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ARM vs MRVL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Arm Holdings (ARM) vs. Marvell Technology (MRVL) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ARM leads year-to-date with 14.84% gains, fueled by 26% revenue growth in AI and data centers, but trades at elevated valuations around 23x forward P/S.
- MRVL shows stronger 1-year performance at 29.39%, with recent momentum from AI infrastructure launches like PCIe 6.0 switches and optimistic fiscal 2027 guidance.
- Both stocks benefit from AI demand, but ARM's IP licensing model offers high margins without manufacturing risks, contrasting MRVL's fabless chip design focus on interconnects.
- Analyst sentiment favors MRVL with a Strong Buy consensus and $120+ targets, while ARM faces valuation scrutiny despite AI partnerships.
- Recent volatility highlights MRVL's recovery from lows around $75, signaling robust AI-driven rebound potential versus ARM's steadier but premium-priced positioning.
Introduction
In the semiconductor sector powering AI infrastructure, ARM and MRVL stand out for their roles in chip design and data center connectivity. ARM licenses energy-efficient CPU architectures ubiquitous in mobile and emerging AI applications, while MRVL delivers custom silicon and high-speed interconnects for cloud and networking. This stock comparison analyzes their relative performance, growth drivers, and market positioning amid AI demand surges. Traders tracking semiconductor trends and investors evaluating AI exposure will benefit from insights into recent momentum, valuations, and sector dynamics.
ARM Overview and Recent Performance
Arm Holdings plc (ARM) operates an asset-light IP licensing model, designing CPU architectures licensed to chipmakers for smartphones, servers, and AI accelerators without manufacturing. Powers 99% of global smartphone CPUs, with growing data center adoption. Recent market activity shows resilience, with shares up 14.84% year-to-date to around $127, outperforming benchmarks despite a modest 4.89% 1-year return. Q3 fiscal 2026 revenue hit $1.24B, up 26% year-over-year, driven by AI royalty expansion and partnerships. Sentiment reflects optimism on robust pipelines, though elevated forward P/S at 23x and regulatory probes temper gains. Collaborations in edge AI bolster long-term positioning amid sector volatility.
MRVL Overview and Recent Performance
Marvell Technology, Inc. (MRVL) is a fabless semiconductor firm specializing in data infrastructure chips, including custom ASICs, ethernet solutions, and interconnects for data centers, networking, and storage. Focuses on AI scale-up with products like PCIe retimers and optical DSPs. Recent performance features strong momentum, with 29.39% 1-year gains and 6.91% YTD to about $91, alongside recovery from mid-March lows near $76. Q4 fiscal 2026 revenue reached $2.22B, with AI demand fueling optimistic fiscal 2027 guidance. Launches like 260-lane PCIe 6.0 switches and CXL memory pooling solutions drive sentiment, supported by Strong Buy ratings and $120 average targets. Profit margins at 32.58% underscore operational strength in AI infrastructure.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ARM’s licensing model yields high margins (17% profit) and scalability via royalties, contrasting MRVL’s product sales requiring R&D for custom ASICs and interconnects (32% margins). Growth drivers diverge: ARM leverages mobile-to-AI shift and ecosystem lock-in, while MRVL targets data center optics and memory pooling. Recent momentum favors MRVL post-earnings surge, versus ARM’s steadier YTD lead but 1-year lag. Risks include ARM’s valuation premium (170x P/E) and regulatory issues, against MRVL’s competition from Broadcom in AI silicon. Both expose to AI semis, but MRVL offers nearer-term catalysts via infrastructure wins.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors MRVL for superior recent momentum, Strong Buy consensus, and AI-specific innovations like PCIe switches amid data center buildouts. Relative to ARM’s premium valuation and profitability concerns, MRVL exhibits stronger trend consistency and catalyst positioning, suggesting higher probability of outperformance in the near term based on observable AI infrastructure trends.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ARM is a Hold and MRVL is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ARM’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileMRVL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ARM’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- MRVL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ARM’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MRVL’s TA Score has 3 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ARM’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MRVL’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ARM (@Semiconductors) experienced а +11.95% price change this week, while MRVL (@Semiconductors) price change was +8.72% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was +10.10%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +24.60%, and the average quarterly price growth was +26.97%.
Reported Earning Dates
ARM is expected to report earnings on May 06, 2026.
MRVL is expected to report earnings on May 21, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (+10.10% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
| ARM | MRVL | ARM / MRVL | |
| Capitalization | 186B | 129B | 144% |
| EBITDA | 1.11B | 4.54B | 24% |
| Gain YTD | 52.530 | 74.183 | 71% |
| P/E Ratio | 233.47 | 48.16 | 485% |
| Revenue | 4.67B | 8.2B | 57% |
| Total Cash | 3.54B | 2.64B | 134% |
| Total Debt | 461M | 4.79B | 10% |
MRVL | ||
|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 50 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 71 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 42 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 45 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 35 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 29 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
| ARM | MRVL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 4 days ago 67% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 81% | 4 days ago 82% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 86% | N/A |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 87% | 4 days ago 79% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 88% | 4 days ago 82% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 86% | 6 days ago 76% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 14 days ago 81% | 22 days ago 73% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 69% | 4 days ago 74% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 4 days ago 85% |
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| 1 Day | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| ETFs / NAME | Price $ | Chg $ | Chg % |
| RDVY | 74.50 | 1.34 | +1.83% |
| First Trust Rising Dividend Achiev ETF | |||
| MVFG | 34.24 | 0.39 | +1.16% |
| Monarch Volume Factor Gbl Uncons ETF | |||
| DIV | 19.32 | 0.10 | +0.52% |
| Global X SuperDividend™ US ETF | |||
| QTAP | 49.15 | -0.04 | -0.08% |
| Innovator Growth-100 Acltd Ps ETF™ April | |||
| CWVX | 42.18 | -2.10 | -4.74% |
| Tradr 2X Long CRWV Daily ETF | |||
ARM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARM has been closely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 74% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARM jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARM | 100% | +2.71% | ||
| LRCX - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | +2.54% | ||
| KLAC - ARM | 74% Closely correlated | +3.26% | ||
| AMAT - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | +1.81% | ||
| FORM - ARM | 73% Closely correlated | +7.46% | ||
| VECO - ARM | 66% Closely correlated | +0.19% | ||
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MRVL and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MRVL has been loosely correlated with LRCX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MRVL jumps, then LRCX could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To MRVL | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MRVL | 100% | +5.83% | ||
| LRCX - MRVL | 65% Loosely correlated | -1.66% | ||
| ENTG - MRVL | 64% Loosely correlated | +1.96% | ||
| TOELY - MRVL | 63% Loosely correlated | -1.26% | ||
| KLAC - MRVL | 61% Loosely correlated | +0.77% | ||
| KLIC - MRVL | 61% Loosely correlated | +1.78% | ||
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