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ALGM vs MRVL
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Allegro MicroSystems (ALGM) vs. Marvell Technology (MRVL) Stock Comparison
1) Key Takeaways
- Both ALGM and MRVL are semiconductor companies leveraged to the AI data-center buildout, but they occupy very different positions in that supply chain.
- Allegro MicroSystems is a smaller, analog-focused sensing and power IC (integrated circuit) supplier still weighted toward automotive, while Marvell Technology is a large-cap data-infrastructure and custom-silicon specialist.
- Marvell's relative performance and momentum have been far stronger, with shares up sharply over the past year, whereas Allegro has pulled back materially from recent highs.
- Both names trade at rich valuations, but Marvell's growth and backlog visibility are materially higher, concentrated around custom AI chips and optical connectivity.
- Risk profiles differ: Allegro is exposed to cyclical automotive demand, while Marvell carries meaningful customer concentration and potential shareholder dilution.
2) Introduction
This stock comparison examines two semiconductor companies whose fortunes increasingly depend on artificial-intelligence infrastructure, yet which serve that theme in sharply different ways. Allegro MicroSystems designs magnetic sensing and power ICs used across automotive, industrial, robotics, and emerging data-center applications, while Marvell Technology supplies the custom chips, optical interconnects, and networking components that move data inside AI data centers. For traders and investors weighing relative performance, growth trajectory, and market positioning, contrasting a smaller, diversified analog supplier against a large-cap data-infrastructure leader highlights how two companies can share a common growth catalyst but offer very different risk-and-reward profiles.
3) ALGM Overview and Recent Performance
ALGM, Allegro MicroSystems, is a designer of magnetic position and current-sensing ICs (integrated circuits) plus application-specific power ICs used for sensing, motion control, and power management. Automotive remains its largest end market, representing roughly 71% of fiscal 2026 revenue, while industrial and data-center sales have grown rapidly.
Fundamentally, Allegro's trajectory has improved: fiscal 2026 revenue rose about 23% year over year to roughly $890 million, and management has pointed to data-center revenue reaching a record share of total sales. The company has emphasized expanding content in next-generation AI racks, robotics, and electrification. However, in terms of relative performance, the stock has corrected materially from recent peak levels in recent weeks, prompting at least one firm to initiate coverage with an Outperform rating and cite an attractive risk/reward following the pullback. Sentiment has been shaped by both accelerating data-center momentum and ongoing caution around automotive cyclicality and a rich valuation.
4) MRVL Overview and Recent Performance
MRVL, Marvell Technology, is a fabless semiconductor designer focused on data infrastructure. Its portfolio spans custom ASICs (application-specific integrated circuits), optical interconnects, switching, and storage controllers, with data-center products now the dominant revenue driver.
Marvell's momentum has been exceptional. Revenue climbed 37% year over year in its latest reported quarter to a record level, and management has repeatedly raised its growth outlook. At its recent investor day, the company lifted its fiscal 2028 revenue target to roughly $20 billion and introduced a longer-term framework well above prior Street estimates. This guidance drove a rally in the stock, which has more than tripled over the trailing year and trades near its 52-week high. Relative performance has been among the strongest in the semiconductor group, though the rich valuation, lower-margin custom-chip mix, and concentrated customer base remain the primary points of debate among investors.
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6) Head-to-Head Comparison
The clearest contrast between these two stocks is scale and focus. Marvell is a roughly $250 billion-plus market-cap leader positioned directly at the center of AI data-center spending, while Allegro is a much smaller analog supplier whose growth story is still anchored in automotive and only beginning to scale its data-center and robotics exposure. Growth drivers differ accordingly: Marvell's outlook is propelled by custom silicon and optical connectivity, whereas Allegro's is tied to rising semiconductor content per vehicle and early wins in AI power and sensing.
