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ATI vs MTUS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? ATI Inc. (ATI) vs. Metallus Inc. (MTUS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- ATI Inc. (ATI) has delivered stronger year-to-date (YTD) returns of 33.71% compared to Metallus Inc. (MTUS)'s 12.82%.
- ATI boasts a significantly larger market capitalization of $21 billion versus MTUS's $808 million, reflecting greater scale in specialty materials.
- Recent earnings for ATI exceeded expectations with positive EPS (earnings per share) of $2.85, while MTUS reported negative EPS of -$0.03.
- ATI's one-year return stands at 189%, far outpacing MTUS's 50.43%, driven by aerospace demand.
- Both stocks operate in metals-related sectors, but ATI benefits from high-performance materials exposure, contrasting MTUS's focus on steel products.
Introduction
This stock comparison examines ATI Inc. and MTUS (Metallus Inc.), two companies in the metals and materials sector navigating industrial demand cycles. Investors and traders interested in relative performance, sector momentum, and growth potential in aerospace and steel markets may find value here. With broader economic shifts influencing commodity prices and manufacturing, understanding their recent trajectories aids in assessing market positioning and trade-offs between scale, profitability, and volatility. This analysis draws on verifiable data to highlight contrasts in a neutral market environment.
ATI Overview and Recent Performance
ATI Inc., a leader in specialty materials and components, primarily serves aerospace, defense, and energy sectors through its high-performance alloys and forgings. In recent market activity, the stock has shown robust momentum, with shares trading around $153 amid a 52-week range of $51.80 to $168.14. Positive sentiment stems from strong quarterly earnings beats, including adjusted EPS of $0.93 surpassing estimates, fueled by aerospace backlogs and a $500 million share repurchase program announced earlier in the year. Recent weeks have seen some pullback from peaks, but YTD gains of 33.71% and a one-year surge reflect sustained demand-driven performance.
MTUS Overview and Recent Performance
Metallus Inc. (MTUS), formerly TimkenSteel, specializes in alloy, carbon, and micro-alloy steel products for automotive, energy, and industrial applications. Shares hover near $19.36 within a 52-week range of $11.00 to $21.73, with market cap at $808 million. Recent performance includes YTD returns of 12.82% and one-year gains of 50.43%, supported by a string of upward sessions in late April. However, negative EPS of -$0.03 TTM (trailing twelve months) and quarterly revenue shifts have tempered enthusiasm, with investor focus on narrative improvements and analyst price targets around $24.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
ATI and MTUS both leverage metals expertise but diverge in business models: ATI emphasizes engineered specialty materials for high-margin aerospace (Industrials sector), while MTUS focuses on steel bars for broader industrial use (Basic Materials). Growth drivers for ATI include defense contracts and backlog stability, contrasting MTUS's exposure to cyclical auto and energy demand. Recent momentum favors ATI with higher returns and PE ratio of 53.84 (price-to-earnings), versus MTUS's undefined PE amid losses. Risk factors include commodity volatility for both, but ATI offers greater scale and sentiment from earnings beats, while MTUS trades at lower multiples with recovery potential.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models would likely favor ATI in the current environment, given its superior trend consistency, positive earnings trajectory, and stronger relative positioning in high-growth aerospace markets. Factors like substantial YTD outperformance and repurchase activity bolster probability of continued momentum over MTUS, though the latter's undervaluation could appeal in a steel rebound scenario. Observable catalysts tilt toward ATI for probabilistic edge.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ATI is a StrongBuy and MTUS is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ATI’s FA Score shows that 2 FA rating(s) are green whileMTUS’s FA Score has 0 green FA rating(s).
- ATI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
- MTUS’s FA Score: 0 green, 5 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ATI’s TA Score shows that 7 TA indicator(s) are bullish while MTUS’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ATI’s TA Score: 7 bullish, 3 bearish.
- MTUS’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 4 bearish.
Price Growth
ATI (@Metal Fabrication) experienced а +5.95% price change this week, while MTUS (@Steel) price change was +1.17% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Metal Fabrication industry was +6.56%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +5.12%, and the average quarterly price growth was +19.77%.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Steel industry was +1.31%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +1.62%, and the average quarterly price growth was +14.83%.
Reported Earning Dates
ATI is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
MTUS is expected to report earnings on Jul 30, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Metal Fabrication (+6.56% weekly)The industry is involved in value-added processes including creation of metal structures like machines and parts by cutting, bending and assembling, using various raw materials. A fabrication shop often bids on a project/job, and then builds the product if awarded the contract. Robotics and automation are making their way into the industry apparently to fill in skills gap[s19] . RBC Bearings Incorporated, Timken Company and Valmont Industries, Inc. are some of the largest metal fabrication companies in the U.S.
@Steel (+1.31% weekly)The steel industry includes manufacturers of steel and steel-related products. Companies use iron ore and scrap steel to produce steel. The industry also includes companies involved in mining and marketing of steel products. Along with serving some of the domestic markets, U.S. steel output has, over the years, been used by international economies as well. Competition from imported steel has also increased over time. The industry could be susceptible to business cycles, since the element is an important input in industrial production. Some of the globally-renowned steel behemoths include Nucor Corporation, Vale, and ArcelorMittal SA.
| ATI | MTUS | ATI / MTUS | |
| Capitalization | 24.4B | 848M | 2,877% |
| EBITDA | 821M | 65.3M | 1,257% |
| Gain YTD | 56.797 | 15.559 | 365% |
| P/E Ratio | 59.39 | 283.29 | 21% |
| Revenue | 4.6B | 1.19B | 387% |
| Total Cash | 402M | 104M | 387% |
| Total Debt | 1.83B | 13.2M | 13,848% |
ATI | MTUS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 36 | 77 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 78 Overvalued | 85 Overvalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 3 | 69 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 41 | 91 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 38 | 42 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 12 | 46 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
ATI's Valuation (78) in the Steel industry is in the same range as MTUS (85). This means that ATI’s stock grew similarly to MTUS’s over the last 12 months.
ATI's Profit vs Risk Rating (3) in the Steel industry is significantly better than the same rating for MTUS (69). This means that ATI’s stock grew significantly faster than MTUS’s over the last 12 months.
ATI's SMR Rating (41) in the Steel industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MTUS (91). This means that ATI’s stock grew somewhat faster than MTUS’s over the last 12 months.
ATI's Price Growth Rating (38) in the Steel industry is in the same range as MTUS (42). This means that ATI’s stock grew similarly to MTUS’s over the last 12 months.
ATI's P/E Growth Rating (12) in the Steel industry is somewhat better than the same rating for MTUS (46). This means that ATI’s stock grew somewhat faster than MTUS’s over the last 12 months.
| ATI | MTUS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 61% | 2 days ago 90% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 62% | 2 days ago 73% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 77% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 67% | 2 days ago 78% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 77% | 2 days ago 73% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 70% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 79% | 10 days ago 74% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 65% | 4 days ago 76% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 60% | 2 days ago 77% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 80% | 2 days ago 72% |
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ATI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ATI has been closely correlated with CRS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 76% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ATI jumps, then CRS could also see price increases.
| Ticker / NAME | Correlation To ATI | 1D Price Change % | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATI | 100% | +0.82% | ||
| CRS - ATI | 76% Closely correlated | -0.04% | ||
| MTUS - ATI | 53% Loosely correlated | -2.60% | ||
| MT - ATI | 51% Loosely correlated | -0.28% | ||
| NUE - ATI | 48% Loosely correlated | -0.28% | ||
| STLD - ATI | 48% Loosely correlated | +1.36% | ||
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