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ATI vs MT
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ATI Inc. (ATI) vs. ArcelorMittal (MT) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ATI Inc. (ATI) has significantly outperformed ArcelorMittal (MT) over the past year, with returns near 189% versus 103%, driven by aerospace demand.
- Both stocks have posted strong year-to-date (YTD) gains around 30-34%, reflecting resilience in the metals sector amid broader market volatility.
- ATI's focus on high-margin specialty alloys contrasts with MT's volume-driven steel operations, leading to differing risk profiles.
- Analyst price targets suggest upside for both, with ATI at around $173 and MT near $66, but ATI trades at a higher price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 54 versus MT's 14.
- Recent momentum favors ATI with a beta of 1.0, indicating market-like volatility, compared to MT's higher beta of 1.71.
- Tickeron's AI analysis highlights bullish trends for both, but ATI shows stronger growth ratings tied to aerospace catalysts.
Introduction
This comparison examines ATI Inc. and ArcelorMittal (MT), two prominent players in the metals sector with distinct niches: specialty materials versus integrated steel production. Traders and investors tracking basic materials stocks may find value in assessing their relative performance, sector exposures, and market positioning. Amid recent aerospace demand surges and steel industry tariff discussions, understanding these dynamics aids in evaluating momentum, risks, and potential trade-offs in a volatile environment.
ATI Overview and Recent Performance
ATI Inc., formerly Allegheny Technologies Incorporated, is a leading producer of specialty materials and components, primarily serving the aerospace, defense, and energy markets. Headquartered in Dallas, Texas, the company focuses on high-performance alloys like titanium and nickel-based materials.
In recent market activity, ATI shares have traded near the upper end of their 52-week range (51.80-168.14), closing around $153 with a market capitalization of approximately $21 billion. Year-to-date gains exceed 33%, outpacing many peers, fueled by robust aerospace sector momentum and analyst upgrades. Key influences include positive earnings surprise predictions for upcoming quarterly results and peer outperformance in defense-related stocks. Sentiment has strengthened with targets raised to $185 by firms like Susquehanna, reflecting confidence in adjusted EBITDA guidance and multi-year shareholder returns exceeding 300% over three years.
MT Overview and Recent Performance
ArcelorMittal (MT) S.A. is the world's largest steel and mining company, operating integrated facilities across Europe, North America, and other regions. It produces a wide range of steel products for automotive, construction, and appliances, complemented by iron ore mining.
Over recent weeks, MT shares have hovered in the upper half of their 52-week range (28.01-67.60), closing near $59 with a market cap of about $45 billion. YTD performance stands at 30%, supported by expectations of 2% global steel demand growth excluding China. Developments such as the release of sustainability reports and Q1 consensus figures have bolstered visibility, though tariff debates and geopolitical tensions in steel supply chains have introduced volatility. Analyst targets average $66, with recent adjustments amid sector dynamics.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ATI and MT operate in overlapping metals sectors but diverge in business models: ATI's high-value specialty alloys target premium aerospace growth drivers, yielding higher margins (8.81% profit margin) but cyclical exposure, while MT relies on high-volume steel and mining for scale (5.14% margin), benefiting from diversified geographies yet vulnerable to commodity pricing.
Recent momentum shows ATI leading with steadier uptrends and lower beta, versus MT's sharper swings tied to trade policies. Risk factors include aerospace supply chain delays for ATI and steel oversupply/geopolitics for MT. Market sentiment favors ATI's growth profile (superior P/E growth ratings) over MT's value appeal (lower P/E), positioning ATI for premium trade-offs in bull markets.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron's AI analysis currently leans toward ATI, citing more consistent uptrends, stronger price growth relative to the S&P 500, and aerospace catalysts amid mixed signals for MT like recent MACD negativity. While both exhibit bullish crossovers, ATI's lower volatility and superior ratings suggest higher probability of sustained momentum in the near term.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer. Disclaimers and Limitations
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ATI is a StrongBuy and MT is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ATI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileMT’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- ATI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MT’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ATI’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MT’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ATI’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- MT’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ATI (@Metal Fabrication) experienced а +11.84% price change this week, while MT (@Steel) price change was +5.36% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Metal Fabrication industry was +12.27%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +18.93%, and the average quarterly price growth was +17.76%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Steel industry was +179.67%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +134.84%, and the average quarterly price growth was +13.10%.
Reported Earning Dates
ATI is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
MT is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Metal Fabrication (+12.27% weekly)The industry is involved in value-added processes including creation of metal structures like machines and parts by cutting, bending and assembling, using various raw materials. A fabrication shop often bids on a project/job, and then builds the product if awarded the contract. Robotics and automation are making their way into the industry apparently to fill in skills gap[s19] . RBC Bearings Incorporated, Timken Company and Valmont Industries, Inc. are some of the largest metal fabrication companies in the U.S.
@Steel (+179.67% weekly)The steel industry includes manufacturers of steel and steel-related products. Companies use iron ore and scrap steel to produce steel. The industry also includes companies involved in mining and marketing of steel products. Along with serving some of the domestic markets, U.S. steel output has, over the years, been used by international economies as well. Competition from imported steel has also increased over time. The industry could be susceptible to business cycles, since the element is an important input in industrial production. Some of the globally-renowned steel behemoths include Nucor Corporation, Vale, and ArcelorMittal SA.
| ATI | MT | ATI / MT | |
| Capitalization | 27.1B | 53.3B | 51% |
| EBITDA | 821M | 3.99B | 21% |
| Gain YTD | 72.952 | 56.127 | 130% |
| P/E Ratio | 65.50 | 18.54 | 353% |
| Revenue | 4.6B | 62B | 7% |
| Total Cash | 402M | 4.36B | 9% |
| Total Debt | 1.83B | 13.7B | 13% |
ATI | MT | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 39 | 91 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 80 Overvalued | 22 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 2 | 22 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 41 | 95 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 36 | 37 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 9 | 58 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
MT's Valuation (22) in the Steel industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ATI (80). This means that MT’s stock grew somewhat faster than ATI’s over the last 12 months.
ATI's Profit vs Risk Rating (2) in the Steel industry is in the same range as MT (22). This means that ATI’s stock grew similarly to MT’s over the last 12 months.
ATI's SMR Rating (41) in the Steel industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MT (95). This means that ATI’s stock grew somewhat faster than MT’s over the last 12 months.
ATI's Price Growth Rating (36) in the Steel industry is in the same range as MT (37). This means that ATI’s stock grew similarly to MT’s over the last 12 months.
ATI's P/E Growth Rating (9) in the Steel industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MT (58). This means that ATI’s stock grew somewhat faster than MT’s over the last 12 months.
| ATI | MT | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 59% | 4 days ago 74% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 74% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 74% | 4 days ago 68% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 70% | 4 days ago 68% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 77% | 4 days ago 71% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 76% | 4 days ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 7 days ago 80% | 4 days ago 69% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 29 days ago 65% | 6 days ago 65% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 57% | 4 days ago 65% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 82% | 4 days ago 62% |
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MT and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, MT has been loosely correlated with TX. These tickers have moved in lockstep 65% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if MT jumps, then TX could also see price increases.