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ATO vs OGS
Which Stock Would AI Choose? Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) vs. ONE Gas, Inc. (OGS) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both ATO and OGS operate as regulated natural gas distribution utilities, providing essential services to millions of U.S. customers in overlapping regions like Texas.
- OGS has delivered stronger year-to-date returns of about 16%, outperforming ATO's 13% amid recent market activity.
- ATO offers greater scale with a market capitalization exceeding $31 billion, compared to OGS's roughly $5.6 billion.
- Dividend yields tilt toward OGS at 3.06%, higher than ATO's 2.12%, appealing to income-focused investors.
- Recent momentum has driven both stocks near 52-week highs, reflecting positive sector sentiment in utilities.
- ATO's lower beta of 0.65 (a measure of stock volatility relative to the market) indicates greater stability than OGS's 0.74.
Introduction
In the stable utilities sector, ATO and OGS stand out as key natural gas distributors, offering defensive positioning amid market volatility. Investors seeking reliable dividends and low-beta exposure (volatility relative to the broader market) often compare these stocks for relative performance in energy infrastructure. Traders monitoring sector rotation may evaluate their momentum and growth drivers, such as pipeline expansions and regulatory environments. This comparison highlights recent stock behavior, financial metrics, and market positioning to aid informed decision-making in the current environment.
ATO Overview and Recent Performance
Atmos Energy Corporation (ATO) is a leading regulated natural gas utility, distributing gas to 3.4 million customers across eight states through 76,000 miles of mains, while its pipeline and storage segment manages 5,700 miles of transmission lines and underground facilities, primarily in Texas. In recent market activity, ATO shares have exhibited solid momentum, climbing toward the 52-week high of $192.51 from a low of $149.98, with a price around $188-189 and a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 24.58. Sentiment has been bolstered by expectations of earnings growth, including a projected 10.9% year-over-year EPS increase for the recent quarter, alongside analyst target adjustments and its outperformance relative to utilities peers year-to-date at 13%. Broader factors like consumer confidence rebounds and defensive positioning have supported price stability.
OGS Overview and Recent Performance
ONE Gas, Inc. (OGS) focuses on regulated natural gas distribution, serving 2.3 million customers in Oklahoma, Kansas, and Texas via 43,200 miles of distribution pipelines and 2,200 miles of transmission lines. Recent weeks have seen OGS shares advance near the 52-week high of $90.78 from $70.87, trading around $88-89 with a P/E ratio of 20.35. Performance reflects three-month gains around 17.7%, contributing to year-to-date returns of 16%, driven by steady operations and analyst price target raises, such as Morgan Stanley's adjustment. Sector tailwinds, including natural gas demand stability, have underpinned sentiment, though shares remain sensitive to regional weather and regulatory shifts.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
Both ATO and OGS share core business models in regulated natural gas distribution but differ in scale and diversification: ATO’s pipeline and storage operations provide additional revenue streams absent in OGS, supporting growth via infrastructure investments. Recent momentum favors OGS on YTD basis, yet ATO shows shorter-term strength with 14% gains over 90 days. Risk profiles highlight ATO’s lower beta for stability, while OGS offers superior dividend yield amid common sector risks like weather variability and regulation. Market sentiment remains constructive for utilities, with ATO drawing more analyst attention.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI models currently lean toward ATO for its trend consistency, larger scale, lower volatility, and near-term catalysts like projected earnings growth, positioning it favorably in the utilities sector relative to OGS. While OGS excels in yield and YTD gains, ATO’s broader operations suggest higher probability of sustained outperformance in stable conditions.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is ATO is a StrongBuy and OGS is a StrongBuy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
ATO’s FA Score shows that 1 FA rating(s) are green whileOGS’s FA Score has 1 green FA rating(s).
- ATO’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
- OGS’s FA Score: 1 green, 4 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
ATO’s TA Score shows that 6 TA indicator(s) are bullish while OGS’s TA Score has 6 bullish TA indicator(s).
- ATO’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 4 bearish.
- OGS’s TA Score: 6 bullish, 3 bearish.
Price Growth
ATO (@Gas Distributors) experienced а -0.16% price change this week, while OGS (@Gas Distributors) price change was -0.79% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Gas Distributors industry was -0.75%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was -2.35%, and the average quarterly price growth was +3.01%.
Reported Earning Dates
ATO is expected to report earnings on Aug 12, 2026.
OGS is expected to report earnings on Aug 04, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Gas Distributors (-0.75% weekly)Gas distributors are involved in moving and selling gas – from wellheads or over-distribution systems operated by other firms – to residential and non-residential customers. These companies perform tasks such as the gathering and processing of gas, intrastate and interstate transport, and delivery to the customer. Some of the biggest gas distributing companies in the U.S. include Sempra Energy, Avangrid Inc and Atmos Energy Corporation.
| ATO | OGS | ATO / OGS | |
| Capitalization | 28.4B | 4.88B | 582% |
| EBITDA | 2.59B | 783M | 331% |
| Gain YTD | 2.530 | 2.338 | 108% |
| P/E Ratio | 20.93 | 17.56 | 119% |
| Revenue | 4.88B | 2.32B | 210% |
| Total Cash | 126M | 11.4M | 1,105% |
| Total Debt | 9.63B | 3.38B | 285% |
ATO | OGS | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 62 | 5 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 59 Fair valued | 16 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 8 | 66 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 74 | 79 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 60 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 55 | 53 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
OGS's Valuation (16) in the Gas Distributors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for ATO (59). This means that OGS’s stock grew somewhat faster than ATO’s over the last 12 months.
ATO's Profit vs Risk Rating (8) in the Gas Distributors industry is somewhat better than the same rating for OGS (66). This means that ATO’s stock grew somewhat faster than OGS’s over the last 12 months.
ATO's SMR Rating (74) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as OGS (79). This means that ATO’s stock grew similarly to OGS’s over the last 12 months.
ATO's Price Growth Rating (59) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as OGS (60). This means that ATO’s stock grew similarly to OGS’s over the last 12 months.
OGS's P/E Growth Rating (53) in the Gas Distributors industry is in the same range as ATO (55). This means that OGS’s stock grew similarly to ATO’s over the last 12 months.
| ATO | OGS | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 56% | 3 days ago 64% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 62% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 58% | 3 days ago 57% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 52% | 3 days ago 56% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 35% | 3 days ago 51% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 35% | 3 days ago 47% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 20 days ago 49% | 10 days ago 52% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 6 days ago 40% | 6 days ago 53% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 55% | 3 days ago 62% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 3 days ago 29% | 3 days ago 47% |
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ATO and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, ATO has been closely correlated with OGS. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if ATO jumps, then OGS could also see price increases.
OGS and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, OGS has been closely correlated with ATO. These tickers have moved in lockstep 77% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if OGS jumps, then ATO could also see price increases.