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AU vs GFI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AngloGold Ashanti (AU) vs. Gold Fields (GFI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both AU and GFI have delivered strong one-year returns exceeding 100%, driven by elevated gold prices, though recent weeks show pullbacks amid sector volatility.
- AngloGold Ashanti (AU) boasts a year-to-date gain of about 8%, outperforming Gold Fields (GFI)'s flat to negative YTD performance.
- AU trades at a forward P/E (price-to-earnings ratio) around 11, with market cap near $47 billion, while GFI offers a similar valuation profile but higher dividend yield.
- Recent production growth: AU up 17% YoY in Q3 2025 to 768koz, GFI up 22% to 621koz gold-equivalent.
- Gold miners bots on Tickeron show win rates of 56-58% and annualized returns up to 61% for precious metals strategies.
- Both face risks from operational costs and geopolitical exposure in Africa, but diversified assets provide resilience.
Introduction
In the gold mining sector, AngloGold Ashanti (AU) and Gold Fields (GFI) stand out as major producers with global footprints. This stock comparison examines their recent performance, operational metrics, and market positioning amid fluctuating gold prices and sector momentum. Traders seeking exposure to precious metals through equities, or investors eyeing relative strength in basic materials, will find value in understanding contrasts in production growth, valuation, and sentiment shifts. With gold near record highs, these stocks offer insights into how miners capture upside while navigating cost pressures and regional risks.
AU Overview and Recent Performance
AngloGold Ashanti (AU), headquartered in the UK, operates gold mines across Africa, Australia, and the Americas, including key assets like Sukari in Egypt and Obuasi in Ghana. The company produced approximately 768,000 ounces in Q3 2025, a 17% year-over-year increase, bolstered by strong output from Geita, Kibali, and Cuiabá. Recent market activity has seen AU pull back around 9-10% over the past month amid broader gold sector volatility, trading near $91 with a market cap of about $47 billion. Sentiment reflects caution on EPS (earnings per share) estimates slightly lowered in recent weeks, yet one-year gains exceed 130%, supported by record free cash flow of $2.9 billion in FY25 and robust gold revenues up 71.5%. Forward P/E stands at 11, with Q1 earnings anticipated around May 8.
GFI Overview and Recent Performance
Gold Fields (GFI), based in South Africa, manages mines in Australia, Ghana, Peru, and South Africa, with annual gold-equivalent output over 2.3 million ounces and reserves of 44.6 million ounces. In Q3 2025, attributable production rose 22% year-over-year to 621,000 ounces, driven by ramp-ups at Salares Norte in Chile and steady performance at Tarkwa and Gruyere. Shares have declined about 13-14% in the past month and YTD, trading around $42 with a $38 billion market cap, underperforming amid higher all-in sustaining costs (AISC, a key metric for mining profitability). Longer-term, one-year returns top 100%, fueled by operational execution and gold price tailwinds, though recent momentum lags peers. Forward estimates project EPS growth, with Zacks Rank #2 (Buy) signaling positive revisions.
Trending AI Robots
Tickeron’s Trending AI Robots page showcases the platform's top-performing AI trading bots, curated from hundreds available that trade thousands of tickers across stocks, ETFs, and crypto. With over 350 AI bots in total, only the most suitable for current market conditions—based on real-time analysis of momentum, sectors, and volatility—earn a spot in this dynamic section, featuring 25+ trending robots. Performance stats impress: annualized returns range from 23% to 162%, win rates 51-88%, and profit factors 1.5-11.7, with top bots like those for USAR/SMR/CIFR at 162% annualized (74% win rate) and semis at 96% (63% win rate). Several target precious metals, including "Energy and Precious Metals" at 76% annualized (57% win rate) and "Gold Miners, Silver Miners" up to 61% (56-58% win rates). Diverse styles span swing, scalping, and long-term strategies. Explore these bots to align with your trading timeframe and risk profile.
Head-to-Head Comparison
Both AU and GFI focus on gold production with diversified portfolios reducing single-asset risk, but AU emphasizes Americas/Australia alongside Africa, while GFI balances South Africa with strong Australian and Peruvian exposure. Growth drivers differ: AU's Sukari acquisition boosted FY25 output 16%, generating $2.9B FCF (free cash flow); GFI eyes Salares Norte for volume growth to 2028. Recent momentum favors AU with superior YTD and 1Y returns (8% vs flat; 136% vs 103%), though both dipped in recent weeks on gold corrections. Risk factors include AISC inflation and African geopolitics for both, with GFI more South Africa-tied. Valuations align at forward P/E ~11, but GFI offers higher yield (~3.5%). Sentiment tilts positive for GFI via Zacks #2 rank versus AU's #3 (Hold).
Tickeron AI Verdict
Tickeron’s AI currently favors AngloGold Ashanti (AU) for its stronger trend consistency, superior relative YTD/1Y performance, and recent production catalysts like the Arthur Gold Project adding reserves. While GFI shows analyst optimism and dividend appeal, AU's momentum and FCF strength position it better probabilistically in the prevailing gold environment, as reflected in gold miners AI bots' patterns.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full Disclaimers and Limitations.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AU is a Hold and GFI is a Hold.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AU’s FA Score shows that 4 FA rating(s) are green whileGFI’s FA Score has 3 green FA rating(s).
- AU’s FA Score: 4 green, 1 red.
- GFI’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AU’s TA Score shows that 4 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GFI’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AU’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 5 bearish.
- GFI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 2 bearish.
Price Growth
AU (@Precious Metals) experienced а +19.46% price change this week, while GFI (@Precious Metals) price change was +10.41% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +6.01%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +10.98%, and the average quarterly price growth was +53.64%.
Reported Earning Dates
AU is expected to report earnings on Aug 11, 2026.
GFI is expected to report earnings on Aug 21, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+6.01% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AU | GFI | AU / GFI | |
| Capitalization | 52.8B | 40.1B | 132% |
| EBITDA | 5.76B | 6.34B | 91% |
| Gain YTD | 29.175 | 8.758 | 333% |
| P/E Ratio | 15.32 | 11.71 | 131% |
| Revenue | 11.2B | 8.75B | 128% |
| Total Cash | 3.15B | 1.78B | 177% |
| Total Debt | 2.29B | 3.22B | 71% |
AU | GFI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 70 | 58 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 7 Undervalued | 6 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 26 | 27 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 21 | 21 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 39 | 47 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 29 | 72 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 75 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GFI's Valuation (6) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AU (7). This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to AU’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Profit vs Risk Rating (26) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (27). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
AU's SMR Rating (21) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (21). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Price Growth Rating (39) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (47). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
AU's P/E Growth Rating (29) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GFI (72). This means that AU’s stock grew somewhat faster than GFI’s over the last 12 months.
| AU | GFI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | N/A | N/A |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 70% | 2 days ago 89% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 86% | 2 days ago 78% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 90% | 2 days ago 74% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | 2 days ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 71% | 2 days ago 67% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 83% | N/A |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 9 days ago 74% | 5 days ago 75% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 88% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 68% | 2 days ago 54% |
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GFI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GFI has been closely correlated with AU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 89% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GFI jumps, then AU could also see price increases.