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ARTY vs VGT
Which ETF would AI Choose? iShares Future AI & Tech ETF (ARTY) vs. Vanguard Information Technology ETF (VGT)
Key Takeaways
- Different mandates: ARTY is a global, thematic AI (artificial intelligence) ETF, while VGT is a broad U.S. information technology sector fund.
- Concentration profile: VGT is dominated by three mega-cap names, whereas ARTY spreads weight across roughly 50 global companies spanning the AI value chain.
- Cost gap: VGT charges a 0.09% expense ratio versus 0.47% for ARTY, a meaningful difference for long-term investors.
- Geographic exposure: VGT is effectively U.S.-only, while ARTY adds meaningful Taiwan and South Korea exposure through semiconductor and memory suppliers.
- Risk posture: Both are high-beta, growth-oriented products, but ARTY carries additional thematic and single-country concentration risk.
- Complementary rather than competing: The two funds serve different portfolio roles rather than being direct substitutes.
Introduction
The rapid expansion of artificial intelligence has made technology one of the most closely watched corners of the equity market, yet not all tech ETFs (exchange-traded funds) are built alike. Comparing ARTY and VGT highlights two very different ways to access the AI theme. VGT is a diversified, low-cost U.S. sector fund that happens to be heavily exposed to AI-related giants, while ARTY is a focused, global thematic vehicle designed specifically around artificial intelligence. They do not compete head-to-head; rather, they offer alternative expressions of overlapping investor goals, making this ETF comparison especially useful for understanding structural differences in sector exposure and relative positioning.
iShares Future AI & Tech ETF (ARTY) Overview
The iShares Future AI & Tech ETF seeks to track the Morningstar Global Artificial Intelligence Select Index, a benchmark of U.S. and non-U.S. companies expected to contribute to AI across generative AI, AI data and infrastructure, AI software, and AI services. ARTY is a passive, index-tracking fund but carries a thematic mandate, holding a concentrated portfolio of roughly 50 stocks with a modified market-cap weighting approach.
The fund's top holdings span the AI hardware and infrastructure chain, including NVDA, AMD, MU, AVGO, MRVL, SMCI, ORCL, and CRWV. Semiconductors and related technology exposure dominate, with technology representing roughly 85% or more of assets, alongside smaller industrial, communication services, and utilities allocations. Geographically, the fund is about two-thirds U.S. but includes notable Taiwan (led by Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) and South Korea (including SK Hynix and NAVER) positions. ARTY charges an expense ratio of 0.47%, in line with typical thematic products.
Vanguard Information Technology ETF (VGT) Overview
The Vanguard Information Technology ETF tracks the MSCI US Investable Market Information Technology 25/50 Index, using a full-replication indexing strategy across roughly 320 holdings of large-, mid-, and small-cap U.S. technology companies. It is a passive, broad-based sector fund with one of the lowest cost profiles in the space at just 0.09%.
VGT is notably top-heavy. Its three largest positions — NVDA, AAPL, and MSFT — collectively account for nearly 45% of assets, with AVGO and MU rounding out the top five. Additional names include AMD, CSCO, PLTR, INTC, and LRCX. Because it tracks the information technology sector as classified under the GICS (Global Industry Classification Standard), VGT is almost entirely U.S.-focused, with technology making up effectively the whole portfolio and semiconductors plus hardware representing the largest industry weightings.
Industry and Thematic Backdrop
Both funds sit at the center of the AI and semiconductor build-out that has driven technology leadership in recent market cycles. Persistent demand for data-center infrastructure, accelerated computing, and AI software has supported capital spending across the sector, while hyperscaler budgets and memory pricing cycles have shaped the fortunes of chipmakers. Regulatory scrutiny of AI development, export controls on advanced semiconductors, and valuation sensitivity to interest-rate expectations remain key risks for the group. For ARTY specifically, global supply-chain exposure adds currency and geopolitical considerations; for VGT, the concentration in a handful of mega-caps means earnings from just a few companies can move the entire fund.
