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ARLO vs EFX
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Arlo Technologies (ARLO) vs. Equifax (EFX) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ARLO (Arlo Technologies) is a small-cap smart-home security subscription play, while EFX (Equifax) is a large-cap credit bureau and data analytics company.
- Both names recently beat earnings expectations, but their growth engines differ: ARLO leans on subscription revenue and average revenue per user (ARPU) expansion, while EFX leans on diversified data and mortgage resilience.
- ARLO carries a higher beta and a trailing price-to-earnings ratio around 44, whereas EFX trades below its historical forward earnings multiple.
- Analyst sentiment on ARLO is a consensus "Strong Buy" with notable upside targets, while EFX has seen mixed ratings and trimmed price targets.
- Key risks are hardware competition and subscription churn for ARLO, versus mortgage-rate sensitivity and integration risk for EFX.
- Their relative performance reflects very different market positioning: aggressive growth versus a defensive, established data franchise.
Introduction
Comparing ARLO and EFX brings together two very different corners of the technology and data economy. Arlo Technologies operates in the consumer smart-home security market, building recurring subscription revenue around connected cameras and sensors. Equifax is one of the largest consumer credit reporting and workforce data firms in the world. This stock comparison is most relevant for investors weighing a high-growth, higher-volatility small cap against a mature, diversified data business with steadier cash flows. By examining recent performance, growth drivers, and market positioning, traders and long-term investors can better assess which profile fits current market conditions and their own risk tolerance.
ARLO Overview and Recent Performance
ARLO (Arlo Technologies, Inc.) provides cloud-connected smart security cameras, doorbells, and subscription monitoring services. Spun off from Netgear in 2018, the company has pivoted toward a services-first model, and that shift has become the core of its narrative. In recent quarters, subscription and services revenue has grown roughly 30% year over year and now represents around 60% of total revenue, while ARPU has risen above $15 as customers adopt premium AI-enabled plans. The company has reported record adjusted EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) margins and growing annual recurring revenue, supported by partnerships with Comcast and ADT and expansion into senior-care and small-business segments.
Despite these improvements, the stock has traded with elevated volatility. Its beta is above 1.5, and shares have pulled back from prior highs over the past year even as fundamentals strengthened. Sentiment remains generally positive, with a consensus "Strong Buy" rating and average price targets well above recent trading levels, but the premium trailing earnings multiple reflects the market's debate over how durable the subscription growth will prove.
EFX Overview and Recent Performance
EFX (Equifax Inc.) operates three primary segments: Workforce Solutions (employment and income verification), U.S. Information Solutions (USIS), and International. As one of the big three U.S. consumer credit bureaus, Equifax benefits from a deep data moat and recurring revenue from lenders, employers, and government agencies. Recent results have highlighted resilience: revenue grew about 10% year over year in its latest quarter, with U.S. mortgage revenue up roughly 15% and talent solutions up about 20%. The company also raised its profit-margin outlook, citing $150 million in multi-year artificial-intelligence-driven cost savings.
At the same time, EFX faces a clear headwind from elevated mortgage rates, which prompted management to trim full-year revenue guidance. The shares have declined materially year to date and sit below their 52-week high, though a strong earnings release recently sparked a double-digit rally. The company is pursuing growth through VantageScore adoption and a $750 million acquisition of Mexican credit bureau Círculo de Crédito, balancing near-term caution with longer-term expansion.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
The most fundamental contrast between these two stocks is scale and business model. ARLO is a roughly $1.3 billion market-cap growth story built on a subscription transition, while EFX is a multi-billion-dollar data franchise with a durable, regulation-adjacent moat. Growth drivers also differ: ARLO's upside depends on subscriber additions, ARPU expansion, and new verticals, whereas EFX's depends on mortgage-market recovery, government verification contracts, and international M&A (mergers and acquisitions).
On momentum, both stocks have shown recent strength after earnings, but their trajectories are uneven. ARLO offers higher beta and larger analyst-upside potential, but with thinner profitability and greater price swings. EFX offers stability, a dividend, and improving margins, but is more exposed to interest-rate-sensitive housing demand. In terms of relative performance and market positioning, ARLO is the higher-risk, higher-reward option, while EFX is the steadier, more diversified franchise trading below its own historical valuation.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, catalysts, and relative positioning, Tickeron's AI would likely lean toward EFX for its more consistent fundamental profile and diversified revenue base, which tend to support steadier trend signals. However, ARLO's stronger analyst consensus and accelerating subscription metrics could make it the preferred choice in momentum-oriented, higher-risk strategies. In probabilistic terms, EFX appears better positioned for stability-focused approaches, while ARLO may appeal to models that favor growth catalysts and upside potential over lower volatility.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ARLO is a Hold and EFX is a Buy.
ARLO in downward trend: price may decline as a result of having broken its higher Bollinger Band on October 27, 2026
ARLO broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 27, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 50 similar instances where the stock broke above the upper band. In 43 of the 50 cases the stock fell afterwards. This puts the odds of success at 86%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for ARLO moved out of overbought territory on October 30, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 32 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 25 of the 32 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 78%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 06, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ARLO as a result. In 66 of 89 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ARLO turned negative on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 44 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 36 of the 44 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 82%.
ARLO moved below its 50-day moving average on November 06, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 50-day moving average for ARLO moved below the 200-day moving average on October 12, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ARLO declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 77%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the oversold zone for 1 day, which means it's wise to expect a price bounce in the near future.
