AUMI
Price
$86.16Alerts
Change
-$4.24 (-4.69%)
Updated
Nov 12 closing price
Net Assets
22.08M
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
GDXJ
Price
$100.93Alerts
Change
+$1.31 (+1.31%)
Updated
Nov 13, 10:43 AM (EDT)
Net Assets
8.31B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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AUMI vs GDXJ

AUMI vs GDXJ Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Nov 06, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Themes Gold Miners ETF (AUMI) vs. VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ)

Key Takeaways

  • AUMI targets large- and mid-cap, pure-play gold miners via the Solactive Global Pure Gold Miners Index, while GDXJ focuses on small-cap junior gold and silver miners.
  • AUMI carries a lower expense ratio (0.35%) versus GDXJ (0.52%), giving it a structural cost advantage over long holding periods.
  • GDXJ is more diversified by holding count (roughly 117–162 names) and adds meaningful silver exposure, whereas AUMI is highly concentrated (about 31 holdings) and essentially 100% gold-mining.
  • GDXJ has historically exhibited higher volatility (beta) to gold and silver prices, reflecting the operational and exploration risk of junior producers; AUMI skews toward established, revenue-generating miners.
  • Tickeron AI Verdict: AUMI — the AI currently favors AUMI for its cost efficiency, quality tilt toward larger established miners, and cleaner pure-play gold exposure.

Introduction

Gold-mining ETFs have re-emerged as a focal point for investors weighing inflation expectations, real interest rates, and safe-haven demand. Comparing AUMI and GDXJ is timely because the two funds, while both rooted in precious-metals equities, occupy different rungs of the gold-mining capital structure. AUMI emphasizes larger, established producers, whereas GDXJ targets smaller, earlier-stage miners. They do not compete head-to-head as identical products; instead, they represent alternative exposure profiles within the same sector. Understanding these structural differences is essential for evaluating relative positioning, risk, and cost efficiency in the current market environment.

Themes Gold Miners ETF (AUMI) Overview

AUMI is a passively managed ETF that seeks to track the Solactive Global Pure Gold Miners Index, a benchmark composed of the largest companies by market capitalization that derive their revenue from gold mining. The fund launched in December 2023 and employs a replication (or representative sampling) approach. It holds approximately 31 securities, making it a concentrated, non-diversified product.

Top holdings include established producers such as Endeavour Mining, AngloGold Ashanti, Northern Star Resources, Kinross Gold, IAMGOLD, Agnico Eagle Mines, Alamos Gold, Lundin Gold, and OceanaGold. Sector allocation is nearly entirely materials (roughly 99.5%), and the geographic mix is heavily weighted toward Canada (about 60%) and Australia (about 25%). AUMI's expense ratio is 0.35%, and the index rebalances semi-annually. Its tilt toward large- and mid-cap, revenue-generating miners distinguishes it from junior-focused peers.

VanEck Junior Gold Miners ETF (GDXJ) Overview

GDXJ, launched in November 2009, is a passively managed fund that seeks to replicate the MVIS Global Junior Gold Miners Index. That index tracks small-capitalization companies primarily engaged in gold and/or silver mining, generally representing the bottom 40% of the industry's total market capitalization. Eligible names must generate at least 50% of revenue from gold or silver mining, royalties, or streaming.

The fund holds roughly 117–162 securities, with top positions including Coeur Mining, Alamos Gold, Equinox Gold, Endeavour Mining, IAMGOLD, Evolution Mining, Hecla Mining, and First Majestic Silver. Its portfolio composition is approximately 82% gold, 10% silver, and the remainder in diversified and precious metals. The index is modified market-cap weighted with a 7% per-name cap, reviewed semi-annually with quarterly rebalances. GDXJ's net expense ratio is 0.52%, and the fund is substantially larger and more liquid than AUMI, with assets under management (AUM) in the multi-billion-dollar range.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds operate within the global precious-metals mining sector, where performance is driven primarily by gold and silver prices, which are themselves influenced by real interest rates, U.S. dollar strength, central-bank demand, and geopolitical risk. Gold miners typically offer leveraged exposure to the underlying metal, meaning equity returns can amplify bullion moves in both directions.

Recent market cycles have highlighted several catalysts: sustained central-bank gold purchases, inflation hedging, and safe-haven flows during periods of trade and geopolitical tension. At the same time, miners face structural risks including rising energy and labor costs, currency fluctuations, permitting and environmental constraints, and jurisdiction-specific political risk. Junior miners, which dominate GDXJ, add exploration and financing risk, while AUMI's larger producers generally carry stronger balance sheets and steadier cash flows. These dynamics shape how each fund responds to shifts in the commodity cycle and investor risk appetite.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent weeks and months, both funds have tracked the broader gold-mining complex closely, though their magnitude of movement has differed. GDXJ's small-cap, junior-heavy composition has historically produced higher beta and greater drawdowns during commodity pullbacks, as well as stronger upside during risk-on rallies in precious metals. Its silver exposure further diversifies — but also complicates — its sensitivity to a single metal. AUMI's concentration in larger, established miners has generally translated into comparatively lower volatility and a cleaner correlation to gold prices.

