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AU vs GFI
Which Stock Would AI Choose? AngloGold Ashanti (AU) vs. Gold Fields (GFI) Stock Comparison
Key Takeaways
- Both AU and GFI are major gold producers benefiting from elevated gold prices in recent market activity.
- AU has transitioned to a net cash position of approximately $991 million, while GFI maintains a modest net debt level.
- AU reported stronger year-over-year earnings growth in its most recent quarter compared with GFI’s solid but comparatively moderated H1 results.
- Recent stock performance shows AU delivering larger percentage gains over the past month than GFI.
- AU approved a $2 billion share repurchase program, adding to shareholder return initiatives alongside dividend increases.
- Both companies reaffirmed full-year production guidance amid ongoing focus on cost management and project development.
Introduction
AngloGold Ashanti (AU) and Gold Fields (GFI) are established gold mining companies with global operations that provide investors exposure to precious metals. This comparison examines their business models, recent financial results, balance sheet positions, and market performance in the current environment of elevated gold prices. The analysis is relevant for traders and investors seeking to understand relative positioning within the gold sector, including those evaluating momentum, cash generation, and capital allocation strategies. Both stocks have experienced significant price appreciation over broader timeframes, making a side-by-side review useful for assessing trade-offs in risk, growth drivers, and operational execution.
AU Overview and Recent Performance
AngloGold Ashanti (AU) is a global gold producer with operations across multiple continents, including key assets in Africa, Australia, and the Americas. In recent market activity, the stock has shown strong upward momentum, with notable gains over the past month amid higher realized gold prices. The company reported robust Q2 2026 results, including headline earnings rising 58% year-over-year to $1 billion and EBITDA reaching $2 billion, supported by a 35% increase in average gold price received. Free cash flow strengthened materially, enabling a shift from net debt to a net cash position of $991 million. Shareholders approved a $2 billion share repurchase program, and interim dividends increased substantially. Production guidance for 2026 was reaffirmed despite some quarterly output variability, with emphasis on cost control and growth projects in Nevada and elsewhere.
GFI Overview and Recent Performance
Gold Fields (GFI) operates gold mines primarily in South Africa, Ghana, Australia, Chile, and Peru, with a development project in Canada. The stock has exhibited solid recent gains, including breaking above its 200-day moving average and posting approximately 40% appreciation over the past 30 days in certain periods. For the first half of 2026, the company flagged headline earnings per share growth of 72% to 90% year-over-year, driven by higher gold-equivalent sales and realized prices. Production rose 12% in the period, though all-in costs increased due to royalties and other factors. Full-year 2026 guidance was reaffirmed, with expectations for output toward the upper end of prior ranges. The firm continues to advance projects such as Windfall while maintaining focus on shareholder returns through dividends and limited buybacks.
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Head-to-Head Comparison
AngloGold Ashanti (AU) and Gold Fields (GFI) both operate as gold miners with international footprints, yet differ in scale and financial positioning. AU maintains a larger market capitalization and has achieved a net cash balance sheet, contrasting with GFI’s modest net debt. Recent earnings momentum favored AU with higher percentage growth in headline earnings, while GFI demonstrated production increases and reaffirmed guidance toward the upper end. Both face similar sector risks, including cost inflation, geopolitical exposure in operating regions, and gold price volatility. AU has emphasized larger-scale capital returns via buybacks alongside dividends, whereas GFI balances returns with development projects. Market sentiment has lifted both stocks, though AU recorded comparatively larger recent percentage gains.
Tickeron AI Verdict
Based on observable factors such as balance sheet strength, earnings growth consistency, and recent relative momentum, Tickeron’s AI would currently assign a higher probability of favorable positioning to AU over GFI. The transition to net cash and larger approved repurchase program provide additional flexibility, while production and cost guidance remain intact for both. Market conditions and gold price trends will continue to influence outcomes.
Disclaimer
The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.
To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AU is a StrongBuy and GFI is a Buy.
Long-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a long-term outlook for a ticker by using Fundamental Analysis (FA) ratings. The rating of 1 to 100, where 1 is best and 100 is worst, is divided into thirds. The first third (a green rating of 1-33) indicates that the ticker is undervalued; the second third (a grey number between 34 and 66) means that the ticker is valued fairly; and the last third (red number of 67 to 100) reflects that the ticker is undervalued. We use an FA Score to show how many ratings show the ticker to be undervalued (green) or overvalued (red).
