AVLV
Price
$93.72
Change
-$0.28 (-0.30%)
Updated
Nov 3, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
22.72B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
VTV
Price
$227.59
Change
-$0.98 (-0.43%)
Updated
Nov 3, 04:59 PM (EDT)
Net Assets
196.98B
Intraday BUY SELL Signals
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AVLV vs VTV

AVLV vs VTV Comparison Chart in %
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A.I.Advisor
Oct 28, 2026

Which ETF would AI Choose? Avantis U.S. Large Cap Value ETF (AVLV) vs. Vanguard Value ETF (VTV)

Key Takeaways

  • Strategy differs: AVLV is an actively managed, rules-based U.S. large-cap value fund, while VTV is a passive index fund tracking the CRSP U.S. Large Cap Value Index.
  • Cost gap: VTV charges a 0.03% expense ratio versus 0.15% for AVLV, a meaningful long-term cost advantage for the Vanguard product.
  • Diversification: VTV holds roughly 325 stocks versus about 270 for AVLV, giving VTV a broader, less concentrated footprint.
  • Sector tilts differ: Both lean on financials, but AVLV carries materially more energy and consumer cyclical exposure, while VTV is more defensive with larger health care and consumer staples weightings.
  • Style nuance: AVLV emphasizes profitability alongside value and includes select mega-cap technology names, whereas VTV skews toward classic dividend-paying value franchises.
  • Performance drivers: AVLV is more sensitive to cyclical rotation and value momentum; VTV is more anchored to defensive sectors and steady cash-flow businesses.

Introduction

Investors evaluating large-cap value exposure often encounter AVLV and VTV as two prominent options in the same category. Both target U.S. large-capitalization value equities, yet they pursue that objective through fundamentally different structures and philosophies. AVLV is an actively managed, systematically tilted portfolio from Avantis Investors, while VTV is a low-cost, passive index vehicle from Vanguard. This ETF comparison matters today because value stocks have been a focal point of market rotation as investors weigh elevated growth-stock valuations against cheaper, cash-generating businesses. Understanding the structural differences, sector exposure, and relative positioning of these funds is essential for building a diversified portfolio.

Avantis U.S. Large Cap Value ETF (AVLV) Overview

AVLV is an actively managed ETF that invests primarily in large-capitalization U.S. companies, applying a systematic, rules-based approach focused on value and profitability factors. Rather than blindly tracking an index, portfolio managers screen for companies with attractive valuations, strong profitability, and favorable fundamental characteristics. The fund typically holds around 270 stocks, with a top-heavy tilt toward financial services, which represents roughly 22% of assets. Energy (about 14–15%), consumer cyclical (about 15%), and industrials (about 13%) are also prominent, while technology accounts for roughly 13%. Top holdings have included MU (Micron Technology), AAPL (Apple), AMZN (Amazon), META (Meta Platforms), XOM (Exxon Mobil), COST (Costco), CAT (Caterpillar), LRCX (Lam Research), and JPM (JPMorgan Chase). The expense ratio is 0.15%, and the fund was launched in September 2021.

Vanguard Value ETF (VTV) Overview

VTV is a passively managed ETF that seeks to track the CRSP U.S. Large Cap Value Index, using full replication to mirror the benchmark before fees and expenses. Launched in January 2004, it is the largest large-cap value ETF in the U.S. market, with a broad portfolio of approximately 325 holdings. Financials are the largest sector at about 23% of assets, followed by health care (roughly 16%), technology (about 14%), industrials (about 13%), and consumer staples (around 8.5%). Utilities, energy, and consumer cyclical each contribute smaller single-digit weightings. Top holdings have included BRK.B (Berkshire Hathaway), JPM (JPMorgan Chase), XOM (Exxon Mobil), JNJ (Johnson & Johnson), WMT (Walmart), CVX (Chevron), ABBV (AbbVie), and MU (Micron Technology). Its expense ratio is a very low 0.03%.