Performance and Positioning Comparison
In recent weeks and months, both ETFs have participated in the broader technology advance, but their return drivers differ meaningfully. VGT's performance has been closely tied to the mega-cap leadership of NVDA, AAPL, and MSFT, giving it broad but highly concentrated U.S. exposure and relatively deep liquidity. ARTY has been more sensitive to the global AI supply chain, including memory and foundry names in Taiwan and South Korea, which can add volatility but also diversification away from U.S.-only megacaps. In terms of relative positioning, VGT offers lower cost and greater breadth by holding count, while ARTY offers purer thematic alignment and international diversification. Both carry elevated beta and can experience sharp drawdowns when growth sentiment weakens or interest-rate expectations shift.
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Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable structural characteristics, Tickeron's AI would likely favor VGT for most core, long-term portfolios. Its 0.09% expense ratio, broad ~320-stock diversification, deep liquidity, and consistent indexing methodology offer a structurally efficient way to capture technology exposure. ARTY remains an attractive satellite holding for investors seeking concentrated, global, pure-play AI exposure, but its higher fee, smaller asset base, and thematic concentration introduce additional risk. The probability-weighted view favors VGT on cost and diversification, while acknowledging ARTY's superior thematic precision for investors with conviction in the AI supply chain.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ARTY is a Hold and VGT is a Buy.
ARTY in downward trend: 10-day moving average crossed below 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026
The 10-day moving average for ARTY crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 20, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 16 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 88%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on ARTY as a result. In 62 of 75 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for ARTY turned negative on October 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 48 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 38 of the 48 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 79%.
ARTY moved below its 50-day moving average on October 14, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where ARTY declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
The Aroon Indicator for ARTY entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
Bullish Trend Analysis
The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where ARTY's RSI Indicator exited the oversold zone, 26 of 31 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 84%.
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 50 of 58 cases where ARTY's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 86%.
Following a +10.05% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where ARTY advanced for three days, in 307 of 344 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 89%.
ARTY may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
VGT's RSI Oscillator recovers from oversold territory
The RSI Indicator for VGT moved out of oversold territory on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is shifting from a downward trend to an upward trend. Traders may want to buy the stock or call options. The A.I.dvisor looked at 24 similar instances when the indicator left oversold territory. In 23 of the 24 cases the stock moved higher. This puts the odds of a move higher at 90%.
Technical Analysis (Indicators)
Bullish Trend Analysis
The Stochastic Oscillator suggests the stock price trend may be in a reversal from a downward trend to an upward trend. 52 of 60 cases where VGT's Stochastic Oscillator exited the oversold zone resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
Following a +4.60% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VGT advanced for three days, in 335 of 385 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 87%.
VGT may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.
Bearish Trend Analysis
The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on October 29, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on VGT as a result. In 74 of 87 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.
The Moving Average Convergence Divergence Histogram (MACD) for VGT turned negative on October 12, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to turn lower in the coming weeks. Traders may want to sell the stock or buy put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 53 similar instances when the indicator turned negative. In 40 of the 53 cases the stock turned lower in the days that followed. This puts the odds of success at 75%.
VGT moved below its 50-day moving average on October 29, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.
The 10-day moving average for VGT crossed bearishly below the 50-day moving average on October 23, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted lower and could be considered a sell signal. In 14 of 15 past instances when the 10-day crossed below the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 90%.
Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where VGT declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 83%.
The Aroon Indicator for VGT entered a downward trend on November 11, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.
| ARTY | VGT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 84% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 86% | 1 day ago 87% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 83% | 1 day ago 85% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 79% | 1 day ago 75% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | 1 day ago 87% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 89% | 3 days ago 87% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 83% | 10 days ago 83% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | 1 day ago 90% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 87% | 1 day ago 90% |
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ARTY and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ARTY has been closely correlated with ONTO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ARTY jumps, then ONTO could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ARTY | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARTY | 100% | +5.86% | ||
| ONTO - ARTY | 79% Closely correlated | +8.89% | ||
| CLS - ARTY | 71% Closely correlated | +8.50% | ||
| ANET - ARTY | 68% Closely correlated | +6.30% | ||
| VRT - ARTY | 68% Closely correlated | +6.33% | ||
| BE - ARTY | 66% Loosely correlated | +12.97% | ||
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