AU’s FA Score shows that 3 FA rating(s) are green whileGFI’s FA Score has 2 green FA rating(s).
- AU’s FA Score: 3 green, 2 red.
- GFI’s FA Score: 2 green, 3 red.
Short-Term Analysis
It is best to consider a short-term outlook for a ticker by using Technical Analysis (TA) indicators. We use Odds of Success as the percentage of outcomes which confirm successful trade signals in the past.
If the Odds of Success (the likelihood of the continuation of a trend) for each indicator are greater than 50%, then the generated signal is confirmed. A green percentage from 90% to 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bullish trend. A red percentage from 90% - 51% indicates that the ticker is in a bearish trend. All grey percentages are below 50% and are considered not to confirm the trend signal.
AU’s TA Score shows that 5 TA indicator(s) are bullish while GFI’s TA Score has 4 bullish TA indicator(s).
- AU’s TA Score: 5 bullish, 5 bearish.
- GFI’s TA Score: 4 bullish, 6 bearish.
Price Growth
AU (@Precious Metals) experienced а -0.28% price change this week, while GFI (@Precious Metals) price change was +5.67% for the same time period.
The average weekly price growth across all stocks in the @Precious Metals industry was +1.12%. For the same industry, the average monthly price growth was +9.13%, and the average quarterly price growth was -2.55%.
Reported Earning Dates
AU is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
GFI is expected to report earnings on Nov 05, 2026.
Industries' Descriptions
@Precious Metals (+1.12% weekly)The Precious Metals industry is engaged in exploring/mining metals that are considered to be rare and/or have a high economic value. Popular precious metals include gold, platinum and silver - all three of which are largely used in jewelry, art and coinage alongwith having some industrial uses as well. Precious metals used in industrial processes include iridium, (used in specialty alloys), and palladium ( used in electronics and chemical applications). Historically, precious metals have traded at much higher prices than common industrial metals. Newmont Goldcorp Corp, Barrick Gold Corp and Freeport-McMoRan are few of the major precious metals producing companies in the U.S.
| AU | GFI | AU / GFI | |
| Capitalization | 54.5B | 43.5B | 125% |
| EBITDA | 6.37B | 7B | 91% |
| Gain YTD | 30.953 | 11.233 | 276% |
| P/E Ratio | 14.45 | 9.61 | 150% |
| Revenue | 11.8B | 11.4B | 104% |
| Total Cash | 2.78B | 2.03B | 137% |
| Total Debt | 1.79B | 2.64B | 68% |
AU | GFI | ||
|---|---|---|---|
OUTLOOK RATING 1..100 | 84 | 35 | |
VALUATION overvalued / fair valued / undervalued 1..100 | 7 Undervalued | 5 Undervalued | |
PROFIT vs RISK RATING 1..100 | 24 | 35 | |
SMR RATING 1..100 | 22 | 24 | |
PRICE GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 37 | 39 | |
P/E GROWTH RATING 1..100 | 59 | 89 | |
SEASONALITY SCORE 1..100 | 50 | 50 |
Tickeron ratings are formulated such that a rating of 1 designates the most successful stocks in a given industry, while a rating of 100 points to the least successful stocks for that industry.
GFI's Valuation (5) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as AU (7). This means that GFI’s stock grew similarly to AU’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Profit vs Risk Rating (24) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (35). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
AU's SMR Rating (22) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (24). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
AU's Price Growth Rating (37) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (39). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
AU's P/E Growth Rating (59) in the Precious Metals industry is in the same range as GFI (89). This means that AU’s stock grew similarly to GFI’s over the last 12 months.
| AU | GFI | |
|---|---|---|
| RSI ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 64% | 1 day ago 78% |
| Stochastic ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 85% | 1 day ago 78% |
| Momentum ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 61% | 1 day ago 71% |
| MACD ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 70% | 1 day ago 83% |
| TrendWeek ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 73% | 1 day ago 82% |
| TrendMonth ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 82% | 1 day ago 81% |
| Advances ODDS (%) | 20 days ago 83% | 7 days ago 81% |
| Declines ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 74% | 1 day ago 76% |
| BollingerBands ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 72% | 1 day ago 76% |
| Aroon ODDS (%) | 1 day ago 88% | 1 day ago 86% |
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GFI and
Correlation & Price change
A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, GFI has been closely correlated with AU. These tickers have moved in lockstep 91% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if GFI jumps, then AU could also see price increases.