Industry and Thematic Backdrop

Both funds operate within the large-cap value segment, which has drawn renewed attention as investors reassess the elevated valuations attached to high-growth technology and artificial intelligence-linked names. In recent market cycles, capital flows have periodically rotated toward financials, energy producers, and industrial companies that generate earnings and dividends today rather than relying on distant future growth. Rising and then moderating interest-rate expectations have also influenced this rotation, because value stocks tend to be more sensitive to the macroeconomic and credit cycle. Regulatory developments affecting banks and energy firms, alongside commodity price swings, remain key catalysts. The principal risk for value strategies is that a sharp resurgence in mega-cap growth leadership would leave these funds lagging, while their heavy financial and energy weightings tie performance to the broader economy and commodity markets.

Performance and Positioning Comparison

In recent weeks and months, both AVLV and VTV have benefited from the same broad value tailwind, but their relative positioning differs. AVLV's larger energy and consumer cyclical exposure makes it more responsive to commodity trends and cyclical earnings recoveries, while its inclusion of select mega-cap technology names adds a growth-adjacent element that can either help or hurt depending on the rotation's direction. VTV, by contrast, is more defensive: its meaningful health care, consumer staples, and utilities allocations provide steadier cash flows and a lower beta profile. Consequently, VTV has tended to exhibit lower volatility, whereas AVLV may capture more upside during cyclical rallies. Fund performance ultimately hinges on whether sector rotation favors cyclicals or defensives, and on how earnings from top financial and energy holdings unfold across the cycle.

AI Screener

Tickeron's AI Screener is an AI-powered stock and ETF discovery tool that helps traders and investors filter the market based on technical patterns, fundamentals, trends, volatility, and AI-driven signals. Users can scan thousands of stocks and ETFs using customizable filters such as industry, market capitalization, technical indicators, price patterns, and performance metrics. The screener helps identify trade ideas, trending stocks, breakout candidates, and market opportunities more efficiently than manual screening. Explore the AI Screener to streamline your research and uncover actionable ideas.

Tickeron AI Verdict

Based on observable structural factors, Tickeron's AI would likely favor VTV for most long-term, cost-conscious investors. Its materially lower expense ratio, broader diversification, and lower-volatility sector mix offer a durable, efficient core holding. However, if the analytical emphasis shifts to momentum and cyclical exposure, AVLV may screen more favorably, given its profitability tilt and greater sensitivity to energy and consumer cyclical strength. The verdict is therefore probabilistic rather than absolute: VTV appears better suited to stability- and cost-focused positioning, while AVLV may appeal to investors seeking a more aggressively tilted, factor-driven value strategy.

Disclaimer

The information on this webpage is provided for general informational and educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice, a recommendation to purchase or sell any security, or an offer or solicitation related to investments. It does not consider your personal financial situation, goals, or risk profile, and all investing carries inherent risks, including the possibility of losing your entire investment. For more details, please review our full disclaimer.

Disclaimers and Limitations

VS
AVLV vs. VTV commentary
Nov 04, 2026

To compare these two companies we present long-term analysis, their fundamental ratings and make comparative short-term technical analysis which are presented below. The conclusion is AVLV is a Buy and VTV is a Hold.

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SUMMARIES
A.I.Advisor
a Summary for AVLV with price predictions
Nov 02, 2026

Momentum Indicator for AVLV turns positive, indicating new upward trend

AVLV saw its Momentum Indicator move above the 0 level on October 06, 2026. This is an indication that the stock could be shifting in to a new upward move. Traders may want to consider buying the stock or buying call options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 77 similar instances where the indicator turned positive. In 70 of the 77 cases, the stock moved higher in the following days. The odds of a move higher are at 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The RSI Oscillator points to a transition from a downward trend to an upward trend -- in cases where AVLV's RSI Oscillator exited the oversold zone, 12 of 19 resulted in an increase in price. Tickeron's analysis proposes that the odds of a continued upward trend are 63%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for AVLV just turned positive on October 06, 2026. Looking at past instances where AVLV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 37 of 46 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

AVLV moved above its 50-day moving average on October 26, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

The 10-day moving average for AVLV crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 16 of 17 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Following a +1.06% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where AVLV advanced for three days, in 272 of 327 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 321 of 384 cases where AVLV Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 84%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The Stochastic Oscillator has been in the overbought zone for 2 days. Expect a price pull-back in the near future.

