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AU vs GFI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AngloGold Ashanti (AU) vs. Gold Fields (GFI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both AU and GFI are major gold producers with operations spanning multiple continents, exposing them to similar commodity price dynamics and operational risks in the precious metals sector.
- Recent market activity shows AU benefiting from a newly approved $2 billion share repurchase program, enhancing capital return potential amid strong gold sector sentiment.
- GFI maintains a diversified portfolio across South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru, Chile, and Canada, supporting production stability but with varying exposure to regional cost pressures.
- Over recent weeks, relative performance has favored AU in longer-term momentum metrics compared to GFI, though both track broader gold price movements closely.
- Risk factors include geopolitical considerations in key operating regions and sensitivity to all-in sustaining costs (AISC), which measure total expenses per ounce of gold produced.
- Market positioning for both reflects ongoing interest in gold miners as hedges against macroeconomic uncertainty, with investor focus on balance sheet strength and shareholder returns.
Introduction
This comparison examines AngloGold Ashanti (AU) and Gold Fields (GFI), two prominent gold mining companies listed on major U.S. exchanges. The analysis highlights differences in business scale, recent operational developments, and market positioning within the precious metals sector. Institutional investors, portfolio managers seeking commodity exposure, and traders monitoring gold price correlations may find the relative performance and catalysts of these stocks particularly relevant for sector allocation decisions.
AU Overview and Recent Performance
AngloGold Ashanti plc operates as a global gold producer with mines and projects primarily in Africa, Australia, and the Americas. The company focuses on underground and open-pit operations, emphasizing cost management and reserve expansion. In recent market activity, shares have reflected positive sentiment driven by a shareholder-approved $2 billion off-market stock buyback program finalized following a July 2026 general meeting. This development underscores capital allocation priorities amid elevated gold prices and supports share count reduction. Broader performance in recent weeks has aligned with sector strength, influenced by production updates and macroeconomic factors affecting investor appetite for gold equities.
GFI Overview and Recent Performance
Gold Fields Limited functions as a diversified gold mining company with operations in South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Peru, Chile, and Canada. Its portfolio includes multiple producing mines and development projects aimed at sustaining output levels. Recent market activity for the stock has tracked gold price movements and company-specific production guidance, with emphasis on cost control and project advancement. In the recent period, performance has shown resilience within the sector, supported by a broad geographic footprint that helps mitigate single-region disruptions. Sentiment remains tied to overall precious metals trends and operational execution across its international assets.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AngloGold Ashanti (AU) and Gold Fields (GFI) share core exposure to gold production but differ in scale and recent catalysts. AU has pursued aggressive shareholder returns through its large-scale buyback authorization, potentially supporting valuation multiples in a favorable gold environment. GFI offers greater geographic diversification, which can provide relative stability but may introduce varied regulatory and cost environments across jurisdictions. Momentum in recent weeks has tilted toward AU following its capital return announcement, while both stocks face common risks from fluctuating all-in sustaining costs (AISC) and gold price volatility. Market sentiment for the pair remains linked to broader precious metals demand, with trade-offs centered on growth pipelines versus immediate return-of-capital initiatives.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as recent capital allocation developments, trend consistency, and relative positioning within the gold sector, Tickeron’s AI models would currently assign a higher probabilistic preference to AU. The approved buyback program provides a tangible catalyst that aligns with stability and shareholder-focused metrics, potentially supporting more consistent price behavior compared to GFI in the near term. This assessment remains probabilistic and tied to prevailing market conditions rather than a definitive outlook.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AU is a StrongBuy and GFI is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AU’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileGFI’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AU’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- GFI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AU’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GFI’s TA Score has 5 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AU’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 6 bearish.
- GFI’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
Price Growth
AU (@Precious Metals) experienced а +0.08% price change this week, while GFI (@Precious Metals) price change was -1.42% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +2.53%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +20.56%, and the average quarterly price growth was -18.31%.
Reported Earning Dates
AU is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
GFI is expected to report earnings on Aug 25, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+2.53% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AU | GFI | AU / GFI | |
| Capitalization | 48.7B | 35.6B | 137% |
| EBITDA | 6.37B | 6.34B | 101% |
| Gain YTD | 16.219 | -5.149 | -315% |
| P/E Ratio | 12.91 | 10.21 | 126% |
| Revenue | 11.8B | 8.75B | 135% |
| Total Cash | 2.78B | 1.78B | 156% |
| Total Debt | 1.79B | 3.22B | 56% |
AU | GFI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 34 | 40 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 5 Undervalued | 5 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 33 | 45 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 22 | 20 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 42 | 48 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 61 | 95 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 75 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
AU's Valuation (5) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (5). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Profit vs Risk Rating (33) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (45). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
GFI's SMR Rating (20) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AU (22). This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to AU’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Price Growth Rating (42) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (48). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
AU's P/E Growth Rating (61) in the Precious Metals industry is somewhat better than the same rating for GFI (95). This means that AU’s stock grew somewhat faster than GFI’s over the last 12 months.
| AU | GFI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 73% | 2 days ago 78% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 66% | 2 days ago 76% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 75% | 2 days ago 84% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 88% | 2 days ago 85% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 76% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 82% | 2 days ago 80% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 4 days ago 83% | 9 days ago 80% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 18 days ago 74% | 18 days ago 76% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 76% | 2 days ago 82% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 2 days ago 78% | 2 days ago 78% |
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