Recent momentum also diverges. Marvell has sustained a powerful uptrend and repeatedly raised guidance, while Allegro has experienced a sharp pullback from highs despite improving fundamentals. On valuation, both trade at elevated multiples relative to the broader market, leaving less room for execution missteps. Risk factors contrast as well: Allegro faces automotive cyclicality and input-cost pressures, while Marvell carries high customer concentration, a Google warrant that could dilute shareholders, and execution risk on its aggressive long-term targets. Overall, the trade-off is between Marvell's stronger trend and visibility versus Allegro's lower base and diversified, earlier-stage optionality.
7) Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as trend consistency, stability, and the strength of recent catalysts, Tickeron's AI would likely favor MRVL in the current environment. Marvell exhibits a more persistent and consistent uptrend, clearer near-term catalysts in the form of repeated upward guidance revisions, and stronger relative performance. Allegro's improving fundamentals and diversified end markets are notable, but its recent corrective price action and greater dependence on automotive cycles make its setup comparatively less aligned with prevailing market conditions. This assessment is probabilistic rather than definitive, reflecting relative positioning and momentum rather than a forecast of future returns.
8) Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ALGM is a Buy and MRVL is a Hold.
ALGM's RSI Indicator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for ALGM moved out of oversold territory on October 19, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 33 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 30 of the 33 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
Following a +9.44% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ALGM advanced for three days, in 258 of 317 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 81%.
ALGM may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 51 of 60 cases where ALGM's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 30, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ALGM as a result. In 61 of 74 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ALGM turned negative on October 30, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 47 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 47 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 81%.
ALGM moved below its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ALGM declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 50 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is fair valued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 65 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating fairly steady price growth. ALGM’s price grows at a lower rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 79 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to worse than average earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 89 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating weak sales and an unprofitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 95 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating that the returns do not compensate for the risks. ALGM’s unstable profits reported over time resulted in significant Drawdowns within these last five years. A stable profit reduces stock drawdown and volatility. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock worse than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 100 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (6.215) is normal, around the industry mean (5.894). ALGM's P/E Ratio (401.875) is considerably higher than the industry average of (16.337). ALGM's Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (22.820) is slightly higher than the industry average of (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.000) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (6.485) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).
MRVL in downward trend: 10-day moving average broke below 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026
The 10-day moving average for MRVL crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 15 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on MRVL as a result. In 80 of 98 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 82%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for MRVL turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 39 of the 51 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 76%.
MRVL moved below its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where MRVL declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 74%.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator entered the oversold zone -- be on the watch for MRVL's price rising or consolidating in the future. That's also the time to consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Stochastic Oscillator is in the oversold zone. Keep an eye out for a move up in the foreseeable future.
Following a +7.64% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where MRVL advanced for three days, in 249 of 318 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 78%.
MRVL may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 186 of 207 cases where MRVL Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 90%.
Fundamental Analysis (Ratings)
The Tickeron PE Growth Rating for this company is 7 (best 1 - 100 worst), pointing to outstanding earnings growth. The PE Growth rating is based on a comparative analysis of stock PE ratio increase over the last 12 months compared against S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron Price Growth Rating for this company is 44 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating steady price growth. MRVL’s price grows at a higher rate over the last 12 months as compared to S&P 500 index constituents.
The Tickeron SMR rating for this company is 52 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating strong sales and a profitable business model. SMR (Sales, Margin, Return on Equity) rating is based on comparative analysis of weighted Sales, Income Margin and Return on Equity values compared against S&P 500 index constituents. The weighted SMR value is a proprietary formula developed by Tickeron and represents an overall profitability measure for a stock.
The Tickeron Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for this company is 56 (best 1 - 100 worst), indicating well-balanced risk and returns. The average Profit vs. Risk Rating rating for the industry is 78, placing this stock slightly better than average.
The Tickeron Valuation Rating of 80 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is slightly overvalued in the industry. This rating compares market capitalization estimated by our proprietary formula with the current market capitalization. This rating is based on the following metrics, as compared to industry averages: P/B Ratio (8.340) is normal, around the industry mean (5.894). P/E Ratio (56.199) is within average values for comparable stocks, (16.337). Projected Growth (PEG Ratio) (1.340) is also within normal values, averaging (3.803). Dividend Yield (0.001) settles around the average of (0.012) among similar stocks. P/S Ratio (21.552) is also within normal values, averaging (46.468).