Following a 3-day decline, the stock is projected to fall further. Considering past instances where AVLV declined for three days, the price rose further in 50 of 62 cases within the following month. The odds of a continued downward trend are 72%.

AVLV broke above its upper Bollinger Band on October 29, 2026. This could be a sign that the stock is set to drop as the stock moves back below the upper band and toward the middle band. You may want to consider selling the stock or exploring put options.

A.I.Advisor
a Summary for VTV with price predictions
Nov 03, 2026

VTV in upward trend: 10-day moving average crossed above 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026

The 10-day moving average for VTV crossed bullishly above the 50-day moving average on October 22, 2026. This indicates that the trend has shifted higher and could be considered a buy signal. In 13 of 13 past instances when the 10-day crossed above the 50-day, the stock continued to move higher over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 90%.

Price Prediction Chart

Technical Analysis (Indicators)

Bullish Trend Analysis

The Momentum Indicator moved above the 0 level on October 08, 2026. You may want to consider a long position or call options on VTV as a result. In 72 of 87 past instances where the momentum indicator moved above 0, the stock continued to climb. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) for VTV just turned positive on October 08, 2026. Looking at past instances where VTV's MACD turned positive, the stock continued to rise in 45 of 56 cases over the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 80%.

VTV moved above its 50-day moving average on October 15, 2026 date and that indicates a change from a downward trend to an upward trend.

Following a +1.18% 3-day Advance, the price is estimated to grow further. Considering data from situations where VTV advanced for three days, in 290 of 348 cases, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued upward trend are 83%.

VTV may jump back above the lower band and head toward the middle band. Traders may consider buying the stock or exploring call options.

The Aroon Indicator entered an Uptrend today. In 278 of 351 cases where VTV Aroon's Indicator entered an Uptrend, the price rose further within the following month. The odds of a continued Uptrend are 79%.

Bearish Trend Analysis

The 10-day RSI Indicator for VTV moved out of overbought territory on November 03, 2026. This could be a bearish sign for the stock. Traders may want to consider selling the stock or buying put options. Tickeron's A.I.dvisor looked at 51 similar instances where the indicator moved out of overbought territory. In 33 of the 51 cases, the stock moved lower in the following days. This puts the odds of a move lower at 65%.

The Stochastic Oscillator demonstrated that the ticker has stayed in the overbought zone for 18 days. The longer the ticker stays in the overbought zone, the sooner a price pull-back is expected.

TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Technical Analysis
AVLVVTV
RSI
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
63%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
65%
Stochastic
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
69%
Bearish Trend 1 day ago
69%
Momentum
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
90%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
83%
MACD
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
80%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
80%
TrendWeek
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
83%
TrendMonth
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
83%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
81%
Advances
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 6 days ago
83%
Bullish Trend 6 days ago
83%
Declines
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
72%
N/A
BollingerBands
ODDS (%)
Bearish Trend 2 days ago
69%
Bullish Trend 5 days ago
90%
Aroon
ODDS (%)
Bullish Trend 2 days ago
84%
Bullish Trend 1 day ago
79%
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AVLV
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
VTV
Daily Signal:
Gain/Loss:
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AVLV and

Correlation & Price change

A.I.dvisor indicates that over the last year, AVLV has been closely correlated with CE. These tickers have moved in lockstep 79% of the time. This A.I.-generated data suggests there is a high statistical probability that if AVLV jumps, then CE could also see price increases.

1D
1W
1M
1Q
6M
1Y
5Y
Ticker /
NAME
Correlation
To AVLV
1D Price
Change %
AVLV100%
-0.28%
CE - AVLV
79%
Closely correlated
+5.05%
KKR - AVLV
78%
Closely correlated
-2.06%
APO - AVLV
76%
Closely correlated
-4.95%
GNTX - AVLV
76%
Closely correlated
-2.31%
SEIC - AVLV
75%
Closely correlated
-0.41%
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