Relative positioning also reflects cost and liquidity. AUMI's 0.35% expense ratio is more efficient than GDXJ's 0.52%, which can compound into a meaningful difference over time. Conversely, GDXJ offers far deeper liquidity and broader diversification across more names, which may appeal to institutional investors. In the current environment, the quality tilt of AUMI has provided more stable relative positioning, while GDXJ remains the higher-octane vehicle for investors seeking amplified exposure to gold and silver momentum.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market using technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of securities with customizable filters, including industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener is designed to surface trade ideas, breakout candidates, and trending opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. For investors comparing products like AUMI and GDXJ, it provides a structured way to evaluate relative positioning and momentum. Explore the AI Screener to refine your research process.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would currently favor AUMI over GDXJ. AUMI's lower expense ratio (0.35% versus 0.52%), its concentration in larger, revenue-generating gold producers, and its purer gold exposure collectively suggest a more cost-efficient and fundamentally steadier profile. While GDXJ offers broader diversification, higher liquidity, and greater upside sensitivity through junior and silver names, that comes with elevated volatility and operational risk. In a probabilistic framework weighting cost efficiency, quality tilt, and trend consistency, AUMI presents the more balanced risk-adjusted structure at present. This assessment reflects structural characteristics rather than a recommendation to buy or sell any security.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
AUMI vs. GDXJ commentary
Nov 13, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AUMI is a Hold and GDXJ is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for AUMI with price predictions
Nov 12, 2026

AUMI sees its 50-day moving average cross bearishly below its 200-day moving average

The 50-day moving average for AUMI moved below the 200-day moving average on November 04, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator may be shifting from an upward trend to a downward trend. In 28 of 36 cases where AUMI's Stochastic Oscillator exited the overbought zone, the price fell further within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 78%.

AUMI moved below its 50-day moving average on November 10, 2026 date and that indicates a change from an upward trend to a downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AUMI declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 85%.

AUMI broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for AUMI entered a downward trend on November 06, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on November 05, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on AUMI as a result. In 43 of 44 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AUMI just turned positive on November 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where AUMI's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 24 of 26 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Following a +7.03% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AUMI advanced for three days, in 187 of 201 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for GDXJ with price predictions
Nov 12, 2026

GDXJ saw its Stochastic Oscillator recovers from the overbought zone

The Stochastic Oscillator for GDXJ moved out of overbought territory on November 12, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock and investors may want to consider selling or taking a defensive position. A.I.dvisor looked at 61 similar instances where the indicator exited the overbought zone. In 55 of the 61 cases the stock moved lower. This puts the odds of a downward move at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved below the 0 level on November 12, 2026. You may want to consider selling the stock, shorting the stock, or exploring put options on GDXJ as a result. In 69 of 79 cases where the Momentum Indicator fell below 0, the stock fell further within the subsequent month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 87%.

The 50-day moving average for GDXJ moved below the 200-day moving average on October 27, 2026. This could be a long-term bearish signal for the stock as the stock shifts to an downward trend.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where GDXJ declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 86%.

GDXJ broke above its upper Bollinger Band on November 09, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

The Aroon Indicator for GDXJ entered a downward trend on November 10, 2026. This could indicate a strong downward move is ahead for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options.

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Indicator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where GDXJ's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 19 of 20 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for GDXJ just turned positive on November 05, 2026. Looking at past instances where GDXJ's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 45 of 50 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Following a +7.89% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where GDXJ advanced for three days, in 264 of 292 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
AUMIGDXJ
RSI
ODDS (%)
N/A
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
78%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
87%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
90%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
83%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
87%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
81%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
85%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 5 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 5 days ago
90%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
85%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
86%
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
79%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
90%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
86%
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AUMI and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AUMI has been loosely correlated with TXG. These tickers have moved in lockstep 38% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is some statistical probability that if AUMI jumps, then TXG could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To AUMI
1D Price
Change %
AUMI100%
-4.69%
TXG - AUMI
38%
Loosely correlated
-4.75%
PRU - AUMI
11%
Poorly correlated
-0.51%
AGI - AUMI
3%
Poorly correlated
-4.17%
AU - AUMI
1%
Poorly correlated
-4.78%
EQX - AUMI
-0%
Poorly correlated
-4.26%
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