's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 55%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 22, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on AMZN as a result. In 44 of 78 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 56%.
AMZN moved below its 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AMZN declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 60%.
AMZN broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 33 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating very strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 45 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. AMZN’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 55 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 83 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (4.896) is normal, around the industry mean (23.709). P/E Ratio (19.856) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.513). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.460) is also within normal values, averaging (1.774). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.034) among similar stocks. AMZN's P/S Ratio (3.447) is slightly higher than the industry average of (1.321).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 83 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
BABA in -6.25% downward trend, falling for three consecutive days on October 22, 2026
Moving lower for three straight days is viewed as a bearish sign. Keep an eye on this stock for future declines. Considering data from situations where BABA declined for three days, in 269 of 350 cases, the price declined further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 19, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on BABA as a result. In 59 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 75%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for BABA turned negative on October 21, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 32 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 67%.
The Aroon Indicator for BABA entered a downward trend on September 25, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for BABA's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +0.35% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where BABA advanced for three days, in 178 of 254 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 70%.
BABA may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 43 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (0.241) is normal, around the industry mean (23.709). P/E Ratio (3.230) is within average values for comparable stocks, (9.513). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.505) is also within normal values, averaging (1.774). Dividend Yield (0.041) settles around the average of (0.034) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (1.660) is also within normal values, averaging (1.321).
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 75 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. BABA’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 78 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 96 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. BABA’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 93, placing this stock worse than average.
AMZN | BABA | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 21 | 53 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 83 Overvalued | 43 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 55 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 33 | 78 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 45 | 75 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 83 | 96 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
BABA's Valuation (43) in the Internet Retail industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AMZN (83). This means that BABA’s stock grew somewhat faster than AMZN’s over the last 12 months.
AMZN's Profit vs Risk Rating (55) in the Internet Retail industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BABA (100). This means that AMZN’s stock grew somewhat faster than BABA’s over the last 12 months.
AMZN's SMR Rating (33) in the Internet Retail industry is somewhat better than the same rating for BABA (78). This means that AMZN’s stock grew somewhat faster than BABA’s over the last 12 months.
AMZN's Price Growth Rating (45) in the Internet Retail industry is in the same range as BABA (75). This means that AMZN’s stock grew similarly to BABA’s over the last 12 months.
AMZN's P/E Growth Rating (83) in the Internet Retail industry is in the same range as BABA (96). This means that AMZN’s stock grew similarly to BABA’s over the last 12 months.
| AMZN | BABA | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 84% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 55% | 2 days ago 66% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 56% | 2 days ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 67% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 71% | 10 days ago 70% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 77% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 57% | 2 days ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 66% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AMZN’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green while BABA’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- AMZN’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- BABA’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AMZN’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while BABA’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AMZN’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- BABA’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AMZN (@Internet Retail) experienced а -1.72% price change this week, while BABA (@Internet Retail) price change was -8.38% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Internet Retail industry was -5.00%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -12.48%, and the average quarterly price growth was -20.56%.
Reported Earning Dates
AMZN is expected to report earnings on Oct 29, 2026.
BABA is expected to report earnings on Nov 24, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Internet Retail (-5.00% weekly)The internet retail industry includes companies that sell products and services through the Internet. With more and more consumers using online retailers, the companies have seen a big increase in the use of their services. Some of the companies in the group are focused on selling business-to-business products and services. Others sell business-to-consumer products and services. Internet retailers offer a wide variety of products like books, apparel, and electronics. Some companies even specialize in only one or two categories. One potentially critical factor for players to thrive in this space is the quality and speed of product delivery. This requires an investment in efficient distribution networks. Things like logistics are important factors in the success in the extremely competitive industry. For a company to stay relevant in the industry it must have effective pricing strategies and upgraded websites. The websites must be easy to navigate and engaging for customers. In addition to the revenues generated from straight sales, internet retailers can generate revenue from subscription fees and advertising. Amazon.com, Inc., Alibaba Group, and JD.com are some of the global leaders.
Advertisement