The Tickeron Seasonality Score of 95 (best 1 - 100 worst) indicates that the company is significantly overvalued in the industry. The Tickeron Seasonality score describes the variance of predictable price changes around the same period every calendar year. These changes can be tied to a specific month, quarter, holiday or vacation period, as well as a meteorological or growing season.
ALGM | MRVL | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 19 | 14 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 100 Overvalued | 80 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 95 | 56 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 89 | 52 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 65 | 44 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 79 | 7 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 90 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MRVL's Valuation (80) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ALGM (100) in the null industry. This means that MRVL’s stock grew similarly to ALGM’s over the last 12 months.
MRVL's Profit vs Risk Rating (56) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ALGM (95) in the null industry. This means that MRVL’s stock grew somewhat faster than ALGM’s over the last 12 months.
MRVL's SMR Rating (52) in the Semiconductors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ALGM (89) in the null industry. This means that MRVL’s stock grew somewhat faster than ALGM’s over the last 12 months.
MRVL's Price Growth Rating (44) in the Semiconductors industry is in the same range as ALGM (65) in the null industry. This means that MRVL’s stock grew similarly to ALGM’s over the last 12 months.
MRVL's P/E Growth Rating (7) in the Semiconductors industry is significantly better than the same rating for ALGM (79) in the null industry. This means that MRVL’s stock grew significantly faster than ALGM’s over the last 12 months.
| ALGM | MRVL | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 85% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 82% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 81% | 2 days ago 78% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 79% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 81% | 7 days ago 78% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 5 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 74% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | N/A | 2 days ago 90% |
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is overvalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ALGM’s FA Score shows that 0 FA rating(s) are green while MRVL’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ALGM’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
- MRVL’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ALGM’s TA Score shows that 3 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MRVL’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ALGM’s TA Score: 3 bullish, 5 bearish.
- MRVL’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
ALGM (@Semiconductors) experienced а -0.53% price change this week, while MRVL (@Semiconductors) price change was -26.68% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Semiconductors industry was -7.29%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -22.75%, and the average quarterly price growth was -21.15%.
Reported Earning Dates
ALGM is expected to report earnings on Feb 02, 2027.
MRVL is expected to report earnings on Dec 01, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Semiconductors (-7.29% weekly)The semiconductor industry manufacturers all chip-related products, including research and development. These chips are used in innumerable electronic devices, including computers, cell phones, smartphones, and GPSs. Intel Corporation, NVIDIA Corp., and Broadcomm are some of the prominent players in this industry. Semiconductor companies usually tend to do well during periods of healthy economic growth, thereby inducing further research and development in the industry – which in turn augurs well for productivity and growth in the economy. In the near future, demand for semiconductor products (and possibly innovation within the segment) should only expand further, with the proliferation of 5G, autonomous vehicles, IoT, and various AI-driven electronics set to herald a new, advanced chapter in the technology-driven world as we know it. With burgeoning prospects comes great competition. In 2015, SIA estimated that U.S. semiconductor industry ranks as the second most competitive U.S. industry out of 2882 U.S. industries designated manufacturers by the U.S. Census Bureau.
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ALGM and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ALGM has been closely correlated with LSCC. These tickers have moved in lockstep 72% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ALGM jumps, then LSCC could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ALGM | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ALGM | 100% | +5.31% | ||
| LSCC - ALGM | 72% Closely correlated | +2.66% | ||
| MPWR - ALGM | 70% Closely correlated | +2.67% | ||
| MCHP - ALGM | 68% Closely correlated | -1.59% | ||
| ADI - ALGM | 68% Closely correlated | -1.02% | ||
| POWI - ALGM | 68% Closely correlated | +2.26% | ||
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