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AR vs GPOR
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Antero Resources Corporation (AR) vs. Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- AR boasts a larger market capitalization of approximately $11.7 billion compared to GPOR's $3.4 billion, reflecting greater scale in operations.
- Both stocks have shown year-to-date gains around 9-10%, but AR has exhibited stronger weekly momentum recently (+3.16%) versus GPOR's decline (-3.04%).
- GPOR trades at a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 8.73 versus AR's 18.64, suggesting better valuation on earnings.
- GPOR demonstrates superior profitability with a 32.85% profit margin and 23.88% return on equity (ROE), outpacing AR's 12.34% and 9.04%.
- Tickeron's AI analysis favors GPOR slightly due to stronger fundamental and technical scores.
- Upcoming earnings reports—AR on April 29 and GPOR on May 5—could drive near-term volatility.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines AR (Antero Resources Corporation) and GPOR (Gulfport Energy Corporation), two independent natural gas producers navigating volatile energy markets. Both companies focus on U.S. shale plays, making them relevant for investors tracking natural gas price trends, Appalachian Basin dynamics, and upstream exploration risks. Traders seeking relative performance insights in the oil and gas production sector, particularly amid fluctuating commodity prices and geopolitical influences, will find value in evaluating their scale, valuations, and momentum for portfolio positioning or hedging strategies.
AR Overview and Recent Performance
Antero Resources Corporation (AR) is an independent oil and natural gas company engaged in exploration, development, production, and acquisition of natural gas, natural gas liquids (NGLs), and oil, primarily in the Appalachian Basin with about 537,000 net acres. In recent market activity, the stock has traded around $37.84, within a 52-week range of $29.10 to $45.75, reflecting sensitivity to natural gas prices and broader energy sector shifts. Sentiment has been buoyed by analyst price target increases, such as Siebert Williams to $56, and anticipation for Q1 2026 earnings on April 29, amid expectations of earnings growth and favorable LPG (liquefied petroleum gas) tailwinds. Recent weeks have seen modest weekly gains, supported by its low beta of 0.42 indicating relative stability.
GPOR Overview and Recent Performance
Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR) focuses on acquiring, exploring, and producing natural gas, crude oil, and NGLs, with key assets in the Utica and Marcellus shales in eastern Ohio and SCOOP formations in Oklahoma. The stock recently closed at $187.60, in a 52-week range of $160.95 to $225.78, influenced by commodity price fluctuations. Performance in recent weeks has included some downward pressure, with a weekly decline noted, though year-to-date returns remain positive around 9.8%. Investor interest persists ahead of Q1 2026 earnings on May 5, with a beta of 0.59 underscoring moderate market sensitivity and strong fundamentals like high profit margins driving sentiment.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
In business models, both AR and GPOR are upstream energy firms centered on natural gas production, but AR emphasizes Appalachian Basin assets with integrated marketing and midstream investments, while GPOR diversifies across Ohio Utica/Marcellus and Oklahoma SCOOP for broader exposure. Growth drivers include commodity prices and drilling efficiency, with AR's larger revenue ($5B TTM) contrasting GPOR's higher margins (33%). Recent momentum favors AR on weekly basis, but GPOR offers lower valuation and positive free cash flow ($140M TTM vs. AR's negative). Risk factors involve debt levels (AR higher at $3.5B) and gas price volatility, with similar low betas indicating sector resilience. Market sentiment leans toward value in GPOR, balanced by AR's scale advantages.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI analysis currently leans toward GPOR as the preferable pick, citing superior fundamental scores (one green rating vs. none for AR), more bullish technical indicators (5 vs. 3), and fairer valuation amid stable trends. While AR benefits from size and recent momentum, GPOR's profitability edge and lower risk profile position it better probabilistically in the near term, pending earnings outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AR is a Hold and GPOR is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AR’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green whileGPOR’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AR’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- GPOR’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AR’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GPOR’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AR’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
- GPOR’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
AR (@Oil & Gas Production) experienced а -2.92% price change this week, while GPOR (@Oil & Gas Production) price change was -1.09% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Oil & Gas Production industry was -5.63%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -14.60%, and the average quarterly price growth was +16.25%.
Reported Earning Dates
AR is expected to report earnings on Jul 29, 2026.
GPOR is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Oil & Gas Production (-5.63% weekly)The oil and gas production segment includes companies that specialize in exploration, development, and production of oil and natural gas. These companies are focused on upstream operations. Companies typically identify deposits, drill wells, and extract raw materials from underground. The industry also includes related services like rig operations, feasibility studies, machinery rentals etc. Several operators in this industry work with various types of contractors such as engineering procurement and construction contractors, as well as with joint-venture partners and oil field service companies. Oil and gas often involves large fixed costs of production; so, declining crude oil prices, for example, is a potential negative for this industry. Conoco Phillips, EOG Resources, Inc. and Pioneer Natural Resources Company are some examples of companies operating in this space.
| AR | GPOR | AR / GPOR | |
| Capitalization | 10.3B | 2.89B | 357% |
| EBITDA | 2.18B | 1.12B | 195% |
| Gain YTD | -3.598 | -22.732 | 16% |
| P/E Ratio | 10.75 | 5.28 | 203% |
| Revenue | 5.48B | 1.43B | 383% |
| Total Cash | N/A | 2.92M | - |
| Total Debt | 4.75B | 824M | 577% |
AR | GPOR | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 71 Overvalued | 60 Fair valued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 59 | 31 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 64 | 31 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 76 | 78 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 99 | 91 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 85 | 78 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GPOR's Valuation (60) in the null industry is in the same range as AR (71) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that GPOR’s stock grew similarly to AR’s over the last 12 months.
GPOR's Profit vs Risk Rating (31) in the null industry is in the same range as AR (59) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that GPOR’s stock grew similarly to AR’s over the last 12 months.
GPOR's SMR Rating (31) in the null industry is somewhat better than the same rating for AR (64) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that GPOR’s stock grew somewhat faster than AR’s over the last 12 months.
AR's Price Growth Rating (76) in the Oil And Gas Production industry is in the same range as GPOR (78) in the null industry. This means that AR’s stock grew similarly to GPOR’s over the last 12 months.
GPOR's P/E Growth Rating (91) in the null industry is in the same range as AR (99) in the Oil And Gas Production industry. This means that GPOR’s stock grew similarly to AR’s over the last 12 months.
| AR | GPOR | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 75% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 78% | 4 days ago 81% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 73% | 4 days ago 60% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 79% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 64% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 66% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 79% | 18 days ago 77% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 64% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 89% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 60% | 4 days ago 65% |
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AR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AR has been closely correlated with RRC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 87% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AR jumps, then RRC could also see price increases.
GPOR and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GPOR has been closely correlated with RRC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 78% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GPOR jumps, then RRC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To GPOR | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GPOR | 100% | -0.57% | ||
| RRC - GPOR | 78% Closely correlated | -0.74% | ||
| EXE - GPOR | 75% Closely correlated | -0.55% | ||
| AR - GPOR | 74% Closely correlated | -2.01% | ||
| EQT - GPOR | 72% Closely correlated | -0.80% | ||
| CRK - GPOR | 70% Closely correlated | -0.23% | ||
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