The 10-day moving average for ARLO crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 30, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 14 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 88%.
Following a +13.03% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ARLO advanced for three days, in 234 of 297 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 79%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 131 of 180 cases where ARLO Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 73%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 77, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 69 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating slightly worse than average price growth. ARLO’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 84 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.377) is normal, around the industry mean (2.853). P/E Ratio (42.552) is within average values for comparable stocks, (24.804). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (0.509) is also within normal values, averaging (1.215). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.060) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (2.553) is also within normal values, averaging (1.867).
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 97 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
EFX's MACD Histogram crosses above signal line
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for EFX turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where EFX's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 36 of 47 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 77%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 12, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on EFX as a result. In 60 of 80 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
EFX moved above its 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.
The 10-day moving average for EFX crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 9 of 12 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 75%.
Following a +3.26% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where EFX advanced for three days, in 198 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 61%.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 143 of 224 cases where EFX Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 64%.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The 10-day RSI Indicator for EFX moved out of overbought territory on November 06, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 27 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 18 of the 27 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 67%.
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 46 of 68 cases where EFX's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 68%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where EFX declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 70%.
EFX broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 22, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 40 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. EFX’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 58 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 66 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 80 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (5.085) is normal, around the industry mean (13.131). P/E Ratio (33.087) is within average values for comparable stocks, (49.500). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.221) is also within normal values, averaging (2.814). Dividend Yield (0.012) settles around the average of (0.026) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (3.088) is also within normal values, averaging (26.240).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 85 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 100 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. EFX’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 92, placing this stock worse than average.
ARLO | EFX | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 68 | 25 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 84 Overvalued | 80 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 58 | 100 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 44 | 58 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 69 | 40 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 97 | 66 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 85 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
EFX's Valuation (80) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as ARLO (84) in the Electronics Or Appliances industry. This means that EFX’s stock grew similarly to ARLO’s over the last 12 months.
ARLO's Profit vs Risk Rating (58) in the Electronics Or Appliances industry is somewhat better than the same rating for EFX (100) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that ARLO’s stock grew somewhat faster than EFX’s over the last 12 months.
ARLO's SMR Rating (44) in the Electronics Or Appliances industry is in the same range as EFX (58) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry. This means that ARLO’s stock grew similarly to EFX’s over the last 12 months.
EFX's Price Growth Rating (40) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as ARLO (69) in the Electronics Or Appliances industry. This means that EFX’s stock grew similarly to ARLO’s over the last 12 months.
EFX's P/E Growth Rating (66) in the Miscellaneous Commercial Services industry is in the same range as ARLO (97) in the Electronics Or Appliances industry. This means that EFX’s stock grew similarly to ARLO’s over the last 12 months.
| ARLO | EFX | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 68% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 75% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 3 days ago 77% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 78% | 1 day ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 75% | 1 day ago 62% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 79% | 7 days ago 61% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 70% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 69% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 64% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ARLO’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while EFX’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ARLO’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- EFX’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ARLO’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while EFX’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ARLO’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 7 bearish.
- EFX’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ARLO (@Building Products) experienced а -10.14% price change this week, while EFX (@Data Processing Services) price change was +0.27% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Building Products industry was -0.81%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -0.67%, and the average quarterly price growth was -13.67%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Data Processing Services industry was -2.55%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -1.43%, and the average quarterly price growth was +1.56%.
Reported Earning Dates
ARLO is expected to report earnings on Mar 04, 2027.
EFX is expected to report earnings on Feb 10, 2027.
Industries' Descriptions
@Building Products (-0.81% weekly)The industry manufactures products used in the construction of residential and commercial buildings. The process involves using materials and other products, and processing them to create finished items such as doors, windows, light fittings, floor coverings, climate control products and other building components and home improvement products. Masco Corporation, Allegion PLC and Lennox International Inc. are major manufacturers of such products.
@Data Processing Services (-2.55% weekly)The industry involves capturing raw data from various sources, extracting meaningful information from it and presenting it in a more accessible digital format. Many people would agree that data is the new gold, which makes data processing services all the more relevant for businesses’ strategic decisions. PayPal Holdings Inc., Fidelity National Information Services, Inc. and Automatic Data Processing, Inc. some of the big players in his burgeoning industry.
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ARLO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARLO has been loosely correlated with KODK. These tickers have moved in lockstep 51% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if ARLO jumps, then KODK could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARLO | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARLO | 100% | -0.24% | ||
| KODK - ARLO | 51% Loosely correlated | +1.53% | ||
| ARMK - ARLO | 50% Loosely correlated | -0.79% | ||
| TRU - ARLO | 50% Loosely correlated | -0.06% | ||
| EFX - ARLO | 49% Loosely correlated | +0.10% | ||
| CTAS - ARLO | 48% Loosely correlated | +0.88% | ||
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EFX and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, EFX has been loosely correlated with TRU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if EFX jumps, then TRU could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To EFX | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EFX | 100% | +0.10% | ||
| TRU - EFX | 65% Loosely correlated | -0.06% | ||
| EXPO - EFX | 56% Loosely correlated | +0.23% | ||
| VRSK - EFX | 53% Loosely correlated | +0.96% | ||
| MSA - EFX | 49% Loosely correlated | +0.57% | ||
| ARLO - EFX | 48% Loosely correlated | -0.24% | ||
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